| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,466 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $3,049 | −$75 −2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 927 | 33¢ → >99¢ | $926 | +$620 +203% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 980 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $896 | +$52 +6.2% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | No | 3,156 | 61¢ → 27¢ | $839 | −$1,082 −56% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 816 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $747 | +$18 +2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 722 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $721 | +$169 +31% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 697 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $672 | +$7 +1.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 672 | 53¢ → >99¢ | $671 | +$314 +88% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 606 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $604 | +$64 +12% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,055 | 77¢ → 54¢ | $570 | −$243 −30% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,045 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $568 | −$134 −19% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 25d | Yes | 1,294 | 51¢ → 41¢ | $524 | −$136 −21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | Yes | 1,336 | 32¢ → 39¢ | $514 | +$83 +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 497 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $497 | +$151 +44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 722 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $469 | −$11 −2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 487 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $469 | +$143 +44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 461 | 46¢ → 94¢ | $432 | +$221 +105% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 826 | 56¢ → 49¢ | $401 | −$63 −14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 392 | 66¢ → >99¢ | $392 | +$133 +51% |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 469 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $355 | −$38 −9.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 381 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $326 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 18?Ends in 11h | Yes | 737 | 37¢ → 42¢ | $306 | +$37 +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 299 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $299 | +$36 +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 396 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $295 | −$10 −3.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 407 | 61¢ → 72¢ | $293 | +$45 +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 335 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $278 | +$12 +4.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 320 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $270 | −$7 −2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 469 | 68¢ → 57¢ | $270 | −$48 −15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 331 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $268 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 267 | 82¢ → >99¢ | $267 | +$48 +22% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 340 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $261 | −$17 −6.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 253 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $253 | +$30 +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 377 | 79¢ → 67¢ | $251 | −$47 −16% |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 376 | 72¢ → 67¢ | $250 | −$21 −7.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | Yes | 526 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $250 | −$45 −15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 250 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $250 | +$227 +999% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or higher on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 1,660 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $249 | −$10 −3.8% |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 301 | 89¢ → 79¢ | $237 | −$32 −12% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?Ends in 76d | No | 287 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $235 | −$3 −1.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 226 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $226 | +$31 +16% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d | No | 300 | 83¢ → 73¢ | $219 | −$31 −12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 245 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $217 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6,791 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $204 | −$61 −23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 460 | 59¢ → 44¢ | $200 | −$71 −26% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 261 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $196 | +$4 +2.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | Yes | 592 | 43¢ → 33¢ | $195 | −$59 −23% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5,015 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $191 | −$85 −31% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 215 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $186 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 283 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $185 | +$13 +7.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 317 | 58¢ → 57¢ | $182 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 181 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $181 | +$27 +18% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 215 | 89¢ → 83¢ | $177 | −$14 −7.3% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 275 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $177 | −$14 −7.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 211 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $174 | −$5 −2.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 215 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $171 | −$12 −6.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 175 | 35¢ → 98¢ | $170 | +$109 +179% |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 255 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $168 | −$8 −4.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 215 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $168 | −$9 −4.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 249 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $167 | −$15 −8.1% |
| Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,208 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $163 | −$175 −52% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 231 | 79¢ → 70¢ | $161 | −$21 −12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 159 | 81¢ → >99¢ | $159 | +$30 +23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 205 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $157 | −$12 −7.2% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 324 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $156 | −$19 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 19?Ends in 1d | Yes | 340 | 47¢ → 45¢ | $151 | −$9 −5.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 148 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $148 | +$135 +999% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4,980 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $144 | −$129 −47% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 144 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $144 | +$25 +21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 158 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $140 | +$6 +4.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | Yes | 437 | 94¢ → 32¢ | $140 | −$271 −66% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 182 | 92¢ → 76¢ | $138 | −$29 −17% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 178 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $136 | −$5 −3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 148 | 9¢ → 92¢ | $136 | +$122 +907% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 133 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $133 | +$121 +999% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 244 | 57¢ → 54¢ | $132 | −$7 −5.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 167 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $125 | −$10 −7.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 125 | 47¢ → >99¢ | $125 | +$66 +113% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | Yes | 547 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $123 | −$15 −11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5,015 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $120 | −$160 −57% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 150 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $119 | −$5 −4.0% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 148 | 93¢ → 80¢ | $119 | −$19 −14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | Yes | 416 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $118 | +$52 +80% |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | No | 285 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $115 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 158 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $115 | −$7 −5.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 349 | 9¢ → 33¢ | $113 | +$82 +258% |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 75d | No | 133 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $113 | −$4 −3.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 224 | 43¢ → 50¢ | $111 | +$15 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 335 | 35¢ → 33¢ | $111 | −$7 −6.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | Yes | 329 | 9¢ → 34¢ | $110 | +$80 +269% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 156 | 78¢ → 68¢ | $106 | −$15 −13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 134 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $105 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | No | 182 | 67¢ → 57¢ | $105 | −$17 −14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 200 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $104 | −$20 −16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 202 | 18¢ → 51¢ | $102 | +$66 +186% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 257 | 52¢ → 40¢ | $102 | −$32 −24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 107 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $100 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 18?Ends in 11h | No | 126 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $100 | −$3 −3.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 100 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$25 +33% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 99 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $99 | +$8 +8.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 138 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $99 | +$6 +5.9% |
