| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,391 | 98¢ → 95¢ | $3,228 | −$104 −3.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $1,810 | +$30 +1.7% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,868 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,792 | +$92 +5.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $1,750 | −$10 −0.6% |
| Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?Ends in 16d | No | 2,000 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $1,680 | +$20 +1.2% |
| Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 120d | No | 1,658 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $1,649 | +$173 +12% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 2,000 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $1,610 | −$10 −0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $1,610 | −$29 −1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,730 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $1,566 | +$26 +1.7% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | No | 1,581 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $1,404 | +$64 +4.8% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 85d | No | 1,843 | 55¢ → 74¢ | $1,354 | +$345 +34% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,879 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $1,343 | −$8 −0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,477 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $1,311 | +$37 +2.9% |
| Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Ends in 440d | No | 1,329 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1,272 | +$122 +11% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 1,741 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $1,262 | +$26 +2.1% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 1,293 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,247 | +$83 +7.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $1,190 | +$10 +0.8% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 1,511 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $1,141 | +$38 +3.4% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $982 | +$62 +6.7% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $497,000 and $510,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 942 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $937 | +$126 +16% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d | No | 1,388 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $937 | +$81 +9.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 1,991 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $927 | +$29 +3.2% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,992 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $926 | −$8 −0.9% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 946 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $889 | +$11 +1.2% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,185 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $852 | +$68 +8.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,823 | 49¢ → 46¢ | $830 | −$60 −6.8% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 996 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $827 | +$40 +5.1% |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 973 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $796 | +$9 +1.1% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,997 | 40¢ → 40¢ | $794 | −$13 −1.6% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 1,140 | 60¢ → 68¢ | $769 | +$81 +12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 972 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $768 | +$63 +8.9% |
| Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 13d | No | 1,368 | 53¢ → 55¢ | $746 | +$19 +2.5% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 1,086 | 61¢ → 67¢ | $728 | +$67 +10% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 1,831 | 36¢ → 40¢ | $723 | +$64 +9.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 802 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $717 | +$130 +22% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,352 | 61¢ → 53¢ | $710 | −$112 −14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,132 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $696 | −$20 −2.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 700 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $675 | −$8 −1.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $665 | −$95 −13% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 694 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $655 | +$76 +13% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 980 | 43¢ → 66¢ | $642 | +$225 +54% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 1,563 | 29¢ → 39¢ | $609 | +$156 +34% |
| Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | No | 1,165 | 68¢ → 52¢ | $600 | −$191 −24% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 997 | 41¢ → 59¢ | $583 | +$169 +41% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,478 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $579 | −$28 −4.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,995 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $569 | −$19 −3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 627 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $568 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 1,714 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $566 | −$20 −3.4% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 620 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $529 | −$15 −2.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,227 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $509 | −$43 −7.8% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 1,161 | 32¢ → 42¢ | $490 | +$123 +34% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 1,999 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $490 | +$10 +2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 540 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $463 | −$20 −4.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 696 | 53¢ → 66¢ | $456 | +$86 +23% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 528 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $428 | −$16 −3.6% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 463 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $419 | +$59 +16% |
| Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 975 | 50¢ → 43¢ | $417 | −$72 −15% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,411 | 18¢ → 30¢ | $416 | +$164 +65% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 570 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $402 | +$51 +15% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 403 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $402 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 414 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $396 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 430 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $393 | +$70 +22% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 504 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $385 | +$6 +1.6% |
| Will Conny Glenn win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 394 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $381 | +$73 +24% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 682 | 48¢ → 56¢ | $378 | +$49 +15% |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 625 | 30¢ → 60¢ | $372 | +$183 +97% |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | No | 407 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $370 | +$33 +9.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 479 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $369 | +$34 +10% |
| Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Ends in 26d | No | 374 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $366 | +$17 +4.8% |
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 390 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $357 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 439 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $354 | +$11 +3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 490 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $346 | +$7 +2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $341 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Ends ended | No | 353 | 60¢ → 92¢ | $323 | +$111 +52% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?Ends in 8d | No | 327 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $321 | +$40 +14% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | No | 544 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $318 | +$43 +16% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 353 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $318 | +$50 +19% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 389 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $313 | +$14 +4.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 855 | 50¢ → 37¢ | $312 | −$115 −27% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $310 | +$30 +11% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Ends in 2d | No | 436 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $305 | −$37 −11% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 374 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $298 | +$24 +8.9% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 996 | 22¢ → 30¢ | $294 | +$77 +36% |
| Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 341 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $286 | −$3 −1.2% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | No | 306 | 70¢ → 93¢ | $285 | +$70 +32% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 1,297 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $278 | −$7 −2.3% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | Yes | 327 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $276 | +$11 +4.3% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 324 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $264 | +$18 +7.2% |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | No | 282 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $264 | +$14 +5.7% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 991 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $262 | −$82 −24% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 321 | 66¢ → 81¢ | $258 | +$47 +22% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 403 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $250 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | No | 482 | 56¢ → 52¢ | $248 | −$19 −7.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 421 | 49¢ → 59¢ | $246 | +$39 +19% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | No | 1,341 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $241 | +$13 +5.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 409 | 35¢ → 57¢ | $235 | +$92 +64% |
| Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Ends in 100d | No | 261 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $227 | +$4 +1.9% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | No | 240 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $224 | +$6 +2.7% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 266 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $220 | +$1 +0.3% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 83% to 84%?Ends in 2d | No | 250 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $216 | +$22 +11% |
