Fear and Greed Index vs SPY
This page overlays the Fear and Greed Index on SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust), a ETF tracking the S&P 500, and reports the Pearson correlation coefficient between market sentiment and SPY's closing price over whatever date range you select on the chart.
Current sentiment reading for the SPY overlay
The Fear and Greed Index is 45 (Neutral) as of October 12, 2026, unchanged from the previous close.
| Period | Reading | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|
| Latest (October 12, 2026) | 45 | Neutral |
| Previous close | 45 | Neutral |
| 1 week ago | 44 | Fear |
| 1 month ago | 33 | Fear |
| 3 months ago | 41 | Fear |
| 1 year ago | 30 | Fear |
The index runs from 0 to 100. 0-25 is Extreme Fear, 25-45 is Fear, 45-55 is Neutral, 55-75 is Greed, 75-100 is Extreme Greed.
Why correlation, not just the level
Most sentiment tools show you a single number and leave you to guess whether it matters for what you own. The correlation coefficient on this chart answers that directly: a value near +1 means the Fear and Greed Index and SPY moved together over the visible range, near -1 means they moved in opposite directions, and near 0 means there was no linear relationship at all. Broad market ETFs typically show a stronger relationship than individual stocks, whose prices are driven more by company-specific news than by aggregate sentiment.
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Category breakdown
US – Fear and Greed Index vs. SPY
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Frequently asked questions
How does the Fear and Greed Index compare to SPY?
This page overlays the Fear and Greed Index on SPY's price history and reports the Pearson correlation between the two over the visible date range. The Fear and Greed Index is 45 (Neutral) as of October 12, 2026, unchanged from the previous close.
Does market sentiment predict SPY's price?
Correlation is not prediction. The chart on this page shows how closely the Fear and Greed Index and SPY have moved together historically, which is a measure of past relationship, not a forecast.
What is the Fear and Greed Index today?
The Fear and Greed Index is 45 (Neutral) as of October 12, 2026.
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