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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 6% | — | −11 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $1.2K | in 15d |
| December 31 | 28% | — | −16 pts | 28¢ · 29¢ (1¢) | $357 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | melonmanm2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo70¢ → 72¢ | $3,073 | +$55 +1.8% | 24 |
| 6d |  wienerdog | December 31 | BuyNo57¢ → 72¢ | $2,300 | +$592 +26% | 24 |
| 8d | wienerdog | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,561 | +$433 +17% | 4 |
| 8d | Thanks4TheMoney | December 31 | SellYes39¢ → 28¢ | $1,166 | +$317 +27% | — |
| 9d |  BigMackyG | October 31 | BuyNo64¢ → 95¢ | $3,504 | +$1,670 +48% | 24 |
| 10d |  Rex416 | December 31 | BuyYes68¢ → 28¢ | $1,520 | −$884 −58% | 24 |
| 19d | melonmanm | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 19d | melonmanm | December 31 | BuyYes50¢ → 28¢ | $2,158 | −$920 −43% | 24 |
| 24d |  LiquidatedDegen | December 31 | BuyYes50¢ → 28¢ | $1,501 | −$645 −43% | 24 |
| 77d | QMG-CORE | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,465 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 80d | aviato | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 80d | thoodr | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$27 +1.3% | 4 |
| 81d | 50000x3 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $7,813 | −$1,790 −23% | — |
| 84d |  FTX2.06 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $14,424 | −$2,437 −17% | — |
| 93d | Athletic-Manager | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$312 +12% | 4 |
| 97d | 50000x2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,701 | +$1,495 +32% | 4 |
| 97d |  Sylvester.the.Cat | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$393 +26% | 4 |
| 101d | buyaoshangtou1 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$409 +35% | 4 |
| 102d | FTX2.02 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $4,488 | +$2,286 +51% | 4 |
| 103d | flawfence2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,112 | −$2,112 −100% | 6 |
| 104d | diadjaid2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $5,438 | +$2,062 +38% | 4 |
| 105d |  Obamnna | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$566 −49% | — |
| 106d |  MEPP | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,379 | −$1,108 −47% | — |
| 106d | MEPP | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,357 | +$1,130 +48% | 4 |
| 106d |  Ahpo2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,461 | −$1,476 −43% | — |
| 106d | Ahpo | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,573 | +$1,899 +42% | 4 |
| 108d | Caring-Employ-Espalier | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,167 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 108d | Teeming-Technician | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 108d |  vinii | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,087 +72% | 4 |
| 109d |  ImJustKen | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $2,810 | −$2,810 −100% | 5 |
| 109d | Nostradamus69 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,463 | −$1,463 −100% | 4 |
| 110d | Uncomfortable-Insect | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$104 +9.5% | 5 |
| 110d | Brilo85 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 111d | GamGanapati | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$53 −3.9% | — |
| 113d | GamGanapati2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,782 | +$53 +1.9% | 4 |
| 123d |  SlashClam | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | +$160 +5.6% | 4 |
| 124d | LJa7io23MCv954j | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$85 +7.5% | 4 |
| 130d | hideo | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$138 +11% | 4 |
| 131d | pulgarcito23 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | +$327 +11% | 4 |
| 138d | aviato2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,956 | +$193 +3.9% | 4 |
| 139d | M2sx92kljs42 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$888 +18% | 4 |
| 141d |  Parz1vaI | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$233 −19% | — |
| 142d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,688 | −$92 −1.6% | — |
| 143d |  BuckMySalls | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | +$69 +4.2% | 4 |
| 146d | Parz1vaI | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,398 | +$1,005 +30% | 4 |
| 147d | JoseB144 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$310 +30% | 4 |
| 149d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,309 | +$211 +6.4% | 4 |
| 149d | SlashClam2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,460 | +$540 +9.9% | 4 |
| 150d | Parz1vaI | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,145 | +$608 +9.9% | 4 |
| 151d | Huludubu2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $3,251 | +$3,251 +100% | — |
| 152d | zhixinghe1 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$153 +9.9% | 4 |
| 154d | poli.monaco | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,214 | +$711 +14% | 4 |
| 159d |  PantheraUncia | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$360 +25% | 4 |
| 159d |  iForgor2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,326 | +$2,326 +100% | — |
| 159d |  libratus1 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 4 |
| 160d |  36483934890472 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,433 | −$534 −12% | — |
| 160d | 3648393489047 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | +$1,155 +100% | — |
| 160d |  WarriorPooh2 fills | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellYes18¢ → 0¢ | $2,569 | +$2,569 +100% | — |
| 161d | kapay | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | +$1,164 +100% | — |
| 164d | shehues | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $10,354 | −$1,882 −18% | — |
Trading4Fridge1,838 shares
willsom1,128 shares
TT12345678467 sharesBigMackyG2,564 sharesArmageddonRewardsBilly400 sharesIf María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 6%.