| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41,001 | 20¢ → 33¢ | $13,633 | +$5,622 +70% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 14,819 | 70¢ → 67¢ | $9,936 | −$475 −4.6% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 8,892 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $8,497 | +$2,704 +47% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20,991 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $8,292 | +$256 +3.2% |
| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 9,684 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $7,611 | +$304 +4.2% |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 18d | No | 8,260 | 48¢ → 92¢ | $7,599 | +$3,610 +90% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 17,807 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $5,253 | −$102 −1.9% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 5,434 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $4,728 | +$1,268 +37% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 4,114 | 69¢ → 95¢ | $3,909 | +$1,084 +38% |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | Yes | 4,068 | 47¢ → 91¢ | $3,689 | +$1,778 +93% |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 5,080 | 35¢ → 73¢ | $3,683 | +$1,918 +109% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 3,694 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $3,515 | +$332 +10% |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | Yes | 3,737 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $3,182 | +$479 +18% |
| Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3,138 | 2¢ → 99¢ | $3,114 | +$3,044 +4366% |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 18d | No | 3,246 | 66¢ → 96¢ | $3,106 | +$976 +46% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 7,541 | 29¢ → 36¢ | $2,677 | +$519 +24% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 75d | No | 3,449 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $2,638 | +$122 +4.9% |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 806d | Yes | 4,864 | 2¢ → 54¢ | $2,602 | +$2,528 +3389% |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Ends ended | Yes | 3,429 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $2,572 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 9,000 | 45¢ → 28¢ | $2,565 | −$1,485 −37% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,334 | 62¢ → 76¢ | $2,517 | +$466 +23% |
| Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 3,382 | 43¢ → 74¢ | $2,503 | +$1,063 +74% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,140 | 11¢ → 27¢ | $2,449 | +$1,466 +149% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,993 | 27¢ → 81¢ | $2,412 | +$1,606 +199% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 155,406 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2,409 | +$20 +0.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 123,190 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2,402 | +$549 +30% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 2,808 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $2,228 | +$56 +2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | Yes | 7,618 | 15¢ → 29¢ | $2,205 | +$1,068 +94% |
| Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2,192 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,125 | +$55 +2.7% |
| Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 2,702 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $2,047 | +$196 +11% |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 4,503 | 1¢ → 44¢ | $1,981 | +$1,927 +3508% |
| Will Jimmy Ekström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Ends ended | No | 1,991 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,942 | −$6 −0.3% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,283 | 55¢ → 84¢ | $1,918 | +$657 +52% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 25d | No | 3,172 | 49¢ → 60¢ | $1,903 | +$360 +23% |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 1,952 | 0¢ → 96¢ | $1,876 | +$1,876 +0.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,036 | 24¢ → 92¢ | $1,863 | +$1,378 +284% |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 6,475 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $1,845 | −$316 −15% |
| Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,830 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $1,810 | +$230 +15% |
| Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 18d | No | 1,869 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $1,805 | +$293 +19% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 3,158 | 29¢ → 56¢ | $1,784 | +$854 +92% |
| Will Jonny Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Ends ended | No | 1,764 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1,745 | +$99 +6.0% |
| Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 2,836 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $1,716 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Ends ended | Yes | 2,010 | 61¢ → 85¢ | $1,714 | +$483 +39% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,776 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $1,705 | +$306 +22% |
| Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 1,931 | 11¢ → 88¢ | $1,705 | +$1,500 +731% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,753 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,682 | +$101 +6.4% |
| Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,664 | 52¢ → 99¢ | $1,654 | +$797 +93% |
| Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Ends ended | Yes | 1,714 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $1,653 | +$485 +41% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 100,000 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1,650 | −$900 −35% |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Ends ended | Yes | 1,734 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $1,626 | +$303 +23% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 8,171 | 13¢ → 20¢ | $1,593 | +$531 +50% |
| Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | No | 1,601 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $1,577 | +$133 +9.2% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,317 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $1,564 | −$87 −5.3% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 3,238 | 53¢ → 48¢ | $1,538 | −$174 −10% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,990 | 28¢ → 77¢ | $1,522 | +$975 +178% |
| Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Ends ended | Yes | 1,572 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $1,521 | +$241 +19% |
| Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 2,485 | 21¢ → 61¢ | $1,515 | +$1,004 +197% |
| Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,519 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $1,484 | +$331 +29% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 95d | Yes | 2,422 | 24¢ → 61¢ | $1,480 | +$896 +153% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | Yes | 4,145 | 19¢ → 36¢ | $1,478 | +$688 +87% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 101,626 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1,474 | +$448 +44% |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,558 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $1,471 | +$141 +11% |
| Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 2,000 | 52¢ → 74¢ | $1,470 | +$430 +41% |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Ends in 18d | Yes | 2,051 | 38¢ → 71¢ | $1,456 | +$671 +85% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 3,165 | 62¢ → 46¢ | $1,440 | −$529 −27% |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,590 | 31¢ → 90¢ | $1,431 | +$942 +193% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,748 | 30¢ → 81¢ | $1,422 | +$897 +171% |
| Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 1,450 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $1,390 | +$96 +7.4% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 10,976 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $1,372 | +$81 +6.3% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 4,626 | 21¢ → 30¢ | $1,365 | +$393 +40% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,136 | 45¢ → 64¢ | $1,356 | +$399 +42% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 112d | No | 1,699 | 59¢ → 77¢ | $1,306 | +$300 +30% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,618 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $1,295 | +$506 +64% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 50,000 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $1,275 | +$351 +38% |
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2,139 | 30¢ → 60¢ | $1,273 | +$633 +99% |
| Will Volker Kromm win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 1,272 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $1,264 | +$250 +25% |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 10,646 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $1,224 | +$32 +2.7% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,308 | 2¢ → 92¢ | $1,208 | +$1,182 +4428% |
| Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,215 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1,199 | +$39 +3.3% |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 1,329 | 48¢ → 89¢ | $1,183 | +$550 +87% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 1,420 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $1,171 | +$16 +1.4% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 3,643 | 17¢ → 32¢ | $1,166 | +$560 +93% |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,184 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $1,148 | +$194 +20% |
| Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,317 | 2¢ → 87¢ | $1,147 | +$1,117 +3645% |
| Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | No | 1,455 | 56¢ → 79¢ | $1,142 | +$334 +41% |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 1,197 | 51¢ → 95¢ | $1,140 | +$530 +87% |
| Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | No | 1,132 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,112 | +$40 +3.8% |
| Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | No | 1,134 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,109 | +$10 +0.9% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,119 | 51¢ → 97¢ | $1,082 | +$513 +90% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 13,309 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $1,078 | +$29 +2.7% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,615 | 19¢ → 41¢ | $1,072 | +$563 +111% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,819 | 31¢ → 59¢ | $1,064 | +$501 +89% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,270 | 58¢ → 83¢ | $1,054 | +$323 +44% |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,109 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $1,031 | +$203 +25% |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Ends in 10h | No | 1,697 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $1,027 | −$24 −2.3% |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,039 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $1,008 | +$136 +16% |
| Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 1,151 | 0¢ → 88¢ | $1,007 | +$1,007 +0.0% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,257 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $1,005 | +$25 +2.6% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 1,045 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $1,000 | +$98 +11% |
| Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,126 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $996 | +$67 +7.2% |
