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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | bearbees22 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,550 | +$907 +26% | 20 |
| 200d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,904 | +$743 +11% | 20 | |
| 201d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 203d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,854 | −$136 −3.5% | — | |
| 205d | helloiamworld | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 205d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$13 −1.1% | — | |
| 210d | SplendidAmadeus | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,304 | −$57 −2.5% | — |
| 214d | Folletin3 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,806 | −$305 −2.6% | — |
| 216d | Candid-Sermon | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$44 +3.5% | 20 |
| 216d | Huludubu2 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,935 | −$327 −4.7% | — |
| 217d | Flimsy-Feel | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | −$62 −3.8% | — |
| 218d | anoin1232 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,573 | −$476 −3.8% | — |
| 223d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,937 | −$112 −5.8% | — | |
| 224d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | −$165 −11% | — | |
| 225d | AnonSequitur3 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,426 | −$440 −6.8% | — |
| 228d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | +$1,203 +100% | — | |
| 228d | AnonSequitur3 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,231 | +$290 +6.9% | 20 |
| 229d | Dismal-Colonialism | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$75 −5.3% | — |
| 240d | Djibooty2 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | +$2,002 +100% | — |
| 241d | dizzydes | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,468 | −$414 −12% | — |
| 242d | SplendidAmadeus | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$184 +11% | 20 |
| 243d | anoin1233 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,691 | +$826 +18% | 20 |
| 244d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | −$258 −15% | — | |
| 245d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $3,085 | −$3,085 −100% | 28 | |
| 247d | cocococococo | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 20 |
| 248d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$203 +18% | 20 | |
| 248d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $24,138 | +$8,786 +36% | 20 | |
| 252d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $22,971 | −$22,971 −100% | 31 | |
| 253d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$273 +27% | 20 | |
| 254d | Folletin | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,148 | +$1,452 +28% | 20 |
| 254d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$1,123 +35% | 20 | |
| 259d | Royal-Dogwood | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$369 −33% | — |
| 260d | Hooker999 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | −$623 −32% | — |
| 261d | Hooker999 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$495 +45% | 20 |
| 261d | TEIN2026 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | −$583 −47% | — |
| 261d | Logan. | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $3,795 | −$3,795 −100% | 24 |
| 261d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,397 | −$1,397 −100% | 21 | |
| 262d | TEIN2026 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$493 +37% | 20 |
| 262d | hawkj | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$740 +37% | 20 |
| 263d | Dogsinapile2 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,741 | +$2,741 +100% | — |
| 263d | Huludubu3 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $4,902 | +$2,448 +50% | 20 |
| 263d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 20 | |
| 263d | PikaCHU448 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$885 +54% | 20 |
| 263d | cq-62 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | −$1,217 −52% | — |
| 263d | Dogsinapile2 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $2,631 | −$2,631 −100% | 22 |
| 263d | tywed2 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,424 | +$1,603 +47% | 20 |
| 264d | dizzydes | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,117 | +$1,265 +41% | 20 |
| 264d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$748 −59% | — | |
| 264d | Djibooty2 fills | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $3,316 | −$3,316 −100% | 25 |
| 264d | Certify0148 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$474 +33% | 20 |
| 264d | weibin0311 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | −$1,007 −100% | 20 |
| 265d | h038596027355 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,877 | +$1,123 +39% | 20 |
| 265d | Dismal-Colonialism | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 20 |
On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.