| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,000 | 54¢ → 64¢ | $6,350 | +$950 +18% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $4,897 | +$52 +1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,000 | 45¢ → 35¢ | $3,450 | −$1,050 −23% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoEnds in 75d | Nothing | 3,000 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2,934 | +$82 +2.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,796 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,740 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 2,000 | 82¢ → 74¢ | $1,470 | −$170 −10% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,000 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $1,413 | −$65 −4.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 38¢ → 63¢ | $1,250 | +$496 +66% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,106 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,071 | +$30 +2.8% |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $1,000 | +$60 +6.3% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $975 | +$52 +5.7% |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Ends in 75d | No | 999 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $958 | +$48 +5.2% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $955 | +$35 +3.8% |
| Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 1,000 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $953 | +$90 +10% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $925 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Ends in 100d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $917 | −$19 −2.1% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $915 | +$115 +14% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $905 | −$25 −2.7% |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 900 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $899 | +$56 +6.6% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,000 | 53¢ → 89¢ | $890 | +$360 +68% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,000 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $855 | −$35 −3.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,000 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $838 | −$241 −22% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1,000 | 19¢ → 79¢ | $790 | +$600 +316% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 771 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $698 | +$19 +2.8% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5,000 | 4¢ → 13¢ | $633 | +$438 +224% |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Ends ended | Yes | 600 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $585 | +$60 +12% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5,000 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $575 | +$175 +44% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 46¢ → 28¢ | $550 | −$371 −40% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,000 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $526 | +$296 +128% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5,000 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $525 | +$75 +17% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?Ends in 85d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $494 | +$24 +5.2% |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5,001 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $493 | +$152 +45% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $491 | +$41 +9.1% |
| Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 500 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $489 | +$29 +6.3% |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $488 | +$18 +3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $484 | +$9 +1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $483 | +$23 +5.0% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $481 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $476 | +$26 +5.7% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $470 | +$55 +13% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 500 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $455 | +$15 +3.4% |
| Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | No | 456 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $452 | +$21 +5.0% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$38 +9.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 463 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $433 | +$35 +8.7% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $432 | −$48 −10% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 505 | 95¢ → 85¢ | $428 | −$52 −11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 76¢ → 69¢ | $411 | −$46 −10% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,000 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $398 | −$16 −3.9% |
| Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $397 | +$57 +17% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5,000 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $392 | +$115 +41% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $384 | +$29 +8.1% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 500 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $378 | −$12 −3.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $374 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $372 | +$30 +8.7% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 758 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $368 | −$11 −2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $362 | +$18 +5.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,000 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $358 | −$366 −51% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 435 | 67¢ → 76¢ | $329 | +$37 +13% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 380 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $327 | −$25 −7.0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5,000 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $325 | −$275 −46% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 392 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $324 | −$14 −4.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $318 | −$33 −9.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 312 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $301 | +$11 +3.9% |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 310 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $298 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $292 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 304 | 66¢ → 94¢ | $286 | +$86 +43% |
| Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Ends ended | Yes | 286 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $280 | +$69 +32% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 62¢ → 89¢ | $265 | +$79 +43% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?Ends in 84d | No | 272 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $264 | +$7 +2.7% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $260 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 56¢ → 52¢ | $258 | −$23 −8.0% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 263 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $252 | +$8 +3.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 41¢ → 49¢ | $243 | +$38 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $218 | −$8 −3.3% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $215 | +$15 +7.5% |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 219 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $212 | +$7 +3.3% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 2h | No | 500 | 86¢ → 42¢ | $210 | −$221 −51% |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 209 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $209 | +$12 +5.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 215 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $206 | +$6 +3.1% |
| Will Georgia win Junior Eurovision 2026?Ends in 287d | No | 230 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $200 | −$11 −5.4% |
| Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$12 +6.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 217 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $198 | −$5 −2.7% |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$46 +30% |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,000 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $195 | −$15 −7.1% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1,000 | 41¢ → 20¢ | $195 | −$215 −52% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$4 +1.9% |
| Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends ended | No | 194 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $193 | +$21 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$7 +3.8% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$6 +3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$15 +8.4% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$39 +26% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Ends in 12d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $189 | +$30 +19% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 5,000 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $188 | +$4 +2.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Wisconsin Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 221 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $187 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 196 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $184 | +$4 +2.2% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 195 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $183 | +$32 +21% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$6 +3.2% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Ends in 12d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 60¢ | $180 | −$81 −31% |
| First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 92¢ → 59¢ | $176 | −$101 −36% |
