| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 269,680 | 55¢ → 77¢ | $207,384 | +$58,089 +39% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 195,875 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $104,891 | −$10,210 −8.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 87,781 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $79,442 | +$5,871 +8.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 45,178 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $40,886 | +$1,427 +3.6% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 75,459 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $40,371 | −$4,345 −9.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 55,548 | 59¢ → 66¢ | $36,384 | +$3,741 +11% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 54,645 | 47¢ → 63¢ | $34,153 | +$8,591 +34% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 34,019 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $29,426 | +$4,140 +16% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 25,333 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $23,940 | +$4,836 +25% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 344,054 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $23,912 | +$8,223 +52% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 102,809 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $21,641 | −$1,973 −8.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 89,081 | 48¢ → 24¢ | $20,934 | −$21,657 −51% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 22,238 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $20,348 | +$539 +2.7% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 480,253 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $19,690 | +$5,838 +42% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 25,000 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $19,625 | −$1,586 −7.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21,063 | 48¢ → 65¢ | $13,585 | +$3,399 +33% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 46,803 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $12,871 | −$2,201 −15% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 24,052 | 45¢ → 48¢ | $11,581 | +$783 +7.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16,064 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $11,478 | +$578 +5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 17,471 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $10,395 | −$589 −5.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 15,542 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $9,869 | +$1,802 +22% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 8,648 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $8,000 | +$338 +4.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 11,771 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $7,592 | +$552 +7.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11,639 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $6,925 | −$751 −9.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9,269 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $6,534 | +$5 +0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,050 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $6,169 | −$34 −0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 6,072 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $5,911 | −$20 −0.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 8,326 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $5,787 | −$55 −0.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,466 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $5,658 | −$64 −1.1% |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 17d | No | 5,712 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $5,629 | +$9 +0.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 40,203 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $5,367 | −$2,196 −29% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,521 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $4,665 | +$66 +1.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,416 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $4,010 | −$31 −0.8% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 4,129 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $4,003 | +$51 +1.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 8,546 | 39¢ → 46¢ | $3,952 | +$629 +19% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 6,933 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $3,536 | +$205 +6.2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,627 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $3,513 | +$32 +0.9% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 3,675 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $3,328 | +$408 +14% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 37,138 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $3,324 | −$2,561 −44% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 316,228 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $3,320 | +$2,706 +441% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,177 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $3,236 | −$82 −2.5% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 64,329 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $3,184 | −$123 −3.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 3,326 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $3,176 | +$98 +3.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 3,118 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $3,057 | +$79 +2.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 2,955 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,927 | +$15 +0.5% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,367 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $2,647 | +$123 +4.9% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 2,916 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $2,645 | +$216 +8.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 19,572 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $2,574 | +$1,485 +136% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 3,283 | 86¢ → 78¢ | $2,544 | −$295 −10% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 31,509 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $2,505 | −$823 −25% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,549 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $2,420 | +$2 +0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,218 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $2,333 | +$26 +1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,344 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $2,226 | +$22 +1.0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 114,752 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2,180 | +$1,286 +144% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 8,887 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $1,955 | +$164 +9.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,311 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $1,837 | +$97 +5.6% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,728 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $1,564 | +$37 +2.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 12,142 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $1,518 | +$412 +37% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 84,465 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1,478 | −$344 −19% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,542 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,411 | +$16 +1.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,392 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,342 | +$94 +7.5% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 13,868 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $1,283 | −$75 −5.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 42,941 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $1,267 | +$453 +56% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,703 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $1,218 | +$9 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 1,104 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,098 | +$3 +0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,333 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $1,073 | +$21 +2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,711 | 26¢ → 39¢ | $1,044 | +$342 +49% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 8,253 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $1,032 | +$172 +20% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 75d | No | 1,201 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $997 | +$118 +13% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 54,259 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $895 | +$277 +45% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,294 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $891 | −$54 −5.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 13,279 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $863 | −$467 −35% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 866 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $827 | +$128 +18% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,144 | 58¢ → 64¢ | $726 | +$62 +9.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 700 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $697 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 937 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $679 | +$45 +7.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,334 | 50¢ → 9¢ | $660 | −$3,015 −82% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 800 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $604 | −$8 −1.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 666 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $603 | +$13 +2.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 666 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $596 | +$13 +2.3% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 600 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $591 | +$9 +1.5% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 665 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $584 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 650 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $572 | +$21 +3.7% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,297 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $566 | −$1,305 −70% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,459 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $553 | −$65 −11% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $525 | +$9 +1.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,197 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $515 | −$53 −9.3% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 600 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $513 | −$8 −1.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,603 | 35¢ → 32¢ | $505 | −$61 −11% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 700 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $501 | +$5 +1.0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 8,633 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $488 | +$129 +36% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 510 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $482 | +$13 +2.8% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 550 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $481 | +$10 +2.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,924 | 17¢ → 25¢ | $471 | +$137 +41% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 16,717 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $460 | +$192 +72% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 600 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $453 | +$19 +4.4% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,141 | 28¢ → 6¢ | $448 | −$1,838 −80% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 475 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $435 | +$18 +4.4% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,926 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $424 | −$314 −43% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,709 | 16¢ → 25¢ | $421 | +$150 +55% |
