Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
The questions drawing the most money on Polymarket and Kalshi right now, on one board. Each row leads with the outcome the market favours, how far its odds moved in the last day, and what it costs to trade: the best bid and ask, and the gap between them.
Kalshi isn't answering right now, so this board shows the other venue only.
| # | Market | Venue | Leading | Bid · Ask | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fed Decision in October?Economy · 5 outcomes | Polymarket | No change87% | — | 86¢ · 87¢ (1¢) | $1.23M | $44.8M | in 12d |
| 2 |  US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?World · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | October 3180% | −2 pts | 79¢ · 80¢ (1¢) | $1.12M | $15.1M | in 14d |
| 3 |  Brazil Presidential ElectionPolitics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Flávio Bolsonaro77% | −1 pts | 77¢ · 77¢ (<1¢) | $848K | $185M | in 9d |
| 4 |  Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Politics · 43 outcomes | Polymarket | J.D. Vance48% | 0 pts | 47¢ · 48¢ (1¢) | $778K | $713M | in 753d |
| 5 |  Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?Culture · 7 outcomes | Polymarket | 115-13970% | +30 pts | 68¢ · 72¢ (4¢) | $550K | $714K | in 4h |
| 6 |  Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?Crypto · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 78,000>99% | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $511K | $819K | in 4h |
| 7 |  Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?World · 6 outcomes | Polymarket | October 1898% | +2 pts | 98¢ · 98¢ (<1¢) | $476K | $36M | in 75d |
| 8 |  Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsPolitics · 5 outcomes | Polymarket | Democrats Sweep63% | — | 62¢ · 63¢ (1¢) | $460K | $24.4M | in 18d |
| 9 |  Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?Politics · 3 outcomes | Polymarket | No Hormuz Agreement91% | −4 pts | 91¢ · 91¢ (<1¢) | $406K | $1.06M | in 18d |
| 10 | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryPolitics · 8 outcomes | Polymarket | Flávio Bolsonaro <4%41% | — | 40¢ · 41¢ (1¢) | $388K | $1.98M | in 9d |
| 11 |  Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Culture · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | December 315% | +1 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $354K | $74M | in 76d |
| 12 |  Which party will win the House in 2026?Politics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Democratic Party91% | — | 90¢ · 91¢ (1¢) | $331K | $18.2M | in 18d |
| 13 |  Next French Presidential ElectionPolitics · 42 outcomes | Polymarket | Marine Le Pen46% | 0 pts | 46¢ · 46¢ (<1¢) | $303K | $152M | in 184d |
| 14 | Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?Politics · 4 outcomes | Polymarket | Oil ≥ $85; D Senate60% | +9 pts | 60¢ · 61¢ (<1¢) | $301K | $580K | in 18d |
| 15 |  Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Politics · 19 outcomes | Polymarket | Gadi Eizenkot51% | +4 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | $300K | $47.1M | in 11d |
| 16 | Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?Culture · 14 outcomes | Polymarket | 360-37922% | +7 pts | 22¢ · 23¢ (1¢) | $281K | $970K | in 3d |
| 17 | What price will Bitcoin hit in October?Crypto · 20 outcomes | Polymarket | ↓ 75,00024% | +2 pts | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $253K | $7.94M | in 15d |
| 18 |  Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Politics · 53 outcomes | Polymarket | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17% | 0 pts | 17¢ · 17¢ (<1¢) | $243K | $1.29B | in 753d |
| 19 |  What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?Economy · 21 outcomes | Polymarket | ↑ $10088% | +25 pts | 87¢ · 88¢ (1¢) | $242K | $2.75M | in 15d |
| 20 |  US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?World · 4 outcomes | Polymarket | March 3157% | −1 pts | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | $227K | $41M | in 76d |
| 21 |  Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Politics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Democratic Party65% | — | 64¢ · 65¢ (1¢) | $205K | $6.96M | in 18d |
| 22 | Fed Decision in December?Economy · 5 outcomes | Polymarket | 25 bps increase77% | −2 pts | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | $204K | $3.8M | in 54d |
| 23 | What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?Crypto · 15 outcomes | Polymarket | ↑ 82,00067% | — | 64¢ · 70¢ (6¢) | $199K | $1M | in 2d |
