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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 75,000 | 24% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $41.2K | in 15d |
| ↓ 62,500 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $25K | in 15d |
| ↓ 72,500 | 13% | — | −1 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $18.5K | in 15d |
| ↓ 65,000 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $16.3K | in 15d |
| ↓ 60,000 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $16.1K | in 15d |
| ↑ 90,000 | 16% | −5 pts | −14 pts | 15¢ · 17¢ (2¢) | $15.7K | in 15d |
| ↑ 92,500 | 9% | −2 pts | −11 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $13.8K | in 15d |
| ↑ 100,000 | 1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $13.6K | in 15d |
| ↓ 77,500 | 43% | +3 pts | +5 pts | 42¢ · 43¢ (1¢) | $11.1K | in 15d |
| ↑ 87,500 | 28% | −7 pts | −20 pts | 28¢ · 29¢ (1¢) | $10.9K | in 15d |
| ↓ 80,000 | 77% | +8 pts | — | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | $8.38K | in 15d |
| ↓ 67,500 | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $8.2K | in 15d |
| ↑ 95,000 | 4% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $7.92K | in 15d |
| ↓ 70,000 | 8% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $7.08K | in 15d |
| ↑ 85,000 | 53% | −7 pts | −24 pts | 52¢ · 53¢ (1¢) | $6.61K | in 15d |
| ↑ 82,500 | 85% | — | — | 84¢ · 85¢ (1¢) | $4.8K | in 15d |
| ↑ 105,000 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $3.87K | in 15d |
| ↑ 97,500 | 2% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $2.68K | in 15d |
| ↑ 150,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.02K | in 15d |
| ↑ 102,500 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $599 | in 15d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 77¢ | $2,594 | +$44 +1.7% | 6 |
| 5h | 550966 | ↓ 72,500 | SellYes12¢ → 13¢ | $1,596 | −$67 −4.2% | — |
| 5h | ↑ 105,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $2,510 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 6h | lagex333 | ↓ 62,500 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8h | juanbaby | ↑ 92,500 | BuyNo91¢ → 92¢ | $3,029 | +$17 +0.5% | 3 |
| 8h | afdafdafdafdafd | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ | $14,654 | −$29 −0.2% | 2 |
| 9h | meetmy100bucks | ↓ 75,000 | SellYes24¢ | $3,227 | +$57 +1.8% | — |
| 9h | afdafdafdafdafd | ↓ 62,500 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $9,541 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9h | meetmy100bucks2 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyYes27¢ → 24¢ | $3,264 | −$445 −14% | 9 |
| 9h | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $1,174 | +$7 +0.6% | 3 | |
| 14h | poweragain | ↓ 62,500 | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,253 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 18h | elPolloLoco | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo82¢ → 84¢ | $1,954 | −$48 −2.4% | — |
| 19h | polychar | ↓ 65,000 | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,007 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 21h | 24508 | ↓ 67,500 | SellNo96¢ | $1,278 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 23h | fish8975344 | ↓ 75,000 | SellYes20¢ → 24¢ | $2,000 | −$350 −17% | — |
| 1d | larkspur | ↓ 67,500 | SellNo96¢ | $1,818 | +$0 +0.0% | — |
| 1d | ↑ 87,500 | SellYes38¢ → 28¢ | $2,367 | +$592 +25% | — | |
| 1d | alienshoter | ↑ 92,500 | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $1,193 | +$34 +2.8% | 3 |
| 1d | HandsomeLi2 fills | ↑ 95,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $5,700 | +$72 +1.3% | 3 |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ | $2,798 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 1d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 77¢ | $1,017 | −$32 −3.2% | 2 | |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 87,500 | BuyYes52¢ → 28¢ | $9,514 | −$4,313 −45% | 7 |
| 1d | poweragain | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo99¢ | $2,997 | +$6 +0.2% | — |
| 1d | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 84¢ | $9,360 | +$720 +7.7% | 6 | |
| 1d | Tokor | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo62¢ → 57¢ | $7,359 | −$534 −7.3% | 7 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | ↑ 87,500 | SellYes44¢ → 28¢ | $10,219 | +$3,649 +36% | — |
| 1d | Rab1 | ↑ 90,000 | BuyYes24¢ → 16¢ | $1,601 | −$516 −32% | 6 |
| 1d | HandsomeLi7 fills | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $14,953 | +$35 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | HandsomeLi2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 93¢ | $4,434 | +$24 +0.5% | 3 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | ↓ 77,500 | BuyYes36¢ → 43¢ | $12,155 | +$2,292 +19% | 14 |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 97,500 | BuyNo89¢ → 98¢ | $13,948 | +$1,509 +11% | 4 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca78 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 84¢ | $38,214 | +$2,268 +5.9% | 5 |
| 1d | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo44¢ → 24¢ | $18,937 | −$8,935 −47% | 10 | |
| 1d | ↑ 90,000 | BuyYes25¢ → 16¢ | $1,171 | −$421 −36% | 4 | |
| 1d | 245082 fills | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo88¢ | $2,820 | −$24 −0.9% | 3 |
| 1d | JustHodl | ↑ 87,500 | BuyYes40¢ → 28¢ | $1,000 | −$285 −28% | 4 |
| 1d | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo60¢ → 72¢ | $10,800 | +$2,070 +19% | 7 | |
| 1d | Tokor | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo60¢ → 72¢ | $2,819 | +$540 +19% | 7 |
| 1d | Obey21622 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 53¢ | $5,700 | −$1,500 −26% | 7 |
| 1d | NostraMus | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 93¢ | $1,003 | +$5 +0.5% | 3 |
| 1d | ↓ 77,500 | BuyYes37¢ → 43¢ | $16,452 | +$2,540 +15% | 14 | |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca77 fills | ↑ 92,500 | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $19,758 | +$1,343 +6.8% | 4 |
| 1d | ↑ 87,500 | BuyYes40¢ → 28¢ | $5,098 | −$1,462 −29% | 10 | |
| 1d | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo67¢ → 57¢ | $44,810 | −$6,307 −14% | 7 | |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo41¢ → 72¢ | $8,018 | +$5,820 +73% | 10 |
| 1d | Lkens | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | duneprod1 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,279 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo63¢ → 57¢ | $7,968 | −$706 −8.9% | 7 |
| 1d | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$242 +22% | 2 | |
| 1d | No-89757 | ↓ 77,500 | BuyYes51¢ → 43¢ | $1,237 | −$206 −17% | 4 |
| 1d | 24508 | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,662 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo84¢ | $2,309 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 1d | Big-Bet-Yuko2 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 77¢ | $3,984 | +$56 +1.4% | 4 |
| 1d | Prpapepfpv.Pol1 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,997 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | johnpudricion | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 2d | Barren-Bull-Polliwog | ↓ 77,500 | SellNo42¢ → 57¢ | $1,055 | −$379 −36% | — |
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $11,255 | +$1,987 +18% | 2 |
| 2d | Tokor2 fills | ↓ 77,500 | BuyYes57¢ → 43¢ | $11,400 | −$2,900 −25% | 7 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 77,500 | BuyYes57¢ → 43¢ | $15,106 | −$3,858 −26% | 7 |
| 2d | 10Alexander321 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$128 +7.5% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 24¢ for ↓ 75,000 means the market gives it about 24%.