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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 71% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 70¢ · 71¢ (1¢) | $39.1K | in 18d |
| Mike Rogers (R) | 31% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 30¢ · 31¢ (1¢) | $41.1K | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | SAPolitcsSeer | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes70¢ → 71¢ | $1,890 | +$13 +0.7% | 14 |
| 17h | Zacceerie3 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes70¢ → 71¢ | $5,969 | +$81 +1.4% | 22 |
| 19h | 0xf826…ad9e | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes69¢ → 71¢ | $1,341 | −$29 −2.2% | — |
| 19h | WarriorH2 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes72¢ → 71¢ | $2,027 | −$40 −2.0% | 14 |
| 19h | anoin123 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellNo31¢ → 30¢ | $2,835 | +$137 +4.8% | — |
| 20h | gm-gg-gn2 fills | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes32¢ → 31¢ | $4,560 | −$168 −3.7% | 24 |
| 1d | Zzzz87 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes70¢ → 71¢ | $1,253 | +$9 +0.7% | 13 |
| 1d | Authorized-Gazelle | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes70¢ → 71¢ | $2,000 | +$14 +0.7% | 14 |
| 1d |  bernardbulletin | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes70¢ → 71¢ | $1,420 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 1d | f0afjr | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes30¢ → 31¢ | $1,739 | +$29 +1.7% | 15 |
| 1d | WarriorH2 fills | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyNo71¢ → 70¢ | $3,263 | −$69 −2.1% | 16 |
| 1d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyNo70¢ | $8,187 | −$58 −0.7% | 26 |
| 2d | rancidpus | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyNo30¢ | $1,600 | −$27 −1.7% | 15 |
| 3d | sasnax | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes32¢ → 31¢ | $1,000 | −$47 −4.7% | 12 |
| 3d |  mrworldwide | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes70¢ → 71¢ | $3,191 | −$23 −0.7% | — |
| 3d | metamask2140 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes71¢ | $1,082 | −$8 −0.7% | 12 |
| 5d |  .ethguy2 fills | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyNo71¢ → 70¢ | $2,335 | −$49 −2.1% | 14 |
| 5d |  GoriIIa | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes70¢ → 71¢ | $1,236 | +$9 +0.7% | 13 |
| 5d | bnbaltz2 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes71¢ | $4,500 | −$28 −0.6% | 19 |
| 6d | DonkDaWarrior | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes33¢ → 31¢ | $1,023 | −$78 −7.6% | 12 |
| 6d | cigarettes2 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyNo34¢ → 30¢ | $4,512 | −$628 −14% | 24 |
| 7d | Evergreen-Idea | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes71¢ | $3,772 | −$27 −0.7% | 17 |
| 7d | NeverSurrender88 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellNo30¢ | $1,188 | +$20 +1.7% | — |
| 7d | ilikesmore99 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyNo32¢ → 30¢ | $1,777 | −$155 −8.7% | 16 |
| 7d |  Krang | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellNo30¢ | $2,098 | +$64 +3.0% | — |
| 7d | NeverSurrender88 | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes33¢ → 31¢ | $1,170 | −$89 −7.6% | 13 |
| 8d | cigarettes5 fills | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes36¢ → 31¢ | $10,127 | −$1,460 −14% | 36 |
| 8d |  TheFlats67 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes71¢ | $1,288 | −$9 −0.7% | 13 |
| 8d |  mackiah | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes70¢ → 71¢ | $1,904 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 8d | Nicksypoo | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyNo70¢ | $1,200 | −$17 −1.4% | 12 |
| 8d | pieped | Mike Rogers (R) | SellNo69¢ → 70¢ | $2,070 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 8d |  Do-Not-Redeem4 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyNo32¢ → 30¢ | $15,435 | −$1,160 −7.5% | 39 |
| 8d | Krang | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyNo29¢ → 30¢ | $2,000 | +$34 +1.7% | 17 |
| 9d | pieped | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes72¢ → 71¢ | $9,360 | +$195 +2.1% | — |
| 9d |  Bperil3 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes69¢ → 71¢ | $3,606 | −$53 −1.5% | — |
| 10d |  mountaindewd | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes28¢ → 31¢ | $1,400 | +$125 +8.9% | 14 |
| 10d | mountaindewd | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyNo28¢ → 30¢ | $1,400 | +$75 +5.4% | 14 |
| 10d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | Mike Rogers (R) | SellNo70¢ | $3,972 | +$31 +0.8% | — |
| 10d | Thick-Ambulance | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes73¢ → 71¢ | $5,000 | −$171 −3.4% | 19 |
| 10d | Andylow5 | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes27¢ → 31¢ | $1,000 | +$130 +13% | 12 |
| 12d | Hashbrown | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes72¢ → 71¢ | $16,635 | +$385 +2.3% | — |
| 12d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyNo73¢ → 70¢ | $1,460 | −$70 −4.8% | 13 |
| 12d | Do-Not-Redeem | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellNo27¢ → 30¢ | $1,870 | −$173 −9.3% | — |
| 15d | apmt | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes72¢ → 71¢ | $3,600 | −$75 −2.1% | 17 |
| 15d | Rpzcz | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes73¢ → 71¢ | $1,400 | −$48 −3.4% | 13 |
| 17d |  Telepath-One | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes73¢ → 71¢ | $1,000 | −$34 −3.4% | 12 |
| 17d | cigarettes6 fills | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyNo69¢ → 70¢ | $35,266 | +$359 +1.0% | 30 |
| 17d | cigarettes4 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes68¢ → 71¢ | $8,474 | +$335 +4.0% | 27 |
| 17d |  ScottyNooo | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyNo70¢ | $1,055 | −$8 −0.7% | 12 |
| 17d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes71¢ | $1,437 | −$10 −0.7% | 13 |
| 17d |  TheGreekTraderPM | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes71¢ | $2,485 | −$18 −0.7% | 15 |
| 18d | ClauseAI | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes30¢ → 31¢ | $3,719 | +$62 +1.7% | 22 |
| 18d | Hashbrown | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes71¢ | $16,330 | −$115 −0.7% | 29 |
| 21d | flawfence3 fills | Mike Rogers (R) | BuyYes32¢ → 31¢ | $11,624 | −$600 −5.2% | 38 |
| 21d | Do-Not-Redeem | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes72¢ → 71¢ | $12,960 | −$270 −2.1% | 29 |
| 21d | Bperil | Mike Rogers (R) | SellNo71¢ → 70¢ | $1,668 | +$35 +2.1% | — |
| 21d | OneLastHurrah | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes71¢ | $1,316 | +$9 +0.7% | — |
| 22d |  BiDiFakePolls | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyYes72¢ → 71¢ | $2,160 | −$45 −2.1% | 14 |
| 22d | polymarketbetter2 fills | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | SellYes64¢ → 71¢ | $3,702 | −$362 −9.8% | — |
| 23d | botbot | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | BuyNo28¢ → 30¢ | $1,336 | +$72 +5.4% | 14 |
mountaindewd16,000 shares
Arbguy12,729 shares
seal710,960 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 71¢ for Abdul El-Sayed (D) means the market gives it about 71%.