| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 1,175 | 13¢ → 93¢ | $1,093 | +$941 +621% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 1,049 | 18¢ → 89¢ | $929 | +$744 +403% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 961 | 4¢ → 91¢ | $878 | +$841 +2268% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 832 | 29¢ → 93¢ | $774 | +$534 +222% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 823 | 24¢ → 94¢ | $773 | +$577 +294% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 800 | 16¢ → 95¢ | $756 | +$628 +491% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 800 | 23¢ → 94¢ | $748 | +$564 +307% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 774 | 28¢ → 91¢ | $704 | +$487 +225% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 583 | 24¢ → 91¢ | $528 | +$388 +277% |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 706 | 34¢ → 71¢ | $501 | +$261 +109% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 555 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $469 | +$58 +14% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 708 | 13¢ → 66¢ | $464 | +$371 +398% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 840 | 3¢ → 53¢ | $449 | +$424 +1676% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 730 | 15¢ → 62¢ | $449 | +$339 +310% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 800 | 2¢ → 51¢ | $408 | +$392 +2450% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 439 | 12¢ → 90¢ | $395 | +$342 +639% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 387 | 5¢ → 92¢ | $356 | +$337 +1719% |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 330 | 31¢ → 98¢ | $324 | +$221 +215% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 721 | 16¢ → 44¢ | $314 | +$198 +172% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 436 | 31¢ → 72¢ | $312 | +$175 +128% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 310 | 39¢ → 99¢ | $309 | +$187 +154% |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 800 | 19¢ → 39¢ | $308 | +$156 +103% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 731 | 30¢ → 42¢ | $303 | +$87 +40% |
| VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify?Ends in 1d | No | 293 | 20¢ → >99¢ | $292 | +$233 +395% |
| Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 300 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $287 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 328 | 28¢ → 86¢ | $280 | +$189 +205% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 284 | 52¢ → 98¢ | $278 | +$128 +86% |
| MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 397 | 9¢ → 70¢ | $277 | +$241 +657% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Ends ended | No | 279 | 41¢ → 99¢ | $275 | +$162 +143% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 281 | 5¢ → 97¢ | $272 | +$258 +1838% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 264 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $263 | +$8 +3.1% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 293 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $262 | +$51 +24% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 266 | 60¢ → 98¢ | $260 | +$101 +64% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $260 | +$44 +20% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 291 | 28¢ → 89¢ | $259 | +$178 +220% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 299 | 66¢ → 86¢ | $259 | +$61 +31% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 278 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $257 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 281 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $256 | +$49 +23% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?Ends in 75d | No | 280 | 36¢ → 91¢ | $255 | +$153 +150% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 923 | 13¢ → 28¢ | $254 | +$132 +109% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 987 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $252 | −$15 −5.6% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 265 | 34¢ → 94¢ | $250 | +$160 +176% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 258 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $249 | +$9 +3.6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 902 | 14¢ → 28¢ | $248 | +$122 +96% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 280 | 60¢ → 88¢ | $245 | +$77 +46% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 261 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $243 | +$16 +7.3% |
| Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Ends in 25d | Yes | 244 | 13¢ → 99¢ | $241 | +$209 +655% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 277 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $241 | +$48 +25% |
| Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Ends in 62d | No | 240 | 5¢ → >99¢ | $240 | +$227 +1751% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 290 | 65¢ → 83¢ | $240 | +$50 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 292 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $235 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $235 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 254 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $235 | +$17 +7.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 262 | 55¢ → 89¢ | $232 | +$88 +61% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 265 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $232 | +$22 +10% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 259 | 16¢ → 89¢ | $230 | +$189 +463% |
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 250 | 4¢ → 92¢ | $229 | +$219 +2188% |
| Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | Yes | 364 | 3¢ → 62¢ | $225 | +$212 +1678% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 257 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $225 | −$7 −3.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 256 | 93¢ → 87¢ | $222 | −$17 −7.1% |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 224 | 1¢ → 99¢ | $221 | +$219 +11235% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 260 | 24¢ → 85¢ | $220 | +$157 +251% |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 241 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $219 | +$21 +10% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 284 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $218 | +$33 +18% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 216 | 12¢ → 98¢ | $212 | +$186 +718% |
| Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 300 | 14¢ → 71¢ | $212 | +$170 +404% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 218 | 27¢ → 97¢ | $211 | +$152 +258% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 251 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $210 | +$31 +17% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 243 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $209 | +$8 +4.0% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 395 | 23¢ → 52¢ | $205 | +$115 +126% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 295 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $205 | +$45 +28% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 356 | 14¢ → 57¢ | $203 | +$153 +306% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 263 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $201 | +$9 +4.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 241 | 69¢ → 84¢ | $201 | +$34 +21% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 225 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $199 | +$39 +24% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $197 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 229 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $196 | +$20 +12% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 254 | 8¢ → 76¢ | $193 | +$172 +825% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $193 | +$17 +9.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 210 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $192 | +$15 +8.4% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$14 +7.8% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | No | 256 | 40¢ → 75¢ | $190 | +$87 +85% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 707 | 18¢ → 27¢ | $189 | +$61 +48% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 244 | 28¢ → 77¢ | $188 | +$120 +175% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$17 +10% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 40¢ → 85¢ | $187 | +$99 +112% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 254 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $186 | +$6 +3.5% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 75d | No | 195 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $186 | +$15 +8.5% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 75d | Yes | 730 | 13¢ → 26¢ | $186 | +$93 +99% |
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 337 | 14¢ → 55¢ | $185 | +$138 +293% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 289 | 40¢ → 64¢ | $185 | +$71 +62% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 188 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $183 | +$14 +8.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 194 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $183 | +$16 +9.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 209 | 66¢ → 88¢ | $183 | +$44 +32% |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 28d | Yes | 333 | 6¢ → 55¢ | $183 | +$163 +815% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 207 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $179 | +$15 +9.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 282 | 60¢ → 64¢ | $179 | +$10 +6.2% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 180 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $179 | +$27 +18% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 213 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $178 | −$14 −7.5% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $178 | +$6 +3.7% |
