| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 218,047 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $204,964 | +$57,941 +39% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 143,107 | 35¢ → 66¢ | $94,379 | +$43,882 +87% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 93,297 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $75,104 | +$3,267 +4.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 134,924 | 60¢ → 46¢ | $62,672 | −$18,864 −23% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 70,042 | 50¢ → 63¢ | $44,126 | +$8,770 +25% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 84,066 | 59¢ → 47¢ | $39,091 | −$10,652 −21% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 44,336 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $36,577 | +$2,918 +8.7% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 37,327 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $33,221 | +$320 +1.0% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 31,967 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $30,944 | +$4,444 +17% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 52,703 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $30,831 | −$492 −1.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 38,862 | 45¢ → 77¢ | $29,730 | +$12,413 +72% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | No | 40,326 | 61¢ → 72¢ | $28,833 | +$4,041 +16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 46,768 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $27,359 | −$456 −1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 72,767 | 43¢ → 35¢ | $25,104 | −$6,526 −21% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 25,637 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $23,714 | +$3,695 +18% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 23,428 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $21,437 | +$1,660 +8.4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 27,056 | 63¢ → 75¢ | $20,305 | +$3,346 +20% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 10d | Yes | 22,491 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $20,265 | −$178 −0.9% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 56,708 | 23¢ → 33¢ | $18,855 | +$5,680 +43% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 27,512 | 56¢ → 67¢ | $18,447 | +$3,130 +20% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 17,331 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $15,338 | +$3,842 +33% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 42,238 | 44¢ → 36¢ | $14,994 | −$3,464 −19% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22,310 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $14,167 | −$2,026 −13% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 29,950 | 52¢ → 45¢ | $13,328 | −$2,224 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 21,088 | 72¢ → 63¢ | $13,180 | −$1,939 −13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 17,489 | 80¢ → 71¢ | $12,330 | −$1,706 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 14,265 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $12,054 | −$273 −2.2% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 13,504 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $11,289 | −$14 −0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15,586 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $11,144 | −$1,297 −10% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 19,145 | 38¢ → 53¢ | $10,051 | +$2,767 +38% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 14,315 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $9,233 | +$50 +0.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Ends in 10h | No | 9,228 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $9,145 | +$1,490 +19% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 11,079 | 34¢ → 83¢ | $9,140 | +$5,354 +141% |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 9,430 | 29¢ → 97¢ | $9,128 | +$6,373 +231% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 28,902 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $9,104 | −$3,010 −25% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 38,156 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $8,967 | −$1,840 −17% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | No | 12,454 | 56¢ → 72¢ | $8,905 | +$1,949 +28% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,636 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $8,721 | +$626 +7.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9,699 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $8,196 | +$437 +5.6% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | Yes | 7,780 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $7,772 | +$459 +6.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | Yes | 8,656 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $7,661 | +$476 +6.6% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,492 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $7,260 | +$61 +0.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 7,544 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $7,054 | +$566 +8.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | Yes | 7,365 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $6,739 | +$552 +8.9% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 7,405 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $6,702 | +$555 +9.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 16,253 | 28¢ → 40¢ | $6,420 | +$1,797 +39% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23,291 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $6,405 | +$2,520 +65% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 13,897 | 62¢ → 46¢ | $6,323 | −$2,226 −26% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 6,876 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $6,291 | +$895 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6,475 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $6,261 | +$317 +5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 8,296 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $6,015 | +$318 +5.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 8,992 | 74¢ → 66¢ | $5,890 | −$764 −11% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 18,696 | 44¢ → 32¢ | $5,889 | −$2,400 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 6,991 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $5,418 | +$376 +7.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 5,970 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $5,400 | +$69 +1.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 6,196 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $5,360 | +$1,364 +34% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,899 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $4,654 | +$466 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 6,345 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $4,537 | +$96 +2.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6,006 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $4,295 | +$43 +1.0% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,598 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $4,149 | +$848 +26% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,986 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $4,113 | −$24 −0.6% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 4,857 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $3,997 | +$466 +13% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 3,928 | 71¢ → >99¢ | $3,926 | +$1,133 +41% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,892 | 74¢ → 66¢ | $3,859 | −$498 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4,814 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $3,394 | −$115 −3.3% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,645 | 35¢ → 60¢ | $3,359 | +$1,403 +72% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,787 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $3,279 | +$73 +2.3% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 8,277 | 37¢ → 40¢ | $3,269 | +$194 +6.3% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5,544 | 47¢ → 59¢ | $3,243 | +$638 +24% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4,715 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $3,136 | +$118 +3.9% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11,299 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $3,107 | +$1,271 +69% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 14,419 | 31¢ → 21¢ | $2,956 | −$1,506 −34% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,165 | 30¢ → 41¢ | $2,902 | +$752 +35% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | No | 3,820 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $2,865 | +$89 +3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 3,369 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $2,779 | −$17 −0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4,235 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $2,605 | −$44 −1.6% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,857 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $2,557 | +$186 +7.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,313 | 61¢ → 47¢ | $2,470 | −$769 −24% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,549 | 57¢ → 69¢ | $2,449 | +$438 +22% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 77,772 | 19¢ → 3¢ | $2,411 | −$12,601 −84% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,268 | 32¢ → 55¢ | $2,348 | +$968 +70% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,226 | 63¢ → 73¢ | $2,339 | +$306 +15% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,690 | 57¢ → 48¢ | $2,228 | −$458 −17% |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 2,902 | 56¢ → 77¢ | $2,220 | +$598 +37% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,715 | 39¢ → 28¢ | $2,199 | −$810 −27% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 6,021 | 32¢ → 37¢ | $2,198 | +$271 +14% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,229 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $2,120 | +$225 +12% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19,135 | 60¢ → 11¢ | $2,105 | −$9,297 −82% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8,787 | 57¢ → 24¢ | $2,065 | −$2,944 −59% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5,465 | 43¢ → 38¢ | $2,049 | −$301 −13% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20,637 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $1,981 | −$2,629 −57% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 14,946 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $1,958 | −$688 −26% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,458 | 87¢ → 79¢ | $1,929 | −$209 −9.8% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,205 | 64¢ → 86¢ | $1,885 | +$471 +33% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4,582 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $1,856 | +$207 +13% |
| Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 8,574 | 40¢ → 22¢ | $1,843 | −$1,586 −46% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | No | 2,302 | 46¢ → 78¢ | $1,796 | +$737 +70% |
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,973 | 47¢ → 36¢ | $1,790 | −$547 −23% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 3,382 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $1,775 | −$113 −6.0% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | No | 4,381 | 16¢ → 38¢ | $1,665 | +$964 +138% |
