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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 10% | — | — | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Enriched Uranium Surrender | 5% | — | — | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $1K | in 76d |
| Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | 14% | — | +1 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $530 | in 76d |
| Iran Reconstruction Funding | 9% | — | +1 pts | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | $220 | in 76d |
| Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 13% | — | −4 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $45 | in 76d |
| ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 13% | — | −1 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $30 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | anoin123 | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo86¢ | $1,719 | +$10 +0.6% | — |
| 2d | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo80¢ → 88¢ | $10,198 | +$996 +9.8% | 34 | |
| 2d | hfv | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo87¢ → 86¢ | $2,050 | −$35 −1.7% | 29 |
| 2d | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo79¢ → 86¢ | $18,818 | +$1,672 +8.9% | 34 | |
| 2d | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | BuyNo72¢ → 88¢ | $17,510 | +$3,880 +22% | 39 | |
| 2d | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $1,062 | +$6 +0.6% | 29 | |
| 3d | pnunt | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $8,368 | −$146 −1.7% | — |
| 3d | subjec | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $9,700 | −$169 −1.7% | — |
| 3d | nvwa | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $2,595 | −$45 −1.7% | — |
| 3d | lemeon | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $9,703 | −$169 −1.7% | — |
| 3d | glasse | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $8,814 | −$154 −1.7% | — |
| 10d | MonacoLover2 fills | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo86¢ | $3,053 | −$22 −0.7% | 29 |
| 10d | hopedieslast2 fills | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo85¢ → 86¢ | $6,035 | +$27 +0.4% | 30 |
| 11d | hopedieslast | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo85¢ → 88¢ | $1,506 | +$44 +2.9% | 30 |
| 15d | hfv | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | SellNo81¢ → 88¢ | $1,084 | −$86 −7.9% | — |
| 17d | KiernanMeister | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | SellNo90¢ → 91¢ | $1,625 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 18d | Skinny-Class2 fills | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $2,486 | +$42 +1.7% | 29 |
| 18d | Skinny-Class3 fills | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $4,032 | +$26 +0.6% | 29 |
| 18d | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | SellNo88¢ → 91¢ | $1,665 | −$43 −2.6% | — | |
| 18d | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo81¢ → 86¢ | $3,515 | −$193 −5.5% | — | |
| 19d | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | BuyNo88¢ → 91¢ | $7,449 | +$192 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 20d | Iran Reconstruction Funding | SellNo86¢ → 91¢ | $29,337 | −$1,577 −5.4% | — | |
| 21d | Iran Reconstruction Funding | SellYes14¢ → 9¢ | $1,727 | +$641 +37% | — | |
| 21d | hfv | Iran Reconstruction Funding | BuyNo88¢ → 91¢ | $1,119 | +$38 +3.4% | 28 |
| 22d | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | BuyNo84¢ → 91¢ | $1,518 | +$125 +8.2% | 20 | |
| 22d | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyYes13¢ → 14¢ | $1,284 | +$148 +12% | 42 | |
| 23d | pnunt | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $8,477 | +$49 +0.6% | 29 |
| 23d | subjec | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $9,813 | +$56 +0.6% | 29 |
| 23d | lemeon | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $9,815 | +$56 +0.6% | 29 |
| 23d | glasse | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $8,917 | +$51 +0.6% | 29 |
| 23d | nvwa | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $2,595 | +$45 +1.7% | 29 |
| 24d | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | BuyYes16¢ → 10¢ | $1,986 | −$799 −40% | 24 | |
| 24d | Skinny-Class | Iran Reconstruction Funding | BuyYes19¢ → 9¢ | $1,140 | −$600 −53% | 41 |
| 24d | Skinny-Class | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo83¢ → 86¢ | $2,486 | +$79 +3.2% | 31 |
| 25d | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyYes17¢ → 14¢ | $1,569 | −$258 −16% | 43 | |
| 26d | equalsignificance | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyYes13¢ → 14¢ | $1,316 | +$116 +8.8% | 42 |
| 26d | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyYes11¢ → 13¢ | $1,213 | +$216 +18% | 41 | |
| 32d | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo88¢ → 86¢ | $18,377 | +$531 +2.9% | — | |
| 32d | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | SellNo90¢ → 91¢ | $10,929 | −$92 −0.8% | — | |
| 32d | Iran Reconstruction Funding | SellNo85¢ → 91¢ | $3,914 | −$268 −6.8% | — | |
| 34d | Iran Reconstruction Funding | BuyNo72¢ → 91¢ | $29,047 | +$7,763 +27% | 39 | |
| 36d | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | SellNo87¢ → 88¢ | $9,362 | −$92 −1.0% | — | |
| 47d | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | BuyNo91¢ → 88¢ | $1,518 | −$58 −3.8% | 26 | |
| 49d | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo90¢ → 88¢ | $4,976 | +$129 +2.6% | — | |
| 49d | Enriched Uranium Surrender | BuyNo92¢ → 96¢ | $3,036 | +$116 +3.8% | 25 | |
| 49d | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | BuyNo82¢ → 91¢ | $16,567 | +$1,618 +9.8% | 20 | |
| 50d | Skinny-Class | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | BuyNo88¢ → 91¢ | $1,760 | +$50 +2.8% | 20 |
| 53d | Iran Reconstruction Funding | BuyNo80¢ → 91¢ | $2,876 | +$409 +14% | 34 | |
| 54d | Enriched Uranium Surrender | SellNo92¢ → 96¢ | $1,219 | −$46 −3.8% | — | |
| 55d | Sticky-Closing | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | SellNo92¢ → 88¢ | $1,685 | +$82 +4.9% | — |
| 56d | Sticky-Closing | Iran Reconstruction Funding | BuyNo82¢ → 91¢ | $1,277 | +$140 +11% | 32 |
| 59d | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | BuyNo74¢ → 88¢ | $3,538 | +$670 +19% | 38 | |
| 60d | krill8102 fills | Iran Reconstruction Funding | SellYes23¢ → 9¢ | $2,537 | +$1,564 +62% | — |
| 61d | Iran Reconstruction Funding | BuyNo69¢ → 91¢ | $5,618 | +$1,747 +31% | 40 | |
| 61d | krill810 | Iran Reconstruction Funding | BuyYes22¢ → 9¢ | $1,849 | −$1,098 −59% | 43 |
| 67d | Enriched Uranium Surrender | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $5,000 | +$682 +14% | 31 | |
| 68d | Sticky-Closing | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | BuyNo70¢ → 88¢ | $1,302 | +$331 +25% | 40 |
| 68d | dontshowmyname | Enriched Uranium Surrender | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,470 | +$211 +8.5% | 28 |
| 70d | Sticky-Closing | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | BuyNo73¢ → 88¢ | $1,337 | +$265 +20% | 38 |
| 76d | denizz | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | BuyYes33¢ → 14¢ | $2,488 | −$1,388 −56% | 43 |
Rules
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 10¢ for 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium means the market gives it about 10%.