| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 35,782 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $34,798 | +$361 +1.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 31,904 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $28,554 | +$633 +2.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 28,311 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $25,055 | +$751 +3.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 22,634 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $19,669 | +$496 +2.6% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 13,815 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $13,545 | +$305 +2.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11,600 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $10,962 | +$111 +1.0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 11,482 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $8,669 | +$275 +3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 5,216 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $5,135 | +$98 +1.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $4,625 | −$16 −0.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 4,570 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $4,182 | −$6 −0.1% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 4,239 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $3,832 | +$15 +0.4% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,000 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $3,740 | −$29 −0.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,000 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $3,620 | +$60 +1.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,825 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $3,538 | +$51 +1.4% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 3,743 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $3,500 | +$62 +1.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 3,497 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $3,325 | +$96 +3.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,049 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $2,744 | +$296 +12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 2,939 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $2,454 | −$30 −1.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,500 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,449 | +$29 +1.2% |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 2,616 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $2,289 | +$3 +0.1% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,235 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $2,146 | +$177 +9.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,189 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $2,142 | +$262 +14% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,242 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $2,107 | +$436 +26% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,267 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $2,052 | +$145 +7.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,116 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $2,005 | +$145 +7.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,000 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,985 | +$172 +9.5% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 2,000 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $1,860 | $0 0.0% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,700 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $1,646 | +$190 +13% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 75d | No | 1,602 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,546 | +$92 +6.3% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,400 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $1,323 | +$85 +6.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,282 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,210 | +$66 +5.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,488 | 76¢ → 34¢ | $1,188 | −$1,461 −55% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,199 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,163 | +$59 +5.3% |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,173 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,098 | +$55 +5.3% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,145 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $1,059 | +$69 +6.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,200 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $1,026 | +$84 +8.9% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,108 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $970 | +$53 +5.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,000 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $955 | +$60 +6.7% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,041 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $922 | +$61 +7.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $915 | +$95 +12% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 861 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $853 | +$17 +2.1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 905 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $850 | −$3 −0.3% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 961 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $827 | +$59 +7.6% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 840 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $794 | +$10 +1.3% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 900 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $770 | +$18 +2.4% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,019 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $729 | +$7 +1.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 900 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $725 | +$33 +4.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 700 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $695 | +$13 +1.9% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,100 | 69¢ → 63¢ | $693 | −$68 −8.9% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 700 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $668 | +$44 +7.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 702 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $658 | +$83 +15% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 710 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $657 | +$36 +5.7% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 801 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $657 | +$134 +26% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 696 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $647 | +$61 +10% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $640 | +$36 +5.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 920 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $639 | +$31 +5.0% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $588 | +$18 +3.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 611 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $577 | +$26 +4.8% |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 608 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $528 | +$16 +3.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 540 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $527 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 543 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $510 | +$5 +1.0% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 548 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $501 | +$25 +5.3% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 763 | 77¢ → 65¢ | $492 | −$95 −16% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 494 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $467 | +$13 +2.9% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 507 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $436 | +$76 +21% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $408 | +$4 +0.9% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 466 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $401 | +$16 +4.2% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 420 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $393 | +$45 +13% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 800 | 78¢ → 48¢ | $380 | −$244 −39% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 365 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $360 | +$32 +9.7% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 356 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $340 | +$3 +0.8% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,700 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $338 | +$41 +14% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 600 | 37¢ → 55¢ | $327 | +$105 +47% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 362 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $316 | +$12 +4.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 420 | 58¢ → 75¢ | $315 | +$71 +29% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 500 | 81¢ → 61¢ | $302 | −$102 −25% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 324 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $295 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 600 | 61¢ → 49¢ | $294 | −$75 −20% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$49 +20% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$25 +9.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 341 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $290 | −$5 −1.8% |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$23 +8.6% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $267 | +$15 +6.0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 380 | 52¢ → 69¢ | $262 | +$63 +31% |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 260 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $250 | +$4 +1.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $246 | +$51 +26% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 320 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $245 | −$11 −4.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 400 | 63¢ → 61¢ | $242 | −$10 −4.0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 280 | 93¢ → 85¢ | $238 | −$23 −8.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,590 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $232 | −$260 −53% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 230 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $227 | +$21 +10% |
| Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 264 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $218 | +$15 +7.5% |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 224 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $216 | +$19 +9.5% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 220 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $215 | +$9 +4.2% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $214 | +$28 +15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 214 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $213 | +$14 +7.2% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 862 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $202 | −$188 −48% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 219 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $198 | −$2 −0.8% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 258 | 62¢ → 77¢ | $198 | +$40 +25% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $197 | +$3 +1.5% |