| 24 |  What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?Crypto · 14 outcomes | Polymarket | ↑ 2,6002% | −5 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $176K | $623K | in 2d |
| 25 |  How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Economy · 13 outcomes | Polymarket | 0 (0 bps)97% | — | 97¢ · 97¢ (<1¢) | $156K | $54.4M | in 76d |
| 26 |  Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?World · 3 outcomes | Polymarket | December 3117% | +3 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $134K | $17.2M | in 76d |
| 27 |  Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?World | Polymarket | Yes6% | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $130K | $27.3M | in 76d |
| 28 | Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?Culture · 24 outcomes | Polymarket | 300-31910% | +3 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | $128K | $258K | in 6d |
| 29 |  Texas Senate Election WinnerPolitics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | James Talarico (D)63% | — | 62¢ · 63¢ (1¢) | $125K | $3.96M | in 18d |
| 30 |  Xi Jinping out before 2027?World | Polymarket | Yes3% | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $118K | $15.1M | in 76d |
| 31 | What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?Crypto · 30 outcomes | Polymarket | ↓ 25,0001% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $103K | $76M | in 76d |
| 32 |  Ohio Senate Election WinnerPolitics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Sherrod Brown (D)66% | +4 pts | 65¢ · 66¢ (1¢) | $98.2K | $1.28M | in 18d |
| 33 |  US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?World | Polymarket | Yes77% | −1 pts | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | $96.3K | $446K | in 18d |
| 34 | Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?Crypto · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 80,00097% | +1 pts | 97¢ · 97¢ (<1¢) | $90.3K | $213K | in 1d |
| 35 |  Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?World | Polymarket | Yes16% | — | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $86.3K | $74.4M | in 76d |
| 36 | Ethereum above ___ on October 17?Crypto · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 2,5001% | −25 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $84.2K | $159K | in 4h |
| 37 | Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?Politics · 4 outcomes | Polymarket | No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate64% | +2 pts | 63¢ · 64¢ (<1¢) | $84.1K | $210K | in 18d |
| 38 | Bitcoin price on October 17?Crypto · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 80,000-82,00095% | +60 pts | 94¢ · 96¢ (2¢) | $83.1K | $123K | in 4h |
| 39 | What price will Ethereum hit in October?Crypto · 19 outcomes | Polymarket | ↑ 3,5001% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $80.2K | $2.06M | in 15d |
| 40 |  Michigan Senate Election WinnerPolitics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Abdul El-Sayed (D)71% | +1 pts | 70¢ · 71¢ (1¢) | $80.2K | $1.77M | in 18d |
| 41 |  Next Press Secretary?Politics · 31 outcomes | Polymarket | Scott Jennings18% | — | 17¢ · 19¢ (2¢) | $78.2K | $78.2K | in 441d |
| 42 |  Anthropic IPO by __?Economy · 5 outcomes | Polymarket | December 31, 202673% | +1 pts | 72¢ · 73¢ (1¢) | $76.2K | $4.95M | in 76d |
| 43 |  Iran leadership change by...?World · 4 outcomes | Polymarket | October 312% | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $75.4K | $27.5M | in 257d |
| 44 |  Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?World · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | October 313% | −1 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $70.8K | $7.44M | in 76d |
| 45 |  Putin out as President of Russia by...?World · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | December 31, 20263% | −1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $69K | $29.4M | in 257d |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API and the event search kalshi.com runs on, refreshed every minute. Each venue's volume is the one it publishes: Polymarket counts USDC traded, Kalshi counts $1 contracts traded, so the two are close to comparable but not identical. A row's leading outcome is the one priced most likely; where an event is a ladder of separate strikes (Bitcoin above $80,000, above $82,000…) it is the most-traded strike instead, since the lowest strike always looks most likely. 24h is that outcome's move in percentage points. Markets that open and settle within a day - 15-minute and hourly crypto contracts - are left off, and sports are under their own chip. Prices are odds, not advice.