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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 21% | — | +2 pts | 21¢ · 21¢ (<1¢) | $4.42K | in 753d |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 13% | — | 0 pts | 13¢ · 13¢ (<1¢) | $439 | in 753d |
| Jon Ossoff | 9% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 9¢ · 9¢ (<1¢) | $5.7K | in 753d |
| Gavin Newsom | 9% | — | 0 pts | 9¢ · 9¢ (<1¢) | $355 | in 753d |
| Marco Rubio | 8% | — | 0 pts | 8¢ · 8¢ (<1¢) | $470 | in 753d |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $9.5K | in 753d |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $42.4 | in 753d |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $512 | in 753d |
| Ron DeSantis | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $2.16K | in 753d |
| Andy Beshear | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 753d |
| Tucker Carlson | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $158 | in 753d |
| James Talarico | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $212 | in 753d |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $1.06K | in 753d |
| Donald Trump | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $14.2 | in 753d |
| Mark Kelly | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $870 | in 753d |
| Raphael Warnock | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.08K | in 753d |
| Wes Moore | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.47K | in 753d |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.08K | in 753d |
| Ro Khanna | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $693 | in 753d |
| Ivanka Trump | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $2.53K | in 753d |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.76K | in 751d |
| JB Pritzker | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $908 | in 753d |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.61K | in 753d |
| Ted Cruz | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $50.6 | in 753d |
| Jamie Dimon | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $32.2 | in 753d |
| Gretchen Whitmer | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.58K | in 753d |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.89K | in 753d |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $4.29K | in 753d |
| Greg Abbott | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $410 | in 753d |
| Elon Musk | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.53K | in 753d |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $12K | in 753d |
| Stephen Smith | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Tim Walz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $5 | in 753d |
| LeBron James | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Kim Kardashian | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $99 | in 753d |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Eric Trump | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Pete Hegseth | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Jalen Brunson | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Abigail Spanberger | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Adam Schiff | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Josh Stein | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Candace Owens | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Tim Scott | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Mike Johnson | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Doug Burgum | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $90 | in 753d |
| John N. Kennedy | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Rick Scott | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Jon Ossoff | SellNo91¢ | $1,667 | +$3 +0.2% | — |
| 21h | ZumbaGirl | Kamala Harris | BuyNo96¢ | $1,700 | −$2 −0.1% | 12 |
| 1d | ziler | Marco Rubio | BuyNo92¢ | $1,950 | −$1 −0.1% | 15 |
| 1d | frikerclo | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo97¢ | $2,120 | −$1 −0.1% | 12 |
| 1d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Jon Ossoff | BuyNo90¢ → 91¢ | $1,808 | +$7 +0.4% | 16 |
| 1d |  bifurcatio | Jon Ossoff | BuyNo90¢ → 91¢ | $2,869 | +$12 +0.4% | 16 |
| 1d | bifurcatio | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo91¢ | $1,629 | +$1 +0.1% | 16 |
| 1d | marcelin20272 fills | JD Vance | SellYes22¢ → 21¢ | $3,701 | +$99 +2.7% | — |
| 2d | crayven | Jon Ossoff | SellYes10¢ → 9¢ | $1,369 | +$47 +3.5% | — |
| 2d | WERTY-339 | Ivanka Trump | SellNo99¢ | $1,896 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | lastminwin | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo91¢ | $2,875 | +$5 +0.2% | 16 |
| 2d | Falima | Michelle Obama | SellNo>99¢ | $2,475 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | konsomida | JD Vance | SellNo78¢ → 79¢ | $1,548 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 3d | Boey | Jon Ossoff | SellYes10¢ → 9¢ | $1,750 | +$105 +6.0% | — |
