| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 555 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $486 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 602 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $418 | −$9 −2.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 358 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $267 | −$30 −10% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 449 | 59¢ → 47¢ | $209 | −$56 −21% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 209 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $195 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 521 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $175 | −$49 −22% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 873 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $170 | −$13 −7.1% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 507 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $170 | −$33 −16% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 168 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $165 | +$6 +3.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 174 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $162 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 247 | 72¢ → 61¢ | $149 | −$28 −16% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 230 | 70¢ → 55¢ | $125 | −$36 −22% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 491 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $120 | −$12 −9.3% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | No | 178 | 82¢ → 65¢ | $115 | −$31 −21% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 366 | 54¢ → 28¢ | $101 | −$97 −49% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 133 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $89 | −$2 −2.7% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 25d | Yes | 212 | 52¢ → 40¢ | $85 | −$25 −23% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 129 | 85¢ → 65¢ | $84 | −$26 −24% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 113 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $78 | −$8 −9.7% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 240d | Yes | 92 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $76 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 77 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $75 | +$3 +4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 112 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 607 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $70 | −$3 −4.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 95 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $69 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 96 | 86¢ → 67¢ | $65 | −$18 −21% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 131 | 51¢ → 42¢ | $54 | −$12 −19% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 81 | 86¢ → 66¢ | $54 | −$16 −23% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 215 | 42¢ → 25¢ | $53 | −$38 −42% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $48 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | No | 174 | 61¢ → 27¢ | $47 | −$59 −56% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 164 | 40¢ → 28¢ | $45 | −$21 −31% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 101 | 54¢ → 45¢ | $45 | −$10 −18% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 355 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $44 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 454 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $43 | −$7 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.7% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 46 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $43 | +$7 +19% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 103 | 50¢ → 41¢ | $42 | −$9 −18% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 112 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 119 | 45¢ → 35¢ | $41 | −$12 −23% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 256d | No | 53 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $41 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 347 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $40 | −$2 −4.2% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$4 −10% |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 67 | 93¢ → 56¢ | $38 | −$25 −40% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 52 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $37 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 58 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $37 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 44 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $37 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 48 | 86¢ → 72¢ | $34 | −$7 −17% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 54 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $33 | −$5 −14% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 73 | 53¢ → 43¢ | $31 | −$8 −20% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 35 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 49 | 72¢ → 63¢ | $30 | −$5 −13% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 109 | 41¢ → 28¢ | $30 | −$15 −33% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | No | 66 | 59¢ → 45¢ | $29 | −$10 −25% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 82¢ → 70¢ | $28 | −$5 −15% |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 97 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 39 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $27 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 53 | 68¢ → 50¢ | $27 | −$10 −26% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?Ends in 17d | No | 35 | 86¢ → 76¢ | $26 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 107 | 8¢ → 24¢ | $25 | +$16 +182% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 26 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $24 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Ends in 62d | Yes | 180 | 41¢ → 14¢ | $24 | −$50 −67% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 36 | 78¢ → 67¢ | $24 | −$4 −15% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 71 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $24 | −$7 −22% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 30 | 93¢ → 76¢ | $23 | −$5 −18% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | Yes | 82 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $22 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 54 | 47¢ → 40¢ | $22 | −$4 −15% |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 47 | 53¢ → 46¢ | $22 | −$3 −13% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 26 | 91¢ → 83¢ | $21 | −$2 −9.3% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 252 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $21 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 57¢ → 51¢ | $20 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Gianluigi Donnarumma record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 244d | Yes | 199 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $20 | −$16 −44% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 64 | 58¢ → 31¢ | $20 | −$18 −47% |
| Will Ajax win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?Ends in 241d | Yes | 295 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $19 | −$7 −28% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 27 | 79¢ → 70¢ | $19 | −$3 −12% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,336 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$1,049 −98% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 65¢ → 37¢ | $18 | −$14 −44% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $18 | −$4 −17% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11,303 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$2,244 −99% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33,762 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$362 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 33,762 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$362 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 33,762 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$362 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 33,762 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$362 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 33,762 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$362 −96% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 108 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $17 | −$4 −18% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31,455 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $16 | −$338 −96% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $15 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 40¢ → 23¢ | $15 | −$11 −42% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 102 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$15 −50% |
| Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends ended | Yes | 89 | 48¢ → 17¢ | $15 | −$28 −66% |
| Russell Brand convicted of sex crimes by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 22 | 72¢ → 65¢ | $14 | −$2 −10% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 20 | 82¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$3 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $14 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 27,157 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$291 −96% |
| Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?Ends in 20d | Yes | 55 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $13 | −$4 −24% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Ends in 256d | Yes | 29 | 71¢ → 45¢ | $13 | −$8 −37% |
| Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Ends in 77d | No | 24 | 58¢ → 54¢ | $13 | −$1 −7.6% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 39 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.0% |
