| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 66,000 | 21¢ → 87¢ | $57,090 | +$43,142 +309% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 21,435 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $19,935 | +$420 +2.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 18,513 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $17,902 | +$174 +1.0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16,921 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $15,864 | −$317 −2.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 16,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $15,368 | +$494 +3.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16,017 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $14,976 | +$126 +0.8% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12,907 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $12,501 | +$579 +4.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 13,000 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $9,997 | −$987 −9.0% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,975 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $9,556 | +$383 +4.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 65,000 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $8,775 | −$4,506 −34% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 9,000 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $8,415 | +$507 +6.4% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 9,961 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $7,720 | −$90 −1.2% |
| Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 7,390 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $7,279 | +$246 +3.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,401 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $7,168 | +$84 +1.2% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 7,066 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $6,995 | +$105 +1.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 6,630 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $6,606 | +$3 +0.1% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,679 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $6,312 | +$303 +5.0% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 6,999 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $6,124 | −$2 −0.0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,002 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5,762 | +$78 +1.4% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5,797 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $5,325 | −$72 −1.3% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $4,863 | +$63 +1.3% |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 4,701 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $4,680 | +$73 +1.6% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Ends in 134d | No | 4,705 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $4,632 | +$10 +0.2% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,713 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $4,553 | +$66 +1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,547 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $4,349 | +$12 +0.3% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,419 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $4,204 | +$345 +8.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 4,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $3,966 | +$17 +0.4% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 3,941 | 48¢ → 96¢ | $3,764 | +$1,872 +99% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 3,663 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $3,619 | +$95 +2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,754 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $3,577 | −$45 −1.2% |
| Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 3,470 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $3,461 | +$12 +0.4% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3,500 | 31¢ → 97¢ | $3,386 | +$2,311 +215% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,488 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $3,331 | +$8 +0.2% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,437 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $3,325 | +$57 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,480 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $3,309 | −$27 −0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,264 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $3,099 | +$27 +0.9% |
| Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,988 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $2,955 | −$30 −1.0% |
| Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,046 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $2,938 | −$37 −1.2% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 3,000 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2,922 | +$132 +4.7% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 3,000 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $2,898 | +$208 +7.7% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 3,006 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $2,888 | +$83 +3.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,000 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $2,846 | −$31 −1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,878 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,809 | +$11 +0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,000 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $2,775 | −$45 −1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 3,000 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $2,715 | +$35 +1.3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,008 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $2,662 | +$53 +2.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 2,722 | 98¢ → 95¢ | $2,575 | −$83 −3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,437 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $2,250 | −$73 −3.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,169 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,112 | +$39 +1.9% |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,146 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $2,074 | +$97 +4.9% |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,116 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $2,010 | +$31 +1.6% |
| Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 2,020 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $1,975 | −$17 −0.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,002 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,953 | −$8 −0.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,500 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $1,887 | −$154 −7.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,925 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,878 | +$31 +1.7% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,953 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,855 | +$5 +0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,885 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $1,790 | +$15 +0.9% |
| Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 1,742 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1,724 | +$26 +1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,729 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,705 | +$61 +3.7% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 5¢ → 55¢ | $1,650 | +$1,514 +1110% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 1,606 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1,605 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,658 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,603 | +$34 +2.2% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,606 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,528 | +$10 +0.7% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,700 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,496 | +$16 +1.1% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,500 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,440 | +$32 +2.2% |
| Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,474 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $1,393 | +$60 +4.5% |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,417 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,366 | +$15 +1.1% |
| Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,352 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,318 | +$20 +1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,206 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,180 | +$31 +2.7% |
| Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 1,173 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1,168 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,168 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,120 | +$47 +4.3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,106 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,070 | +$42 +4.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 5,000 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $1,025 | −$75 −6.8% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 1,033 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,017 | +$36 +3.7% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,036 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $995 | +$38 +4.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 1,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $994 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 1,000 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $966 | −$4 −0.4% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $964 | +$14 +1.4% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 971 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $961 | +$35 +3.8% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 984 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $951 | +$55 +6.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$15 +1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$25 +2.7% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $942 | −$2 −0.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $930 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 947 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $924 | +$9 +1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 935 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $919 | +$39 +4.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ → 90¢ | $895 | −$35 −3.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 5¢ → 28¢ | $855 | +$719 +527% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $845 | +$5 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 817 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $782 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 769 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $766 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 777 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $754 | +$12 +1.7% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 1,000 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $715 | −$75 −9.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 3,000 | 12¢ → 24¢ | $705 | +$345 +96% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 579 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $553 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 530 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $524 | +$1 +0.3% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 529 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $511 | +$8 +1.6% |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $499 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 541 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $499 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $499 | +$2 +0.4% |
