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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mojica Morga | 88% | — | +6 pts | 88¢ · 88¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Esthela Damián Peralta | 5% | — | +2 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 233d |
| Manuel Añorve Baños | 5% | 0 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (6¢) | — | in 233d |
| Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña | 3% | −1 pts | +3 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $62.5 | in 233d |
| Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz | 2% | +2 pts | +2 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $495 | in 233d |
| Carlos Reyes Torres | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $1.15K | in 233d |
| Rubén Cayetano García | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $821 | in 233d |
| Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $617 | in 233d |
| Héctor Astudillo Flores | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $602 | in 233d |
| Mario Moreno Arcos | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Karen Castrejón Trujillo | 1% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Gustavo Alarcón Herrera | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $1.22K | in 233d |
| Evodio Velázquez Aguirre | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $1.18K | in 233d |
| Javier Saldaña Almazán | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $770 | in 233d |
| Guadalupe Eguiluz | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $1.09K | in 233d |
| Alberto López Rosas | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Rogelio Ortega Martínez | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Félix Salgado Macedonio | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Yesenia Galarza Castro | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Erika Lorena Lührs | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Julián López Galeana | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Abelina López Rodríguez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Iván Hernández Díaz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Genaro Vázquez Flores | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Alejandro Bravo Abarca | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Eloy Salmerón Díaz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d |  archaic | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyNo89¢ → 95¢ | $2,520 | +$175 +7.0% | 10 |
| 32d |  FrozenParasite2 fills | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyNo70¢ → 95¢ | $7,115 | +$2,561 +36% | 10 |
| 38d | KiernanMeister | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyNo53¢ → 95¢ | $2,784 | +$2,207 +79% | 10 |
| 44d | KiernanMeister | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyYes30¢ → 5¢ | $1,291 | −$1,082 −84% | 11 |
| 65d | KiernanMeister | Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | BuyNo86¢ → >99¢ | $1,073 | +$167 +16% | 10 |
FrozenParasite1,084 shares
Tenebrus7400 shares
EsperanzasDESTROYER341 shares
LornaPredicts77 shares
Dr.PNL350 shares
Haradwaith42 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 88¢ for Beatriz Mojica Morga means the market gives it about 88%.