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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 12¢ · 12¢ (<1¢) | $3.12K | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | delphy | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 88¢ | $1,494 | −$19 −1.2% | 11 |
| 21d |  MEPP | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 88¢ | $4,182 | +$72 +1.7% | — |
| 36d | zbajie2 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo85¢ → 88¢ | $3,638 | −$144 −4.0% | — |
| 36d | pepei | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $2,150 | +$49 +2.3% | 13 |
| 36d | rocket12 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 88¢ | $3,753 | +$117 +3.1% | 14 |
| 37d | monn | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,387 | −$185 −2.5% | — |
| 37d | teacheer | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,976 | −$175 −2.5% | — |
| 37d | gym-402 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,636 | −$174 −2.6% | — |
| 37d | sunnyg2 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellYes14¢ → 12¢ | $2,370 | +$359 +15% | — |
| 37d | teacheer | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,968 | +$183 +2.6% | 14 |
| 37d | flowert | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,070 | +$186 +2.6% | 14 |
| 37d | monn | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,379 | +$194 +2.6% | 14 |
| 37d | gym-402 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,636 | +$174 +2.6% | 14 |
| 37d | fivexi | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,236 | +$190 +2.6% | 14 |
| 52d | agagyu2 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 88¢ | $3,533 | −$66 −1.9% | 11 |
| 56d | MEPP4 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $10,967 | +$180 +1.6% | 13 |
| 56d | whig | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 88¢ | $1,256 | +$64 +5.1% | 15 |
| 63d |  tetrase | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 88¢ | $2,151 | −$61 −2.8% | 10 |
| 73d |  Porx | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $1,282 | −$34 −2.6% | — |
| 202d |  LinaBell | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo61¢ → 88¢ | $1,403 | +$620 +44% | 24 |
| 208d | ladyvaultemort | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 88¢ | $1,137 | +$53 +4.7% | 15 |
| 211d | AndreaCortez6958 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 88¢ | $1,303 | +$61 +4.7% | 15 |
RememberAmalek38,476 shares
gods-eye14,819 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 12¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 12%.
