| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,914 | +$23 +0.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,552 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $2,386 | +$34 +1.4% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,231 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $2,129 | +$81 +4.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,511 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $1,277 | +$7 +0.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,533 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $1,249 | −$31 −2.4% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,045 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $999 | −$3 −0.3% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,056 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $997 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,091 | 63¢ → 88¢ | $955 | +$270 +39% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,044 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $731 | +$172 +31% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 911 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $715 | −$3 −0.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 700 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $655 | +$18 +2.7% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 651 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $642 | +$38 +6.3% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 732 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $641 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 496 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $469 | +$57 +14% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 463 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $446 | +$21 +5.0% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $443 | −$3 −0.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 450 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $432 | +$16 +3.9% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 434 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $415 | +$8 +2.0% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 429 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $414 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,389 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $394 | −$72 −15% |
| Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 400 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $389 | +$9 +2.3% |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 397 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $383 | −$0 −0.1% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 388 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $373 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 1,386 | 34¢ → 27¢ | $367 | −$104 −22% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 400 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $362 | +$7 +2.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,052 | 51¢ → 34¢ | $359 | −$177 −33% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 385 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $356 | +$23 +6.9% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 327 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $315 | +$5 +1.7% |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 329 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $314 | +$2 +0.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $310 | +$6 +2.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,656 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $306 | −$65 −18% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 300 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $295 | +$5 +1.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 311 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $294 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 315 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $286 | +$15 +5.4% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $285 | +$6 +2.0% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$10 +3.5% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 299 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $280 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $274 | +$4 +1.3% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $273 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $273 | +$40 +17% |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 340 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $272 | +$20 +7.7% |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 261 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $253 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $248 | +$4 +1.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 400 | 58¢ → 57¢ | $230 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 455 | 51¢ → 49¢ | $221 | −$10 −4.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,456 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $220 | −$51 −19% |
| FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?Ends in 14d | No | 210 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $205 | +$6 +3.0% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$8 +4.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$5 +2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 59¢ → 38¢ | $187 | −$105 −36% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 450 | 45¢ → 40¢ | $178 | −$25 −12% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 177 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $170 | +$2 +1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 300 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $167 | −$11 −5.9% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,403 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $166 | −$59 −26% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 390 | 32¢ → 42¢ | $164 | +$39 +31% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 165 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $163 | +$2 +1.5% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,911 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $162 | −$183 −53% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 162 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $162 | +$10 +6.7% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,103 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $154 | −$19 −11% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,139 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $154 | −$173 −53% |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 185 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $153 | +$7 +4.7% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 215 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $152 | +$11 +7.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 600 | 36¢ → 22¢ | $129 | −$85 −40% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,400 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $126 | −$175 −58% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 132 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $126 | +$6 +4.7% |
| Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 120 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $116 | +$8 +7.4% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$20 +26% |
| Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 101 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$9 +10% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 500 | 33¢ → 19¢ | $95 | −$70 −42% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 99 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $95 | +$4 +4.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 800 | 30¢ → 12¢ | $92 | −$148 −62% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 402 | 35¢ → 23¢ | $91 | −$52 −36% |
| Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 92 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $88 | +$8 +9.8% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 420 | 18¢ → 20¢ | $82 | +$6 +8.3% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 223 | 19¢ → 31¢ | $69 | +$27 +63% |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 574 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $69 | −$5 −7.1% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 700 | 26¢ → 10¢ | $67 | −$117 −64% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 240d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 63¢ | $63 | −$7 −9.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 517 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $59 | −$26 −31% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 789 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $59 | −$100 −63% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,412 | 23¢ → 4¢ | $57 | −$272 −83% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 796 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $52 | −$4 −7.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $51 | −$1 −1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 675 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $44 | −$162 −79% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$2 +4.9% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,152 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $42 | −$81 −66% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $38 | −$74 −66% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Ends in 106d | Yes | 488 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $38 | +$3 +8.2% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 400 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $34 | −$10 −23% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 400 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $28 | −$24 −46% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 224 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $28 | −$41 −60% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 881 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$6 −18% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | Yes | 400 | 30¢ → 5¢ | $18 | −$103 −85% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 13d | Something | 400 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $18 | −$14 −44% |
| António Guterres out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 53¢ → 73¢ | $18 | +$5 +36% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $18 | −$2 −7.9% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 65¢ → 85¢ | $17 | +$4 +32% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 145 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $16 | −$8 −34% |
