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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 9% | 0 pts | — | 9¢ · 9¢ (<1¢) | $10 | in 532d |
| Donald Trump | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $267 | in 532d |
| UNRWA | 8% | — | — | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | — | in 532d |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 8% | −1 pts | — | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | — | in 532d |
| Doctors Without Borders | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | — | in 532d |
| António Guterres | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $60 | in 532d |
| International Criminal Court | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 532d |
| Jimmy Lai | 6% | — | — | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 532d |
| Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 532d |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 532d |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 4% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 532d |
| International Court of Justice | 4% | — | — | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 532d |
| Greta Thunberg | 4% | −1 pts | — | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | $40 | in 532d |
| Elon Musk | 3% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 532d |
| Julian Assange | 3% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 532d |
| Pope Leo XIV | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 532d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | h038596027355 | Donald Trump | BuyNo92¢ | $4,600 | −$25 −0.5% | 25 |
Digital-Boy388 shares
Anjun333 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms means the market gives it about 9%.