| 3d | aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1 | Nikki Haley | SellNo>99¢ | $2,882 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | dfehgt64ef | Kamala Harris | SellNo96¢ | $2,101 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 4d | ErdoganTurkish | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $2,917 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | Angerbird | Kamala Harris | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,947 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 4d | Angerbird | Kamala Harris | BuyNo96¢ | $2,950 | +$12 +0.4% | 13 |
| 4d | aaaaaaaaaa3 fills | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyYes13¢ | $4,206 | −$6 −0.1% | 40 |
| 4d |  mombil | JD Vance | SellYes23¢ → 21¢ | $3,063 | +$204 +6.7% | — |
| 5d | Ventro | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $4,034 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Avatar | Ivanka Trump | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $2,370 | −$4 −0.2% | 10 |
| 5d | Avatar | Donald Trump Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 5d | ErdoganTurkish | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo97¢ | $2,920 | −$2 −0.1% | 12 |
| 5d | Verifik | Michelle Obama | SellNo>99¢ | $3,551 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | dsgfdh764eesrggfh | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $4,763 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | WERTY-339 | Ivanka Trump | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $1,900 | −$3 −0.2% | 10 |
| 5d | WERTY-339 | Donald Trump Jr. | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $1,400 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 5d | hfv | JD Vance | BuyNo82¢ → 79¢ | $3,805 | −$143 −3.8% | 22 |
| 5d | woshiLimpeh | JD Vance | BuyYes18¢ → 21¢ | $1,742 | +$317 +18% | 33 |
| 5d | ZumbaGirl | Josh Shapiro | BuyNo97¢ | $1,155 | −$1 −0.1% | 12 |
| 5d | 0xF6E856AAd5567D365aef7cE1ED5a2C76cf89BF7 | Michelle Obama | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 0xF6E856AAd5567D365aef7cE1ED5a2C76cf89BF7 | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 6d | Pokrw007 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo87¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | 19 |
| 6d | 0x989d…4ba3 | Gavin Newsom | BuyYes9¢ | $1,134 | +$31 +2.8% | 31 |
| 6d | BunCaCham | JD Vance | SellYes16¢ → 21¢ | $2,970 | −$904 −30% | — |
| 6d | 11122 | JD Vance | SellNo84¢ → 79¢ | $6,259 | +$369 +5.9% | — |
| 6d | cornishon2 | JD Vance | SellNo84¢ → 79¢ | $1,259 | +$74 +5.9% | — |
| 6d | sportstrader12 fills | JD Vance | SellNo81¢ → 79¢ | $3,684 | +$93 +2.5% | — |
| 6d |  Car | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellYes13¢ | $1,313 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 6d | petkovacevic | Marco Rubio | BuyYes8¢ | $2,062 | −$87 −4.2% | 35 |
| 7d |  Rex416 | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo97¢ | $2,433 | −$1 −0.1% | 12 |
| 7d | Katello2 fills | JD Vance | SellYes24¢ → 21¢ | $29,002 | +$3,630 +13% | — |
| 7d | FaithRomania | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $3,826 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | Doorshan | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $2,391 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | FaithRomania | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo97¢ | $3,830 | −$2 −0.1% | 12 |
| 9d | Shitposter | James Talarico | BuyYes2¢ | $5,627 | −$412 −7.3% | 43 |
| 9d | Ferwhere | Ron DeSantis | BuyYes3¢ → 2¢ | $1,500 | −$374 −25% | 33 |
| 10d | Ed23572 fills | Marco Rubio | SellYes4¢ → 8¢ | $5,522 | −$5,122 −93% | — |
| 10d | hhhffff55 | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $3,896 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | hhhffff55 | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo97¢ | $3,900 | −$2 −0.1% | 12 |
| 10d | 0x49F2063 fills | JD Vance | SellYes20¢ → 21¢ | $5,967 | −$238 −4.0% | — |
| 10d | tsihkodiives | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo86¢ → 87¢ | $13,105 | +$145 +1.1% | 19 |
| 10d | Vedmak | Tulsi Gabbard | SellNo>99¢ | $4,495 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | konsomida2 fills | JD Vance | BuyNo80¢ → 79¢ | $5,593 | −$67 −1.2% | 23 |
| 10d | luckyshot5 | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $4,636 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Sassenah | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $1,604 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Vidreovulume | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo97¢ | $1,239 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Vidreovulume | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo97¢ | $1,240 | −$1 −0.1% | 12 |
ScottyNooo102,809 sharesThe 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 21¢ for JD Vance means the market gives it about 21%.