| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $69 | −$5 −6.1% |
| Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 42d | No | 76 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $68 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $58 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $58 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 60 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 195d | No | 59 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $55 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 45%-50%?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $55 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 93¢ → 89¢ | $53 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 255d | No | 51 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $50 | +$3 +7.3% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 48 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $47 | −$4 −7.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 91 | 70¢ → 49¢ | $44 | −$19 −31% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 48 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.2% |
| MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 77¢ → 65¢ | $39 | −$7 −15% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Netanyahu drops out before election?Ends in 9d | No | 39 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $38 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 61 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $38 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 41 | 94¢ → 89¢ | $36 | −$2 −5.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 37 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 244d | No | 39 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 35 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $34 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 35 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 35 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 17d | No | 39 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $34 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?Ends in 9d | Yes | 40 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $34 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?Ends in 13d | No | 37 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $34 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 35 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 72¢ → 54¢ | $33 | −$10 −24% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 35 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $32 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 34 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $32 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 33 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $31 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $31 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 57¢ → 52¢ | $31 | −$3 −9.6% |
| Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 32 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 36 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $30 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 120d | No | 30 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | Yes | 30 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $30 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | No | 39 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 32 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 31 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Claudia Pina win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 9d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 31 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsEnds in 89d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Matt Damon be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 30 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?Ends in 117d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | No | 30 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 30 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?Ends in 95d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Ends in 100d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.6% |
| APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.0% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.7% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?Ends in 35d | No | 30 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 18%-21%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.1% |
