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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $3.27K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | 83offwrf2 fills | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SellNo95¢ | $4,170 | −$15 −0.4% | — |
| 3d | houdini992 fills | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $2,527 | +$10 +0.4% | 7 |
| 4d |  archaic3 fills | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SellNo95¢ | $8,734 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 5d | hfv2 fills | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 95¢ | $3,235 | +$33 +1.0% | 8 |
| 5d |  elmcap2 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 95¢ | $17,657 | +$227 +1.3% | 8 |
| 6d | iloveyield2 fills | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $2,650 | +$85 +3.2% | 9 |
| 7d | 83offwrf | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 95¢ | $1,034 | +$13 +1.3% | 8 |
| 91d | archaic | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $5,733 | +$168 +2.9% | 9 |
elmcap221,286 shares
Zaratustra7,700 shares
Donny.T6,842 shares
risk-manager5,643 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 5%.