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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 64% | — | — | 63¢ · 64¢ (1¢) | $2.4K | in 753d |
| Republican | 35% | — | — | 34¢ · 35¢ (1¢) | $160 | in 753d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | anoin123 | Republican | SellNo65¢ → 66¢ | $2,881 | −$22 −0.8% | — |
| 17d |  pika2zero | Republican | SellYes34¢ → 35¢ | $1,020 | −$15 −1.5% | — |
| 21d | Insider2024 | Democratic | SellYes66¢ → 64¢ | $2,639 | +$99 +3.7% | — |
| 22d | yeeTradez2 fills | Republican | SellNo64¢ → 66¢ | $5,152 | −$110 −2.1% | — |
| 24d | 0x5b83…388f | Democratic | SellYes66¢ → 64¢ | $1,116 | +$42 +3.8% | — |
| 24d | 0xb017…34c9 | Democratic | BuyYes66¢ → 64¢ | $1,054 | −$40 −3.8% | 30 |
| 25d | 0x55a1…5a26 | Democratic | BuyYes66¢ → 64¢ | $1,122 | −$43 −3.8% | 30 |
| 26d | 0xcf81…9106 | Democratic | BuyYes67¢ → 64¢ | $1,030 | −$54 −5.2% | 30 |
| 26d | Insider2024 | Democratic | BuyYes66¢ → 64¢ | $7,000 | −$285 −4.1% | 30 |
| 27d | 0x2321…84b7 | Republican | BuyYes37¢ → 35¢ | $1,053 | −$71 −6.8% | 30 |
| 27d | 0x7a04…4d28 | Democratic | SellYes63¢ → 64¢ | $1,113 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 27d | 0xe6f1…63d6 | Democratic | BuyYes64¢ | $1,275 | −$10 −0.8% | 30 |
| 29d | 0x8761…0611 | Republican | BuyYes35¢ | $1,126 | −$16 −1.4% | 30 |
| 31d |  LinaBell | Republican | BuyYes34¢ → 35¢ | $3,094 | +$1 +0.0% | 33 |
| 31d | letsfackingo | Democratic | SellYes64¢ | $1,085 | +$8 +0.8% | — |
| 33d | rebotsliaf | Democratic | SellYes68¢ → 64¢ | $7,541 | +$499 +6.6% | — |
| 33d | loganx2 fills | Democratic | BuyYes66¢ → 64¢ | $40,043 | −$1,308 −3.3% | 30 |
| 33d | alwayssaytrue4 fills | Democratic | BuyYes68¢ → 64¢ | $24,382 | −$1,668 −6.8% | 30 |
| 33d |  TheMasterMind | Democratic | SellYes66¢ → 64¢ | $1,650 | +$62 +3.8% | — |
| 33d | Bigggggggg | Republican | BuyNo67¢ → 66¢ | $1,174 | −$25 −2.1% | 30 |
| 33d | rhmaxi | Democratic | BuyYes67¢ → 64¢ | $24,258 | −$1,200 −4.9% | 30 |
| 34d | Heskel23 fills | Republican | SellYes37¢ → 35¢ | $6,883 | +$538 +7.8% | — |
| 38d |  wagmiser2 fills | Democratic | BuyYes60¢ → 64¢ | $2,900 | +$165 +5.7% | 30 |
| 40d | WAGGY | Republican | SellYes38¢ → 35¢ | $1,129 | +$104 +9.2% | — |
| 41d | Heskel2 | Democratic | SellNo39¢ → 37¢ | $5,525 | +$415 +7.5% | — |
| 48d | MeltersFTW | Democratic | BuyYes58¢ → 64¢ | $2,900 | +$275 +9.5% | 30 |
| 56d | 0x96fc…cf38 | Democratic | SellYes58¢ → 64¢ | $2,310 | −$228 −9.9% | — |
| 56d | anothaonebitesthedust | Democratic | SellYes58¢ → 64¢ | $2,842 | −$269 −9.5% | — |
| 56d | 0x55a1…5a26 | Democratic | SellNo39¢ → 37¢ | $1,618 | +$121 +7.5% | — |
