| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 270,000 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $213,165 | +$78,165 +58% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 270,000 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $56,835 | −$78,165 −58% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 65,242 | 81¢ → 61¢ | $39,471 | −$13,342 −25% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 44,478 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $38,029 | +$1,643 +4.5% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 42,572 | 82¢ → 62¢ | $26,501 | −$8,613 −25% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27,407 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $25,078 | +$2,295 +10% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | Yes | 34,416 | 87¢ → 71¢ | $24,436 | −$5,529 −18% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 32,537 | 81¢ → 73¢ | $23,817 | −$2,593 −9.8% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23,069 | 56¢ → 91¢ | $20,877 | +$8,026 +62% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 13,245 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $12,430 | +$164 +1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12,000 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $10,860 | −$240 −2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 14,838 | 87¢ → 71¢ | $10,542 | −$2,359 −18% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 12,231 | 52¢ → 77¢ | $9,406 | +$3,046 +48% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 10,173 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $9,206 | −$69 −0.7% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10,074 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $8,734 | +$321 +3.8% |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 9,652 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $8,542 | +$59 +0.7% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,411 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $7,192 | −$216 −2.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,405 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $6,479 | +$33 +0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 6,000 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $5,640 | −$30 −0.5% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 6,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $5,520 | +$7 +0.1% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5,624 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $5,034 | +$196 +4.1% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 5,000 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $4,745 | −$70 −1.5% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,186 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $4,538 | −$148 −3.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 4,685 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $4,146 | +$25 +0.6% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 5,076 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $3,934 | −$215 −5.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 4,000 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $3,758 | −$19 −0.5% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,930 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $3,753 | +$613 +20% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 6,000 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $3,750 | −$150 −3.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4,000 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $3,740 | +$40 +1.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,000 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $3,628 | −$118 −3.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,640 | 46¢ → 64¢ | $3,581 | +$962 +37% |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 7,613 | 71¢ → 47¢ | $3,578 | −$1,821 −34% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 3,634 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $3,552 | +$40 +1.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,733 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $3,266 | −$149 −4.4% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 3,807 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $3,255 | −$1 −0.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,000 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $3,220 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 3,000 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $2,805 | +$5 +0.2% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 6,419 | 77¢ → 44¢ | $2,792 | −$2,119 −43% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,013 | 64¢ → 34¢ | $2,728 | −$2,424 −47% |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,948 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $2,697 | +$182 +7.2% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 3,114 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $2,679 | +$84 +3.2% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,808 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $2,657 | +$21 +0.8% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,969 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $2,598 | −$71 −2.7% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,829 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $2,363 | −$22 −0.9% |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,667 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $2,307 | −$61 −2.6% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,863 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $2,248 | −$106 −4.5% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,749 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $2,158 | −$19 −0.9% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,315 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $2,061 | −$73 −3.4% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,571 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $2,044 | +$92 +4.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 10h | Yes | 2,000 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,968 | +$12 +0.6% |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | No | 2,060 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $1,947 | +$14 +0.7% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $1,928 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 4,950 | 75¢ → 39¢ | $1,906 | −$1,806 −49% |
| Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 2,465 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $1,861 | −$130 −6.5% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,000 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $1,856 | −$26 −1.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 2,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,830 | −$10 −0.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 14d | No | 2,000 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $1,816 | −$41 −2.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,762 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $1,811 | −$70 −3.7% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,131 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $1,716 | −$117 −6.4% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,360 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $1,711 | +$252 +17% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,000 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $1,710 | +$37 +2.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,816 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,661 | +$24 +1.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 6,000 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $1,650 | −$23 −1.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 2,000 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $1,590 | −$20 −1.2% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 2,000 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $1,570 | −$30 −1.9% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 2,000 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $1,560 | −$30 −1.9% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,950 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $1,550 | −$78 −4.8% |
| Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 2,000 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $1,520 | −$10 −0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,714 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $1,517 | −$14 −0.9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,134 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $1,505 | −$269 −15% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 2,000 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $1,490 | −$10 −0.7% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,585 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $1,482 | −$5 −0.4% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 2,000 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $1,430 | −$90 −5.9% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 2,000 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $1,430 | −$152 −9.6% |
| Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,600 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $1,360 | −$73 −5.1% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,400 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,354 | −$2 −0.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 1,737 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $1,329 | −$9 −0.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 2,000 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $1,250 | −$60 −4.6% |
| Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 653d | No | 1,361 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $1,205 | −$41 −3.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 2,271 | 78¢ → 53¢ | $1,204 | −$572 −32% |
| Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 1,342 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $1,185 | −$12 −1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 2,000 | 64¢ → 57¢ | $1,150 | −$120 −9.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,631 | 54¢ → 24¢ | $1,088 | −$1,430 −57% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 1,220 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $1,079 | −$2 −0.2% |
| Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | No | 1,500 | 86¢ → 71¢ | $1,065 | −$227 −18% |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,162 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $1,052 | −$14 −1.3% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,200 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $1,038 | +$52 +5.3% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,600 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $1,030 | +$122 +13% |
| Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,438 | 84¢ → 72¢ | $1,028 | −$183 −15% |
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,362 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $1,015 | −$49 −4.6% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,326 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $1,001 | −$71 −6.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,300 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $995 | −$13 −1.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,000 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $965 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 991 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $963 | +$11 +1.1% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$16 +1.8% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $945 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 999 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $944 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,097 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $938 | −$4 −0.5% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | No change | 1,000 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $920 | +$68 +7.9% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,339 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $917 | +$58 +6.7% |
