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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 21% | — | +1 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| December 31, 2026 | 8% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $396 | in 76d |
| December 31, 2027 | 42% | — | −3 pts | 41¢ · 43¢ (2¢) | $70 | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | seiyah16 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo91¢ → 93¢ | $1,414 | −$23 −1.6% | — |
| 7d |  elmcap22 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo84¢ → 93¢ | $3,793 | +$361 +9.5% | 5 |
| 11d |  xart | December 31, 2026 | SellNo93¢ | $1,592 | +$9 +0.5% | — |
| 15d |  Decayer | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo44¢ → 58¢ | $1,124 | +$351 +31% | 7 |
| 17d | elmcap213 fills | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $203,150 | +$2,528 +1.2% | 2 |
| 19d | Loathsome-Emphasis4 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo93¢ | $24,000 | −$207 −0.9% | 3 |
| 23d |  bravelittleguy2 fills | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,534 | −$32 −0.7% | — |
| 24d |  lostmansoul | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,509 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 29d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d | churna | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo93¢ | $1,600 | −$10 −0.6% | 3 |
| 33d |  TruongMyLan | December 31, 2026 | SellNo91¢ → 93¢ | $2,880 | −$57 −2.0% | — |
| 37d | lostmansoul2 fills | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,378 | +$43 +1.3% | 2 |
| 38d | elmcap2 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $60,777 | −$244 −0.4% | — |
| 44d | Loathsome-Emphasis | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$60 +0.6% | 2 |
| 45d | trillionz | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo89¢ → 93¢ | $2,100 | +$83 +3.9% | 4 |
| 46d | selador | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$30 +1.3% | 2 |
| 57d | churna2 fills | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,041 | −$179 −2.5% | — |
| 59d | bravelittleguy2 fills | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,399 | +$69 +2.0% | 2 |
| 69d | letsfackingo | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo91¢ → 93¢ | $1,208 | +$25 +2.1% | 4 |
| 69d | letsfackingo | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | −$53 −2.9% | — |
| 77d | elmcap2 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo92¢ → 93¢ | $2,298 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 81d | churna2 fills | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,141 | +$164 +5.2% | 2 |
| 89d | zzaqq2 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo93¢ | $1,033 | −$9 −0.9% | 3 |
| 89d | sobaka.yebaka | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 93¢ | $1,519 | +$83 +5.5% | 4 |
| 103d | cryptoincome | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 93¢ | $1,559 | +$291 +19% | 6 |
| 108d | bravelittleguy | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 111d | letsfackingo | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$78 +4.4% | 2 |
| 112d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Theonlyone | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,902 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 113d |  dixiedox | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$53 −5.1% | — |
| 113d | letsfackingo | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,303 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 116d | f2hf84hg52h52 fills | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,541 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 118d | Theonlyone | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 121d | lostinleningrad | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$64 +5.3% | 2 |
| 125d | pioneerglacier | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 128d | elmcap217 fills | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $96,018 | +$4,865 +5.1% | 2 |
| 129d | 09876poiu | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes44¢ → 8¢ | $1,013 | −$841 −83% | 7 |
| 129d |  berboche | December 31, 2026 | SellYes23¢ → 8¢ | $1,433 | +$955 +67% | — |
| 129d | berboche | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes31¢ → 8¢ | $2,000 | −$1,523 −76% | 9 |
| 134d |  gheymanstanding2 fills | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | −$69 −3.1% | — |
| 135d |  bosshog | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | −$17 −0.7% | — |
| 137d | 0kayd0kay | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 137d | Bweely | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes36¢ → 8¢ | $1,500 | −$1,188 −79% | 8 |
| 143d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | −$25 −1.2% | — |
| 143d | 0kayd0kay | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$39 +1.9% | 2 |
| 143d | biscuitboy | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$39 +2.2% | 2 |
| 143d | dixiedox | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo66¢ → 93¢ | $3,000 | +$1,174 +39% | 7 |
| 144d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96042 fills | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,313 | +$51 +2.2% | 2 |
| 144d | letsfackingo | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$21 +1.6% | 2 |
| 145d |  ceewonayewon2 fills | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$164 +6.7% | 2 |
| 156d | javarisjavarjavarisonlamar | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | +$51 +1.6% | 2 |
| 157d | borisberezovsky | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$26 +1.7% | 2 |
| 161d |  mewmew1 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo64¢ → 93¢ | $1,019 | +$454 +45% | 7 |
| 162d | mewmew1 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,587 | +$61 +2.4% | 2 |
| 167d | BTCGambler247 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$36 +3.1% | 2 |
| 172d | bitfit | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$45 −4.2% | — |
| 172d |  Dr.PNL | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$52 −4.1% | — |
| 181d | 0x7d3e…346a | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes59¢ → 8¢ | $1,087 | −$950 −87% | 7 |
| 184d | 98xxyyz123 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SellYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | +$1,249 +100% | — |
| 184d | Decayer | December 31, 2026 | SellNo60¢ → 93¢ | $1,520 | −$824 −54% | — |
wagmiser2,825 shareselmcap22,477 shares
LornaPredicts284 shares
DrNee271 shares
PMTraderAdam400 shares
-Yang-400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 21¢ for June 30, 2027 means the market gives it about 21%.