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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | +5 pts | +2 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | $1.4K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo77¢ → 76¢ | $2,200 | −$54 −2.5% | 35 | |
| 2d | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo76¢ | $1,466 | −$10 −0.7% | 36 | |
| 3d | only-no2 fills | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo74¢ → 76¢ | $6,660 | +$135 +2.0% | 37 |
| 6d | Leclerc042 fills | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo76¢ | $3,140 | −$23 −0.7% | 36 |
| 7d | -wraith-2 fills | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo79¢ → 76¢ | $5,353 | −$225 −4.2% | 34 |
| 44d | KiernanMeister | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo73¢ → 76¢ | $2,527 | +$88 +3.5% | 38 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 25¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 25%.