| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 6,686 | 50¢ → 99¢ | $6,602 | +$3,259 +98% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 1,000 | 60¢ → 87¢ | $867 | +$267 +44% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 60¢ → 98¢ | $489 | +$189 +63% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2,907 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $421 | +$336 +392% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 47¢ → 71¢ | $353 | +$118 +50% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,018 | 7¢ → 28¢ | $286 | +$218 +318% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,331 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $281 | +$56 +25% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,691 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $202 | +$144 +251% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 350 | 41¢ → 56¢ | $198 | +$54 +38% |
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Ends in 256d | No | 1,221 | 3¢ → 16¢ | $189 | +$155 +450% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,291 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $181 | −$53 −23% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 386 | 5¢ → 45¢ | $172 | +$152 +790% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,391 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $167 | −$32 −16% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 1,000 | 9¢ → 16¢ | $155 | +$64 +71% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,481 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $143 | +$41 +41% |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,259 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $136 | +$44 +48% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | Yes | 2,000 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $130 | +$64 +98% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10,693 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $128 | +$81 +171% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 24¢ | $120 | +$115 +2300% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,746 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $113 | +$13 +13% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 679 | 8¢ → 17¢ | $112 | +$55 +95% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,754 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $112 | −$18 −14% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,625 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $102 | −$28 −22% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 764 | 8¢ → 13¢ | $95 | +$35 +57% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,750 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $95 | +$55 +137% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,284 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $91 | −$4 −4.3% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,774 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $91 | −$138 −60% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,686 | 50¢ → 1¢ | $84 | −$3,259 −98% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 908 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $82 | +$22 +37% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 415 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $77 | +$15 +23% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 372 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $73 | −$13 −15% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,875 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $70 | −$35 −34% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 2,206 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $69 | +$10 +17% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $69 | +$40 +138% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,390 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $67 | +$50 +309% |
| Senate control favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | Republican Party | 2,125 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $63 | +$20 +48% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | No | 250 | 4¢ → 25¢ | $62 | +$52 +525% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 583 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $61 | +$13 +27% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 938 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $61 | +$23 +62% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 250 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $59 | −$54 −48% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,078 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $59 | +$34 +135% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $58 | −$18 −23% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 780 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $55 | +$4 +8.0% |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,325 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $53 | +$7 +15% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,308 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $53 | −$18 −25% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,500 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $53 | +$18 +50% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,160 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,500 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $51 | +$41 +440% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 314 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $50 | +$3 +5.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,094 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $49 | −$3 −6.2% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,089 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $49 | −$16 −24% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,250 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $49 | +$19 +62% |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 10¢ | $48 | +$33 +217% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 945 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $47 | −$4 −7.5% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 364 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $45 | +$11 +33% |
| Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,068 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $45 | +$28 +172% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,221 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $43 | +$28 +181% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $43 | +$16 +59% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,072 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $42 | +$19 +78% |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 759 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $42 | +$19 +84% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 327 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $41 | +$4 +11% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 447 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $41 | +$28 +220% |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,337 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $41 | −$17 −29% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | Yes | 740 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,671 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $40 | −$12 −22% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,500 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,675 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $40 | −$166 −81% |
| Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?Ends in 13d | No | 63 | 3¢ → 63¢ | $40 | +$38 +1983% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 440 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $40 | $0 0.0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 844 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $39 | +$28 +245% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 176 | 1¢ → 22¢ | $38 | +$36 +2065% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 75d | Yes | 743 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $37 | +$5 +15% |
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 691 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $37 | +$25 +210% |
| Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 5¢ → 30¢ | $36 | +$30 +500% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 280 | 4¢ → 13¢ | $35 | +$24 +213% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,250 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $35 | −$136 −80% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 7¢ | $34 | +$24 +240% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $33 | +$8 +30% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$6 −16% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 1,369 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $31 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 369 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $31 | +$14 +82% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 367 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $31 | −$3 −7.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 547 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $30 | +$15 +96% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 672 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $30 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | No | 233 | 2¢ → 13¢ | $30 | +$25 +542% |
| Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $29 | +$19 +188% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 4,698 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $28 | −$61 −68% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 975 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $28 | +$8 +43% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 505 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $28 | +$4 +16% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 860 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$4 −12% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 750 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Ends in 42d | No | 723 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $26 | +$17 +192% |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 3¢ → 10¢ | $25 | +$18 +233% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 877 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $24 | −$5 −18% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $24 | −$2 −6.9% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 524 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $24 | +$5 +29% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $23 | +$18 +370% |
| Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 106d | No | 40 | 2¢ → 59¢ | $23 | +$23 +2825% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 865 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $23 | −$1 −5.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 310 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $22 | +$18 +413% |
