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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats sweep | 62% | +1 pts | 61¢ · 62¢ (1¢) | $141K | in 107d |
| D-House, R-Senate | 29% | −2 pts | 29¢ · 30¢ (1¢) | $51.1K | in 107d |
| Republicans sweep | 11% | 0 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | $340K | in 107d |
| R-House, D-Senate | 1% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $231K | in 107d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 62¢ for Democrats sweep means the market gives it about 62%.