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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Blunt | 5% | −1 pts | — | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 148d |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones | 7% | — | — | 7¢ · 7¢ (<1¢) | — | in 148d |
| Joan Collins | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 148d |
| Julianne Moore | 92% | — | — | 91¢ · 93¢ (2¢) | — | in 148d |
| Kirsten Dunst | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 148d |
| Scarlett Johansson | 4% | 0 pts | — | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 148d |
| Michelle Williams | 3% | — | — | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 148d |
| Sophie Okonedo | 20% | +13 pts | — | 15¢ · 26¢ (11¢) | $437 | in 148d |
| Shailene Woodley | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 148d |
| Natalie Portman | 7% | 0 pts | — | 5¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | $352 | in 148d |
| Laura Linney | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 148d |
| Zendaya | 4% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 148d |
| Mikey Madison | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | — | in 148d |
| Olivia Wilde | 72% | +30 pts | — | 71¢ · 73¢ (2¢) | $160 | in 148d |
| Ruth Madeley | 44% | +16 pts | — | 41¢ · 47¢ (6¢) | $149 | in 148d |
| Rosalind Eleazar | 14% | −35 pts | — | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | $84.2 | in 148d |
| Michelle Monaghan | 7% | +2 pts | — | 5¢ · 10¢ (5¢) | — | in 148d |
| Inde Navarrette | 87% | +33 pts | — | 85¢ · 89¢ (4¢) | $55 | in 148d |
| Renate Reinsve | 37% | −2 pts | — | 34¢ · 40¢ (6¢) | $52.5 | in 148d |
| Virginie Efira | 53% | −6 pts | — | 48¢ · 58¢ (10¢) | $21 | in 148d |
| Cynthia Erivo | 7% | −1 pts | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $17 | in 148d |
| Sandra Hüller | 59% | +1 pts | — | 52¢ · 66¢ (14¢) | $10 | in 148d |
| Anne Hathaway | 4% | — | — | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | $10 | in 148d |
| Penélope Cruz | 4% | 0 pts | — | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | $10 | in 148d |
| Dakota Johnson | 8% | +1 pts | — | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | $10 | in 148d |
| Lily Gladstone | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 148d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Emily Blunt means the market gives it about 5%.