| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100,000 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $84,500 | −$848 −1.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 94,257 | 34¢ → 39¢ | $36,289 | +$3,870 +12% |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 22,861 | 66¢ → 76¢ | $17,398 | +$2,255 +15% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30,000 | 28¢ → 47¢ | $13,950 | +$5,450 +64% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66,344 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $10,947 | +$996 +10% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 11,871 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $10,387 | +$305 +3.0% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 43,017 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $10,109 | −$4,261 −30% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 12,000 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $8,940 | −$420 −4.5% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 13,527 | 17¢ → 58¢ | $7,846 | +$5,521 +237% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 32,241 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $7,577 | +$173 +2.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31,137 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $7,317 | +$575 +8.5% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 16,972 | 36¢ → 42¢ | $7,044 | +$933 +15% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 25,436 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $6,995 | +$315 +4.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10,147 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $6,545 | +$1,370 +26% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 32,477 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $4,384 | −$641 −13% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,000 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $3,675 | −$225 −5.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 3,099 | 60¢ → 64¢ | $1,968 | +$108 +5.8% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 5,235 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $1,754 | −$16 −0.9% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 4,637 | 13¢ → 36¢ | $1,674 | +$1,058 +172% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,411 | 58¢ → 79¢ | $1,108 | +$288 +35% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 787 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $712 | +$98 +16% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,000 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $560 | −$663 −54% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 456 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $422 | +$19 +4.8% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 407 | 16¢ → 73¢ | $297 | +$231 +354% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 297 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $283 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 2,772 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $53 | −$11 −18% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$3 +9.9% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,071 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $37 | −$83 −69% |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 17 | 13¢ → 43¢ | $7 | +$5 +227% |
| Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,756 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,076 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during Egypt summit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "Shalom" 5+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 548 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will Player 31 win Beast Games: Season 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 122 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 714 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Sora be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down - October 15Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Player 38 win Beast Games: Season 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 428 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 618 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$557 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95,199 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10,853 −100% |
| Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 175 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,871 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,650 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” before SeptemberSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,654 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,831 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$465 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,838 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,285 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$136 −100% |
| Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,034 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$899 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,305 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,060 −100% |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 954 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,073 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,338 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,965 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$146 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 207 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 218 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,463 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,470 −100% |
| Will Player 112 win Beast Games: Season 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,078 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$472 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,727 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$541 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,395 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$655 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 101 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,111 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$124 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,415 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 642 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$577 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Obama" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 974 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 62 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,462 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$492 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,004 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,964 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,373 −100% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,087 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$452 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,835 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,118 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,338 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Bill" or "Clinton" during the next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,520 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,678 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$238 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$172 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,475 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,848 −100% |
| Will Shayne say "Polymarket" 2+ times during 60 Minutes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 644 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14,627 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,759 −100% |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 38,854 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$221 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 370 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$245 −100% |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,885 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,925 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 394 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$185 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 138 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60,821 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" during Panthers visit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,244 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 141 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,500 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$431 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109,197 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,332 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47,706 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,527 −100% |
