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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 51% | +3 pts | +9 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | $31.6K | in 11d |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 28% | −3 pts | −7 pts | 27¢ · 28¢ (1¢) | $195K | in 11d |
| Naftali Bennett | 14% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 13¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | $7.35K | in 11d |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $31.4K | in 11d |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.65K | in 11d |
| Ofer Winter | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $7.51K | in 11d |
| Yair Lapid | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $660 | in 11d |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.98K | in 11d |
| Yair Golan | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.27K | in 11d |
| Israel Katz | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $13.9K | in 11d |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.14K | in 11d |
| Benny Gantz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 11d |
| Gideon Sa’ar | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 11d |
| Yariv Levin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $500 | in 11d |
| Moshe Feiglin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 11d |
| Ayelet Shaked | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 11d |
| Yoaz Hendel | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $500 | in 11d |
| Nir Barkat | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 11d |
| Gilad Erdan | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | Dense-Breadfruit2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes28¢ | $2,820 | −$70 −2.5% | 15 |
| 7h |  scout | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $14,200 | +$300 +2.1% | 16 |
| 7h | hfv | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo72¢ → 73¢ | $1,274 | +$9 +0.7% | 10 |
| 7h | WarriorH8 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $16,859 | +$604 +3.6% | 17 |
| 10h |  Carlosoiu | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes50¢ → 51¢ | $1,000 | +$20 +2.0% | 13 |
| 11h |  pup14 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $26,130 | +$744 +2.8% | 21 |
| 12h | AlphaGooo | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes29¢ → 28¢ | $1,500 | +$78 +5.2% | — |
| 13h | Stable-Armament | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes29¢ → 28¢ | $11,757 | +$608 +5.2% | — |
| 15h |  tunatyler2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $6,173 | +$130 +2.1% | 12 |
| 15h | MrMonk1 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes30¢ → 28¢ | $1,084 | −$90 −8.3% | 11 |
| 16h | fbet3 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes49¢ → 51¢ | $3,858 | +$124 +3.2% | 20 |
| 16h | flawfence3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo69¢ → 73¢ | $59,909 | +$2,891 +4.8% | 30 |
| 16h | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed7 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $9,740 | +$410 +4.2% | 14 |
| 17h |  MEPP | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo86¢ → 87¢ | $2,471 | +$14 +0.6% | 19 |
| 18h |  GammaSqueeze1234 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo69¢ → 73¢ | $2,070 | −$105 −5.1% | — |
| 18h | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed5 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo70¢ → 73¢ | $6,614 | −$203 −3.1% | — |
| 18h | Ditto321 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes31¢ → 28¢ | $2,500 | −$282 −11% | 14 |
| 18h |  Mecky | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $1,400 | +$50 +3.6% | 11 |
| 20h |  paddaa3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo69¢ → 73¢ | $8,000 | +$439 +5.5% | 13 |
| 1d | hfv4 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes43¢ → 51¢ | $6,701 | +$1,172 +17% | 29 |
| 1d | Snoorrason2 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes48¢ → 51¢ | $4,579 | +$294 +6.4% | 22 |
| 1d | Ditto321 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo69¢ → 73¢ | $2,738 | −$139 −5.1% | — |
| 1d | MEPP | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo69¢ → 73¢ | $4,991 | −$253 −5.1% | — |
| 1d | 0xd640…480c | Naftali Bennett | SellNo89¢ → 87¢ | $1,497 | +$42 +2.8% | — |
| 1d | Scientific-Bandanna | Gadi Eizenkot | SellYes48¢ → 51¢ | $1,020 | −$51 −5.0% | — |
| 1d | Authorized-Gazelle3 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | SellNo52¢ → 49¢ | $11,012 | +$525 +4.8% | — |
| 1d | WillBeQuant2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo69¢ → 73¢ | $4,519 | −$229 −5.1% | — |
| 1d | suntori | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo87¢ | $1,695 | −$10 −0.6% | 18 |
| 1d |  bifurcatio | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo85¢ → 87¢ | $27,388 | +$511 +1.9% | 20 |
| 1d | pup13 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo72¢ → 73¢ | $18,100 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | wan123 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo71¢ → 73¢ | $19,794 | −$418 −2.1% | — |
| 1d | Scientific-Bandanna | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes49¢ → 51¢ | $1,027 | +$43 +4.2% | 13 |
| 1d | scrapbook | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo72¢ → 73¢ | $1,440 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 2d | apmt | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo73¢ | $3,650 | −$25 −0.7% | 11 |
| 2d | Strident-Rate | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyNo52¢ → 49¢ | $1,449 | −$85 −5.9% | 14 |
| 2d | Content-Aggradation | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes28¢ | $1,000 | −$18 −1.8% | 10 |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Naftali Bennett | SellNo85¢ → 87¢ | $2,994 | −$53 −1.8% | — |
| 2d | Neon-Gargoyle | Naftali Bennett | SellNo85¢ → 87¢ | $1,698 | −$30 −1.8% | — |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo85¢ → 87¢ | $3,007 | +$40 +1.3% | 20 |
| 2d | Sticky-Closing | Naftali Bennett | SellNo85¢ → 87¢ | $2,193 | −$39 −1.8% | — |
| 2d |  Krang4 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes48¢ → 51¢ | $6,627 | +$419 +6.3% | 28 |
| 2d | Shiny-Mark | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes27¢ → 28¢ | $5,830 | +$108 +1.9% | 20 |
| 2d | rektal | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes26¢ → 28¢ | $1,560 | +$90 +5.8% | 13 |
| 2d | WarriorH | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes25¢ → 28¢ | $1,050 | −$105 −10% | — |
| 2d | cocococococo | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo73¢ | $1,825 | +$12 +0.7% | — |
| 2d |  Pulser | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo74¢ → 73¢ | $8,222 | +$167 +2.0% | — |
| 2d | paddaa | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo74¢ → 73¢ | $2,193 | +$44 +2.0% | — |
| 2d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes26¢ → 28¢ | $3,391 | +$236 +7.0% | 17 |
| 2d | 0xc96b…e1be3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes28¢ | $50,677 | +$1,263 +2.5% | — |
| 2d | StarryPath | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo74¢ → 73¢ | $7,652 | −$151 −2.0% | 13 |
| 2d | Outlandish-Boxspring9 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes36¢ → 28¢ | $185,354 | −$44,053 −24% | 42 |
| 2d | futurebreeze | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes30¢ → 28¢ | $1,250 | +$104 +8.3% | — |
| 2d | Dwade23 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes31¢ → 28¢ | $2,300 | −$260 −11% | 14 |
| 3d | thesonics | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes48¢ → 51¢ | $1,000 | +$57 +5.7% | 13 |
| 3d | Forked-Overshoot | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo85¢ → 87¢ | $1,275 | +$23 +1.8% | 17 |
| 3d |  ThanksGivingTurkey10012 fills | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo86¢ → 87¢ | $5,588 | +$65 +1.2% | 20 |
| 3d | nope3050 | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo84¢ → 87¢ | $2,940 | +$88 +3.0% | 21 |
| 3d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed5 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | SellNo54¢ → 49¢ | $5,320 | +$434 +8.2% | — |
| 3d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed4 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyNo53¢ → 49¢ | $4,260 | −$312 −7.3% | 21 |
| 3d | lirio1232 fills | Naftali Bennett | BuyYes15¢ → 14¢ | $5,330 | −$411 −7.7% | 41 |
tetrose66,145 sharesKrang31,412 sharesLegislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 51¢ for Gadi Eizenkot means the market gives it about 51%.