| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,758 | 42¢ → 95¢ | $8,277 | +$4,598 +125% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4,865 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $4,476 | +$243 +5.7% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 4,401 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $3,759 | +$654 +21% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 8d | No | 3,804 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $3,700 | +$53 +1.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,120 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $3,564 | +$738 +26% |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 530d | No | 2,886 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2,834 | +$152 +5.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,918 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,794 | +$41 +1.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 3,647 | 36¢ → 77¢ | $2,790 | +$1,473 +112% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,877 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $2,729 | −$2 −0.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,772 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2,671 | +$162 +6.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,627 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,533 | +$63 +2.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,455 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $2,437 | +$210 +9.4% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,693 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $2,335 | +$500 +27% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,300 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,285 | +$109 +5.0% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,430 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $2,204 | −$31 −1.4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,930 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $2,199 | +$169 +8.3% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,483 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $2,197 | +$418 +24% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,206 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,133 | +$20 +0.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,635 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $2,027 | +$167 +9.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 2,238 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $2,025 | +$414 +26% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,100 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $2,012 | +$4 +0.2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,011 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,947 | +$15 +0.8% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,928 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $1,921 | +$61 +3.3% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,897 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,856 | +$44 +2.4% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 2,078 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $1,838 | +$82 +4.7% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 2,432 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $1,779 | −$72 −3.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,853 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $1,770 | +$287 +19% |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 1,800 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,763 | +$17 +0.9% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 1,770 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,732 | +$51 +3.0% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,791 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,728 | +$32 +1.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,715 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,664 | +$28 +1.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,791 | 41¢ → 93¢ | $1,657 | +$923 +126% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 1,660 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,633 | +$81 +5.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,311 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $1,629 | +$78 +5.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,627 | 31¢ → 62¢ | $1,616 | +$813 +101% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,048 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $1,610 | +$35 +2.2% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,668 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,602 | +$35 +2.3% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 1,637 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,598 | +$28 +1.8% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,610 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,536 | +$39 +2.6% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,630 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $1,530 | +$13 +0.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,016 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $1,519 | +$3 +0.2% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,572 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $1,516 | +$238 +19% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 33d | No | 1,553 | 67¢ → 97¢ | $1,502 | +$461 +44% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,576 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $1,498 | +$12 +0.8% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 1,932 | 66¢ → 78¢ | $1,497 | +$217 +17% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,612 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $1,489 | +$55 +3.8% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,943 | 26¢ → 75¢ | $1,457 | +$944 +184% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,715 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $1,449 | +$77 +5.6% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | No | 1,491 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,439 | +$44 +3.1% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 1,451 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1,436 | +$38 +2.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,448 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1,435 | +$20 +1.4% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,409 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $1,405 | +$62 +4.6% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | No change | 1,480 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $1,362 | +$400 +42% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 1,405 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $1,351 | +$141 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,557 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $1,331 | +$179 +16% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,310 | 30¢ → 96¢ | $1,261 | +$868 +221% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,307 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,260 | +$80 +6.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,277 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,257 | +$33 +2.7% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,291 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,257 | +$10 +0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,317 | 24¢ → 94¢ | $1,238 | +$922 +292% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,335 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $1,233 | +$15 +1.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,854 | 63¢ → 65¢ | $1,202 | +$31 +2.7% |
| Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 134d | No | 1,236 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,187 | +$37 +3.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,419 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $1,185 | +$92 +8.4% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,208 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,166 | +$68 +6.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 1,174 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1,166 | +$21 +1.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,421 | 52¢ → 81¢ | $1,144 | +$412 +56% |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 1,139 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1,135 | +$20 +1.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,174 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,134 | +$37 +3.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,193 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $1,120 | +$34 +3.1% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Ends in 440d | No | 1,339 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $1,105 | +$20 +1.9% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,150 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,099 | +$15 +1.4% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,174 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $1,093 | −$12 −1.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,242 | 49¢ → 88¢ | $1,087 | +$476 +78% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,159 | 51¢ → 93¢ | $1,078 | +$489 +83% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,146 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $1,071 | +$220 +26% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,179 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $1,063 | +$37 +3.6% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,185 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $1,055 | +$130 +14% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 1,248 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $1,053 | +$37 +3.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,050 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1,043 | +$24 +2.3% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,075 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $1,016 | +$196 +24% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,033 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,013 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,028 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,012 | +$13 +1.3% |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,697 | 67¢ → 59¢ | $1,007 | −$134 −12% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,049 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $997 | +$90 +10.0% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 75d | No | 1,267 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $970 | −$44 −4.4% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 994 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $964 | +$18 +1.9% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 989 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $961 | +$75 +8.4% |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | No | 1,018 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $952 | −$19 −1.9% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 977 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $951 | +$29 +3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 965 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $950 | +$76 +8.6% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,038 | 39¢ → 92¢ | $949 | +$542 +133% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 974 | 46¢ → 97¢ | $941 | +$489 +108% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | Yes | 938 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $929 | +$61 +7.0% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?Ends ended | No | 1,991 | 75¢ → 46¢ | $916 | −$577 −39% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 955 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $912 | +$81 +9.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,332 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $912 | +$85 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 1,283 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $912 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,038 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $908 | +$140 +18% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,279 | 13¢ → 28¢ | $902 | +$475 +112% |
