Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 23 | 3% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | $237 | in 7d |
| October 31 | 9% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $51.5 | in 15d |
| November 30 | 25% | −3 pts | −9 pts | 24¢ · 26¢ (2¢) | $5.02 | in 45d |
| December 31 | 33% | −3 pts | −6 pts | 32¢ · 33¢ (1¢) | $0.02 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d |  rewardbots | October 31 | BuyYes21¢ → 9¢ | $1,179 | −$702 −60% | 41 |
| 12d | qmmar | October 31 | SellYes14¢ → 9¢ | $2,271 | +$858 +38% | — |
| 16d | xiaojiren | October 23 | BuyNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,022 | +$185 +18% | 32 |
| 16d | xiaojiren | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$180 +11% | 20 |
| 16d | JokerTheClown | October 31 | BuyNo61¢ → 92¢ | $3,441 | +$1,731 +50% | 40 |
| 16d |  CosmicCedar | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,916 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 16d | Light-Constraint-Pita | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 16d | rewardbots | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$405 +37% | 20 |
| 16d | qmmar4 fills | October 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 9¢ | $8,832 | −$7,938 −90% | 31 |
| 17d | dedidanc | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$463 +29% | 26 |
| 17d | Smart-bettor72 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,729 | +$1,072 +29% | 20 |
| 17d | mousta | October 31 | BuyYes77¢ → 9¢ | $1,249 | −$1,111 −89% | 35 |
| 22d | 111test4 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,994 | −$785 −5.6% | — |
| 23d |  George.Smiley | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,419 | +$784 +7.5% | 20 |
| 24d |  The-Joker | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,855 | +$145 +7.8% | 20 |
| 32d |  mewmew1 | October 31 | BuyYes79¢ → 9¢ | $1,548 | −$1,382 −89% | 34 |
| 36d | cym1969 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$189 −13% | — |
| 37d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate3 fills | October 31 | BuyYes67¢ → 9¢ | $3,499 | −$3,053 −87% | 40 |
| 38d | rewardbots | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | −$266 −15% | — |
| 39d | Tremirorot | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | +$1,384 +46% | 20 |
| 41d | Horrible-University | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$38 +3.1% | 20 |
| 41d | Horrible-University | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$562 +41% | 20 |
| 44d | 111test3 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | +$786 +23% | 20 |
| 50d |  cat6767 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,534 | +$124 +3.5% | 20 |
| 51d | vvyvv | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | −$96 −3.9% | — |
| 53d | rewardbots | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$448 +31% | 20 |
| 56d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | +$149 +7.8% | 20 |
| 59d |  47Capital | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$103 −10% | — |
| 61d | Linslav | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | −$336 −18% | — |
| 62d | thoodr | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,384 | +$116 +2.2% | 20 |
| 62d | warlasfutpro | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | +$782 +19% | 20 |
| 63d | vvyvv | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$453 +22% | 20 |
| 63d | babywag | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$57 +4.3% | 20 |
| 64d | thoodr | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,975 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 64d | rewardbots | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,375 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 64d | rewardbots | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$56 −5.5% | — |
| 64d | Glum-Sink | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | −$22 −1.8% | — |
| 64d | rewardbots | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | +$87 +3.0% | 20 |
| 64d | Contentious-Dinnerdate2 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,616 | +$264 +7.3% | 20 |
| 64d |  libratus1 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,395 | +$105 +3.1% | 21 |
| 64d |  8dAe | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | +$57 +3.2% | 21 |
| 65d |  RainIess | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$656 +54% | 20 |
| 65d | Faelara1337 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$34 +3.3% | 21 |
| 65d | Linslav | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,044 +87% | 20 |
| 65d | 0xTism | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,052 | −$2,052 −100% | 20 |
| 65d |  nachikeighth2 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $3,943 | −$3,943 −100% | 20 |
| 66d | FDSft | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$293 +28% | 20 |
| 66d | rewardbots3 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SellNo57¢ → 100¢ | $7,035 | −$5,401 −77% | — |
| 67d | 99problems1233 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo24¢ → 100¢ | $4,844 | +$15,441 +319% | 28 |
| 67d | Fderer | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,161 | +$204 +6.4% | 20 |
| 67d | babywag2 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $9,023 | +$2,041 +23% | 20 |
| 68d | Mosaics2 fills | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$1,010 +40% | 20 |
| 69d | Contentious-Dinnerdate | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | −$1,484 −98% | — |
| 69d | bonalddrunk | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$174 +14% | 21 |
| 69d |  seal7 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$4,620 +130% | 22 |
| 70d | Mysterious-Strait | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$198 +9.9% | 22 |
| 70d | bignewsagencypro | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$109 +9.9% | 21 |
| 71d | CosmicCedar | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,385 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 71d | The-Joker | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,488 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 72d |  kl1v | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,716 | −$1,716 −100% | 20 |
George.Smiley1,000 shares
balthazar940 shares
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE258 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for October 23 means the market gives it about 3%.