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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | — | 0 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $42.8 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | 0xafEe22 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo94¢ → 95¢ | $6,851 | −$49 −0.7% | — |
| 34d |  0xdc3E831cad | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,339 | −$40 −3.0% | — |
| 36d | fpjsqj | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 95¢ | $5,111 | −$201 −3.9% | — |
| 60d | itsyourboyman | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,123 | −$94 −4.5% | — |
| 60d | thoodr | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,004 | +$87 +4.3% | 26 |
| 60d | juniper | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 95¢ | $1,195 | −$65 −5.4% | — |
| 65d | Stableincome | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,257 | +$95 +4.2% | 26 |
| 75d | fnjadefy | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,232 | −$95 −7.7% | — |
| 78d | fpjsqj | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 95¢ | $5,000 | +$312 +6.2% | 27 |
| 87d | Puciu | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $1,711 | +$76 +4.5% | 26 |
| 118d | hotgirlisme | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,466 | +$55 +3.7% | 26 |
| 119d | seyo3 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $14,605 | +$887 +6.1% | 27 |
| 125d | skylove | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 95¢ | $2,007 | −$118 −5.9% | — |
| 127d | pardens | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $8,000 | +$361 +4.5% | 26 |
| 130d |  🤺Yoon18nom2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $5,938 | +$365 +6.2% | 27 |
| 132d | billckman3 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 95¢ | $4,378 | +$279 +6.4% | 27 |
| 133d | exV | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $3,000 | +$174 +5.8% | 27 |
| 133d | Ill-Informed-Catalyst | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $2,208 | −$218 −9.9% | — |
| 133d | 0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c050 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $1,281 | −$123 −9.6% | — |
| 135d |  donjo2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $7,952 | −$747 −9.4% | — |
| 139d | JoseB144 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 95¢ | $1,283 | −$57 −4.4% | — |
| 144d | 0xafEe2 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,907 | +$138 +4.7% | 26 |
| 147d | Posh-Swimming | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,044 | −$78 −7.5% | — |
| 156d | YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE17 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyYes35¢ → 5¢ | $51,388 | −$44,117 −86% | 56 |
| 157d | rsozen2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo83¢ → 95¢ | $4,942 | −$745 −15% | — |
| 157d | JoseB144 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,425 | +$119 +8.4% | 28 |
| 158d | MicroShift | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo83¢ → 95¢ | $1,003 | −$147 −15% | — |
| 158d | rsozen3 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $4,032 | +$952 +24% | 35 |
| 158d | skylove2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo79¢ → 95¢ | $6,261 | +$1,287 +21% | 34 |
| 159d |  dreakso | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo76¢ → 95¢ | $1,407 | −$353 −25% | — |
| 159d |  BrightTiger | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo73¢ → 95¢ | $1,229 | +$374 +30% | 38 |
| 159d | whhhiew2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 95¢ | $6,600 | +$793 +12% | 30 |
HoneybeeAlliance35,204 shares
xiehueng43,963 shares🤺Yoon18nom32,818 sharesBrightTiger28,370 shares
TeemuPukki14,006 shares
Nadmi13,467 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 5%.