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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Afghanistan | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Pakistan | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Tunisia | 6% | — | −4 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Syria | 4% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| North Korea | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Iran | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Bangladesh | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Cuba | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Iraq | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Malaysia | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Saudi Arabia | 4% | +2 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $1.31K | in 75d |
| Venezuela | 9% | −3 pts | −6 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $1.18K | in 75d |
| Lebanon | 7% | — | −2 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $50 | in 75d |
| Kuwait | 8% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 8¢ · 8¢ (<1¢) | $30 | in 75d |
| Indonesia | 4% | — | +1 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $1.02 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  tetrase4 fills | Venezuela | BuyNo81¢ → 92¢ | $8,821 | +$1,122 +13% | 17 |
| 18d |  MisTKy | Venezuela | SellNo89¢ → 92¢ | $1,108 | −$31 −2.8% | — |
| 34d | patientman | Bangladesh | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,002 | +$27 +2.7% | 4 |
| 38d |  prophet-spaces | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo96¢ | $1,171 | −$5 −0.4% | 7 |
| 43d | yielderwelderS | Saudi Arabia | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,561 | −$21 −1.4% | — |
| 50d |  FastPaws | Lebanon | BuyNo92¢ → 94¢ | $1,621 | +$32 +2.0% | 10 |
| 55d |  ImJustKen | Venezuela | BuyYes10¢ → 9¢ | $1,033 | −$155 −15% | 24 |
| 61d | skibabiba | Venezuela | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $3,192 | +$90 +2.8% | 11 |
| 63d | yielderwelderS | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,500 | +$82 +5.5% | 10 |
| 63d |  cambridgeisaac | Venezuela | SellNo85¢ → 92¢ | $1,124 | −$82 −7.3% | — |
| 64d | M2sx92kljs42 | Venezuela | SellNo86¢ → 92¢ | $3,133 | −$204 −6.5% | — |
| 64d |  vortl | Venezuela | SellNo85¢ → 92¢ | $2,895 | −$211 −7.3% | — |
| 64d | 0xMS8hRTF45823GhpjKuhwefuy38bf | Venezuela | SellNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,187 | −$61 −5.2% | — |
| 64d | Arman2 | Venezuela | SellNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,392 | −$76 −5.5% | — |
| 64d | LFC8 | Venezuela | SellNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,035 | −$54 −5.2% | — |
| 64d | zine13 | Venezuela | BuyNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,535 | +$82 +5.3% | 13 |
| 64d | MisTKy | Venezuela | BuyNo81¢ → 92¢ | $3,012 | +$394 +13% | 17 |
| 64d |  turtle911 | Venezuela | BuyNo58¢ → 92¢ | $1,183 | +$684 +58% | 24 |
| 64d |  yen4u2 fills | Venezuela | BuyYes56¢ → 9¢ | $2,425 | −$2,056 −85% | 24 |
| 64d | yen4u3 fills | Venezuela | SellNo42¢ → 92¢ | $3,146 | −$3,628 −115% | — |
| 64d | ivantoney | Venezuela | BuyYes52¢ → 9¢ | $2,032 | −$1,697 −84% | 24 |
| 65d | yen4u2 fills | Venezuela | BuyNo58¢ → 92¢ | $2,863 | +$1,680 +59% | 24 |
| 65d | Webbed-Kingdom-Green | Venezuela | BuyNo42¢ → 92¢ | $1,250 | +$1,443 +115% | 24 |
| 65d |  mr.ozi | Venezuela | BuyYes81¢ → 9¢ | $1,906 | −$1,705 −89% | 17 |
| 65d |  Rex4162 fills | Venezuela | BuyYes73¢ → 9¢ | $3,329 | −$2,941 −88% | 22 |
| 65d |  wienerdog | Venezuela | BuyNo59¢ → 92¢ | $1,100 | +$609 +55% | 24 |
| 66d | 5555five | Venezuela | SellNo41¢ → 92¢ | $2,107 | −$2,595 −123% | — |
| 66d | 5555five | Venezuela | BuyNo45¢ → 92¢ | $1,063 | +$1,075 +101% | 24 |
| 66d | denizz | Venezuela | BuyYes63¢ → 9¢ | $2,833 | −$2,452 −87% | 24 |
| 71d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo84¢ → 94¢ | $5,196 | +$569 +11% | 14 |
| 72d |  archaic | Bangladesh | SellNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,115 | −$30 −2.7% | — |
| 73d | archaic | Bangladesh | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,084 | +$51 +4.7% | 4 |
| 80d | tnl | Cuba | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,469 | +$74 +5.1% | 4 |
| 80d | LJa7io23MCv954j | Lebanon | BuyNo81¢ → 94¢ | $7,788 | +$1,234 +16% | 17 |
| 87d | M2sx92kljs42 | Venezuela | BuyNo76¢ → 92¢ | $1,156 | +$229 +20% | 20 |
| 93d |  polmar001 | Indonesia | BuyNo87¢ → 96¢ | $1,000 | +$101 +10% | 13 |
| 96d | archaic | Iraq | SellNo97¢ → 96¢ | $1,412 | +$16 +1.1% | — |
| 96d | archaic | Qatar | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $2,181 | +$53 +2.4% | 4 |
| 99d | archaic | Iran | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,285 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 99d | archaic | North Korea | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,023 | +$16 +1.5% | — |
| 103d | archaic | North Korea | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,105 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 |
| 103d |  Seutervoinen | Lebanon | BuyNo74¢ → 94¢ | $1,740 | +$459 +26% | 21 |
| 103d | GrinderJoe | Malaysia | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,408 | −$36 −2.6% | — |
| 105d | archaic | Indonesia | SellNo92¢ → 96¢ | $1,479 | −$56 −3.8% | — |
| 106d | archaic | Indonesia | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,456 | +$79 +5.4% | 10 |
| 106d | denizz2 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo74¢ → 94¢ | $2,869 | +$757 +26% | 21 |
| 106d | archaic | Iraq | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,133 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 107d |  MEPP | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $1,863 | +$118 +6.3% | 11 |
| 111d | archaic | Kuwait | BuyNo90¢ → 92¢ | $2,606 | +$68 +2.6% | 11 |
| 111d | 881112 | Lebanon | BuyYes75¢ → 7¢ | $2,922 | −$2,668 −91% | 21 |
| 111d |  Warren-Buffett | Lebanon | BuyYes81¢ → 7¢ | $1,019 | −$937 −92% | 17 |
| 112d | Inchoroi | Lebanon | BuyYes65¢ → 7¢ | $1,379 | −$1,241 −90% | 24 |
| 113d | BlindAndDeaf | Afghanistan | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,000 | +$44 +4.4% | 4 |
| 136d | agagyu | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $1,006 | +$143 +14% | 15 |
| 136d |  pandannn | Saudi Arabia | BuyYes18¢ → 4¢ | $1,200 | −$907 −76% | 25 |
1BTCis1BTC88 shares
Haradwaith692 sharesprophet-spaces519 shares
devin.lawson.77200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Qatar means the market gives it about 3%.