| 57d | 0x55a1…5a26 | Democratic | BuyNo41¢ → 37¢ | $1,681 | −$184 −11% | 31 |
| 57d | 0x0a37…08da | Democratic | SellYes58¢ → 64¢ | $1,298 | −$123 −9.5% | — |
| 59d | 0x4612…7784 | Democratic | SellYes58¢ → 64¢ | $1,239 | −$117 −9.5% | — |
| 64d | Heskel23 fills | Republican | BuyYes41¢ → 35¢ | $8,597 | −$1,420 −17% | 34 |
| 64d | Heskel22 fills | Democratic | BuyNo42¢ → 37¢ | $7,000 | −$869 −12% | 33 |
| 64d | EducatedGuess69420 | Democratic | BuyYes59¢ → 64¢ | $1,200 | +$92 +7.6% | 30 |
| 68d | 0x96a0…191b | Republican | BuyYes39¢ → 35¢ | $1,335 | −$154 −12% | 31 |
| 69d | letsfackingo | Democratic | BuyYes60¢ → 64¢ | $1,017 | +$59 +5.8% | 30 |
| 70d | anothaonebitesthedust | Democratic | BuyYes60¢ → 64¢ | $1,631 | +$95 +5.8% | 30 |
| 78d |  ASteroide2 fills | Democratic | BuyYes60¢ → 64¢ | $5,783 | +$362 +6.3% | 30 |
| 81d | 0x7a04…4d28 | Democratic | BuyYes58¢ → 64¢ | $1,305 | +$124 +9.5% | 30 |
| 82d | 0x89d2…1814 | Democratic | SellYes57¢ → 64¢ | $1,282 | −$146 −11% | — |
| 84d | 0x4612…7784 | Democratic | BuyYes58¢ → 64¢ | $1,239 | +$117 +9.5% | 30 |
| 85d | 0x644a…f70a | Democratic | SellNo41¢ → 37¢ | $1,745 | +$192 +11% | — |
| 85d | 0x644a…f70a | Democratic | BuyNo43¢ → 37¢ | $1,895 | −$278 −15% | 31 |
| 100d | Chet1977 | Republican | SellYes40¢ → 35¢ | $1,130 | +$155 +14% | — |
| 119d | veinteuno | Republican | BuyYes41¢ → 35¢ | $1,230 | −$195 −16% | 30 |
| 131d | sadww | Republican | SellNo59¢ → 66¢ | $1,180 | −$130 −11% | — |
| 138d | WeJustBettin | Democratic | BuyYes60¢ → 64¢ | $1,200 | +$73 +6.1% | 30 |
| 139d | ASA13 fills | Democratic | SellYes59¢ → 64¢ | $6,361 | −$506 −8.0% | — |
| 142d | hybridfar | Democratic | BuyYes61¢ → 64¢ | $1,208 | +$50 +4.1% | 30 |
| 142d | WAGGY | Republican | BuyYes40¢ → 35¢ | $1,188 | −$163 −14% | 30 |
| 142d | WAGGY | Democratic | BuyYes61¢ → 64¢ | $1,812 | +$74 +4.1% | 30 |
| 147d | ASteroide | Republican | BuyYes39¢ → 35¢ | $5,029 | −$580 −12% | 33 |
| 148d | AJM963 fills | Democratic | SellYes60¢ → 64¢ | $8,744 | −$447 −5.1% | — |
| 148d | 0x7724…51f2 | Democratic | BuyYes61¢ → 64¢ | $1,020 | +$42 +4.1% | 30 |
| 161d | 0x99bb…7acb | Republican | SellYes38¢ → 35¢ | $1,042 | +$96 +9.2% | — |
| 163d | yeeTradez2 fills | Republican | BuyNo62¢ → 66¢ | $8,030 | +$485 +6.0% | 30 |
| 175d | 0x12b3…6aef | Republican | SellNo61¢ → 66¢ | $1,647 | −$122 −7.4% | — |
| 176d | AJM962 fills | Republican | SellNo61¢ → 66¢ | $8,139 | −$600 −7.4% | — |
| 180d | cocococococo | Democratic | SellYes60¢ → 64¢ | $2,413 | −$141 −5.8% | — |
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 64¢ for Democratic means the market gives it about 64%.
