| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8,050 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $7,652 | +$1,182 +18% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 8,278 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $6,250 | +$1,283 +26% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,403 | 24¢ → 76¢ | $4,866 | +$3,340 +219% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | No | 6,226 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $4,451 | +$190 +4.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 5,000 | 47¢ → 87¢ | $4,325 | +$1,975 +84% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 16,275 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $4,313 | −$81 −1.9% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,230 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $3,936 | +$126 +3.3% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 4,804 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $3,627 | +$700 +24% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,772 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $3,301 | −$85 −2.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,000 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $3,220 | +$100 +3.2% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 4,266 | 50¢ → 73¢ | $3,093 | +$974 +46% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 3,631 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $2,832 | −$36 −1.3% |
| Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 52d | No | 2,450 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $2,401 | +$420 +21% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Ends in 96d | Yes | 2,203 | 45¢ → 96¢ | $2,118 | +$1,120 +112% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Ends in 62d | No | 1,741 | 58¢ → 87¢ | $1,506 | +$494 +49% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?Ends in 48d | No | 1,633 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $1,462 | +$188 +15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,859 | 82¢ → 73¢ | $1,348 | −$177 −12% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,600 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $1,336 | +$92 +7.4% |
| Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 102d | No | 1,393 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,329 | +$140 +12% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | No | 1,385 | 53¢ → 94¢ | $1,304 | +$573 +78% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 531d | No | 1,371 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $1,269 | +$11 +0.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,028 | 15¢ → 41¢ | $1,226 | +$761 +163% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,985 | 17¢ → 60¢ | $1,191 | +$863 +263% |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,800 | 58¢ → 42¢ | $1,176 | −$436 −27% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 1,564 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $1,165 | +$289 +33% |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,152 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $1,099 | +$85 +8.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,479 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $1,057 | +$108 +11% |
| Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 1,082 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $1,050 | +$282 +37% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,449 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $1,008 | −$61 −5.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,949 | 42¢ → 15¢ | $907 | −$1,567 −63% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 6,999 | 52¢ → 13¢ | $875 | −$2,765 −76% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,000 | 60¢ → 87¢ | $870 | +$273 +46% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 4,000 | 73¢ → 22¢ | $860 | −$2,060 −71% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,313 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $847 | +$33 +4.0% |
| Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 920 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $847 | +$25 +3.1% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Ends in 95d | No | 895 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $842 | +$34 +4.2% |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 102d | Yes | 1,511 | 20¢ → 56¢ | $839 | +$532 +174% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,857 | 11¢ → 21¢ | $791 | +$367 +87% |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 807 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $778 | +$130 +20% |
| Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 985 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $773 | +$138 +22% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 5,000 | 64¢ → 15¢ | $750 | −$2,460 −77% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 1,859 | 19¢ → 39¢ | $716 | +$362 +103% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 800 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $712 | +$160 +29% |
| Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 883 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $684 | +$75 +12% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 747 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $668 | −$19 −2.7% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 753 | 61¢ → 85¢ | $636 | +$175 +38% |
| Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 826 | 36¢ → 77¢ | $636 | +$339 +115% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 639 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $584 | +$65 +12% |
| Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | No | 670 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $583 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 919 | 61¢ → 62¢ | $565 | +$5 +0.8% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 735 | 53¢ → 72¢ | $526 | +$133 +34% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 7,000 | 39¢ → 8¢ | $525 | −$2,175 −81% |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 581 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $503 | +$107 +27% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,200 | 18¢ → 40¢ | $474 | +$258 +119% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 96d | No | 1,416 | 65¢ → 33¢ | $460 | −$467 −50% |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 22d | No | 483 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $456 | +$30 +7.0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 1,500 | 77¢ → 30¢ | $450 | −$705 −61% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 646 | 53¢ → 67¢ | $433 | +$92 +27% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | Yes | 1,006 | 20¢ → 43¢ | $428 | +$231 +118% |
| Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 437 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $425 | +$32 +8.1% |
| Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | No | 468 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $404 | +$7 +1.8% |
| Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 401 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $397 | +$60 +18% |
| Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?Ends in 47d | Yes | 464 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $395 | +$32 +9.0% |
| Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 471 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $391 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Ends in 8d | No | 382 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $378 | +$18 +5.0% |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 390 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $378 | +$68 +22% |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 940 | 34¢ → 38¢ | $353 | +$33 +10% |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 531d | No | 340 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $331 | +$28 +9.3% |
| Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 350 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $327 | +$34 +11% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?Ends in 20d | No | 340 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $322 | +$77 +31% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?Ends in 6d | No | 308 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $308 | +$77 +33% |
| Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 358 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $306 | +$58 +23% |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 341 | 44¢ → 90¢ | $306 | +$157 +106% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 2,295 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $293 | +$62 +27% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 680 | 56¢ → 43¢ | $289 | −$93 −24% |
| Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | No | 417 | 80¢ → 69¢ | $286 | −$48 −14% |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 22d | No | 413 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $285 | +$32 +13% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 2,989 | 1¢ → 10¢ | $284 | +$258 +983% |
| Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 392 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $273 | −$33 −11% |
| Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 8d | No | 309 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $269 | +$24 +9.9% |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | No | 282 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $267 | +$31 +13% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 351 | 43¢ → 75¢ | $261 | +$111 +74% |
| Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $253 | −$3 −1.0% |
| Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 102d | Yes | 978 | 20¢ → 26¢ | $249 | +$54 +28% |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 57¢ → 98¢ | $246 | +$103 +72% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 373 | 45¢ → 66¢ | $244 | +$76 +46% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 800 | 15¢ → 28¢ | $228 | +$110 +93% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 284 | 62¢ → 80¢ | $225 | +$50 +29% |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | Yes | 668 | 16¢ → 33¢ | $222 | +$112 +102% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 531d | No | 223 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $218 | +$11 +5.2% |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $216 | +$4 +1.8% |
| Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $14.4B?Ends in 2d | No | 221 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $214 | +$8 +4.1% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 581 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $196 | +$9 +4.9% |
| Will Ricky Pearsall have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 192 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $189 | +$1 +0.7% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | Yes | 297 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $189 | +$41 +28% |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 4,000 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $188 | +$153 +436% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | Yes | 263 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $185 | +$16 +9.7% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,087 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $184 | −$618 −77% |
| SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 196 | 54¢ → 90¢ | $175 | +$70 +66% |
| Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?Ends in 13d | Yes | 462 | 21¢ → 37¢ | $169 | +$71 +72% |
