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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 6% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 6¢ (<1¢) | $8.82K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h | QMG-SCALAR3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo94¢ | $11,622 | −$83 −0.7% | 24 |
| 3d | QMG-CORE2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 94¢ | $5,571 | −$153 −2.7% | 22 |
| 18d |  DEGENKHAN | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 94¢ | $1,632 | +$38 +2.3% | — |
| 27d |  elmcap2 | December 31 | SellNo94¢ | $2,817 | +$4 +0.2% | — |
| 41d |  archaic3 fills | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 94¢ | $7,322 | +$147 +2.0% | — |
| 74d | archaic2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 94¢ | $6,048 | −$76 −1.2% | 23 |
| 102d | DEGENKHAN | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 94¢ | $2,205 | −$52 −2.3% | 23 |
| 112d | beacon234 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,476 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 112d | beacon234 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,454 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 127d | geowatch | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 155d | ourdemocracy2 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | +$29 +1.7% | 20 |
| 155d | QMG-CORE | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
| 156d | justdriss | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$19 −1.8% | — |
| 156d | worldwarfour | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$21 −1.8% | — |
| 156d | infantfather | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$21 −1.8% | — |
| 156d | Reanna762 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$20 −1.8% | — |
| 156d | uitititit6 fills | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $114,445 | +$2,455 +2.1% | 20 |
| 156d | jurfhfhfjf6 fills | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $114,201 | +$2,529 +2.2% | 20 |
| 156d | Reanna762 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$30 +2.8% | 20 |
| 156d | justdriss | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$29 +2.8% | 20 |
| 156d | worldwarfour | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$31 +2.8% | 20 |
| 156d | infantfather | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$32 +2.8% | 20 |
| 156d | judahnessa6248 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$29 +2.6% | 20 |
| 156d | Ryker709 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$27 +2.6% | 20 |
| 156d | kaidence677catrina | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$26 +2.5% | 20 |
| 156d | spacegoatv1 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$19 +1.8% | 20 |
| 157d | George554 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$24 −2.1% | — |
| 157d | ririxAt | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$23 −2.1% | — |
| 157d | TheArsenalTake | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$22 −2.1% | — |
| 157d | George554 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$20 +1.6% | 20 |
| 157d | TheArsenalTake | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$17 +1.6% | 20 |
| 157d | tulipsybil4513 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$20 +1.9% | 20 |
| 157d | Zelina560 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$22 +2.1% | 20 |
| 157d | AeroGant | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$30 −2.8% | — |
| 157d | Francine206 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$30 −2.8% | — |
| 157d | iamgulan | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | −$32 −2.8% | — |
| 157d | jacobyabby8994 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$23 −2.2% | — |
| 157d | FarazAhmad136 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$23 +2.1% | 20 |
| 157d | jacobyabby8994 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$22 +2.1% | 20 |
| 157d | iamgulan | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$25 +2.1% | 20 |
| 157d | Noided09 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$23 −2.1% | — |
| 157d | Complicated-Lipstick | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$24 −2.1% | — |
| 157d | senngao | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | −$24 −2.1% | — |
| 157d | senngao | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$24 +2.1% | 20 |
| 157d | Noided09 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$23 +2.1% | 20 |
| 157d | Complicated-Lipstick | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$24 +2.1% | 20 |
| 157d | Francine206 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 157d | AeroGant | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 157d | Redskinroach | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$21 +2.0% | 20 |
| 158d | privatetalky | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$20 +1.9% | 20 |
| 159d | ztrrtt14 fills | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $231,863 | +$2,899 +1.3% | 20 |
| 159d | zterrertzu13 fills | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $212,814 | +$2,703 +1.3% | 20 |
| 160d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$17 +1.1% | 20 |
| 163d | mohammedabdulazeez | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 163d | mohammedabdulazeez | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 166d | Liamae | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$29 +2.8% | 20 |
| 184d | DEGENKHAN | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | +$54 +3.2% | 20 |
gods-eye9,700 shares
de5nuts3,905 sharesDEGENKHAN15,368 sharesarchaic4,064 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 6%.