| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 4,701 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $4,255 | −$48 −1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 6,245 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $3,466 | −$182 −5.0% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,288 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $2,982 | −$77 −2.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,275 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $2,768 | +$36 +1.3% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 2,626 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $2,546 | −$18 −0.7% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 3,135 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $2,398 | −$100 −4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,292 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2,240 | +$63 +2.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 3,551 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $2,148 | −$38 −1.7% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,975 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $1,993 | −$51 −2.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,270 | 57¢ → 47¢ | $1,985 | −$438 −18% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 3,652 | 57¢ → 54¢ | $1,955 | −$116 −5.6% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 3,118 | 67¢ → 62¢ | $1,934 | −$159 −7.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | No | 3,146 | 64¢ → 60¢ | $1,872 | −$137 −6.8% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,866 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $1,799 | −$17 −0.9% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,777 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,741 | −$3 −0.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1,985 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $1,724 | −$48 −2.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1,802 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,636 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 2,056 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $1,593 | −$93 −5.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 3,014 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $1,593 | +$14 +0.9% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,660 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $1,565 | −$27 −1.7% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 86¢ → 77¢ | $1,530 | −$184 −11% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,543 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,493 | +$2 +0.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,700 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,488 | +$17 +1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,505 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $1,444 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,491 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $1,415 | −$26 −1.8% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,531 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $1,386 | −$54 −3.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,068 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $1,375 | −$40 −2.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,347 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,232 | −$7 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,831 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $1,181 | −$15 −1.3% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Ends in 440d | No | 1,498 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $1,164 | −$72 −5.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,353 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $1,157 | +$39 +3.5% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,187 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,139 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 1,364 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $1,136 | −$41 −3.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 1,254 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $1,133 | −$19 −1.7% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,510 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $1,125 | −$97 −8.0% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 1,379 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $1,124 | −$21 −1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,833 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $1,091 | −$59 −5.1% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | No | 1,678 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $1,074 | −$20 −1.9% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 2,914 | 52¢ → 37¢ | $1,064 | −$445 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 1,476 | 82¢ → 71¢ | $1,048 | −$161 −13% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d | No | 1,268 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $1,028 | −$30 −2.9% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $992 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1,250 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $987 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 1,224 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $973 | −$18 −1.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 1,114 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $955 | +$3 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,344 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $947 | −$44 −4.4% |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 977 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $947 | −$7 −0.8% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,308 | 78¢ → 71¢ | $929 | −$98 −9.5% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,185 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $883 | −$39 −4.3% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 931 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $873 | −$8 −0.9% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 996 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $872 | −$15 −1.7% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | No | 1,139 | 79¢ → 74¢ | $837 | −$59 −6.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 862 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $814 | −$14 −1.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,855 | 39¢ → 28¢ | $814 | −$298 −27% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 2,193 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $800 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | Yes | 968 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $794 | −$34 −4.2% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,049 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $792 | +$45 +6.0% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,200 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $788 | −$10 −1.3% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $783 | −$41 −5.0% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,291 | 66¢ → 61¢ | $781 | −$76 −8.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,020 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $780 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 791 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $750 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 2,367 | 38¢ → 32¢ | $746 | −$159 −18% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 946 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $733 | +$12 +1.7% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 1,538 | 48¢ → 48¢ | $731 | −$11 −1.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2,313 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $729 | −$184 −20% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | No | 890 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $725 | −$22 −2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 787 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $722 | −$1 −0.1% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 14d | No | 792 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $722 | −$24 −3.2% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 901 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $708 | −$19 −2.6% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 798 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $702 | −$11 −1.5% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,186 | 12¢ → 17¢ | $693 | +$171 +33% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,024 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $693 | +$10 +1.4% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 975 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $678 | −$30 −4.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 816 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $678 | −$37 −5.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 697 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $677 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 790 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $674 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 692 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $673 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 700 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $662 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 701 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $634 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 669 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $612 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Ends in 74d | No | 740 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $607 | −$26 −4.0% |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 697 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $601 | +$14 +2.3% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 643 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $594 | +$17 +2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,855 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $584 | −$28 −4.5% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 811 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $583 | −$29 −4.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 694 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $580 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 695 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $561 | −$35 −5.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 879 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $558 | +$7 +1.2% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,341 | 53¢ → 42¢ | $557 | −$152 −21% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 685 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $538 | −$30 −5.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 749 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $536 | −$6 −1.1% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 933 | 74¢ → 57¢ | $532 | −$157 −23% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 628 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $518 | +$9 +1.9% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 801 | 86¢ → 63¢ | $500 | −$191 −28% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 695 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $497 | −$23 −4.5% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 64d | Yes | 572 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $490 | −$7 −1.3% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,356 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $490 | −$7 −1.5% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 560 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $488 | −$10 −1.9% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 571 | 92¢ → 84¢ | $477 | −$49 −9.2% |
