| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 600 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $567 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 575 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $541 | +$16 +3.1% |
| Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?Ends in 101d | No | 600 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $495 | −$21 −4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 540 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $494 | +$8 +1.7% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 547 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $443 | −$17 −3.6% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 536 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $420 | +$12 +2.8% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 507 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $418 | +$18 +4.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 540 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $402 | −$35 −8.0% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | No | 600 | 80¢ → 64¢ | $384 | −$96 −20% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 516 | 82¢ → 74¢ | $382 | −$41 −9.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 540 | 78¢ → 71¢ | $381 | −$41 −9.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Ends in 17d | No | 538 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $347 | −$83 −19% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 490 | 77¢ → 71¢ | $346 | −$32 −8.5% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $338 | −$18 −4.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 454 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $334 | −$15 −4.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 466 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $333 | +$19 +5.9% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 540 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $327 | −$51 −14% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 452 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $323 | −$11 −3.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | No | 433 | 83¢ → 72¢ | $313 | −$46 −13% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 406 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $303 | +$6 +2.1% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 331 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $283 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 384 | 85¢ → 71¢ | $273 | −$54 −16% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 284 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $269 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 381 | 79¢ → 70¢ | $266 | −$36 −12% |
| Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 226d | No | 307 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $263 | −$19 −6.6% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Ends in 106d | No | 501 | 74¢ → 52¢ | $258 | −$113 −30% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 274 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $253 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will T1 Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Ends in 42d | No | 338 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $253 | +$3 +1.4% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $233 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 337 | 77¢ → 69¢ | $232 | −$27 −10% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $230 | +$8 +3.4% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 318 | 77¢ → 71¢ | $224 | −$19 −8.0% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 311 | 76¢ → 70¢ | $219 | −$18 −7.7% |
| Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Ends in 199d | No | 330 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $216 | −$31 −13% |
| Will any player break the NFL record for longest field goal in the 2026-27 season?Ends in 101d | No | 348 | 74¢ → 61¢ | $211 | −$47 −18% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | No | 291 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $208 | −$10 −4.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | No | 265 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $208 | +$9 +4.7% |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?Ends in 55d | No | 377 | 72¢ → 55¢ | $207 | −$65 −24% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Ends in 6d | No | 600 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $207 | −$21 −9.2% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $207 | −$14 −6.3% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 438 | 24¢ → 47¢ | $205 | +$100 +95% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?Ends in 133d | No | 250 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $204 | −$6 −2.9% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 600 | 60¢ → 34¢ | $201 | −$159 −44% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 227 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $199 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 240 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $194 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 165d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$6 +3.4% |
| Will Senegal win AFCON 2027?Ends in 273d | No | 220 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $186 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 241 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $186 | −$7 −3.8% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 198 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $185 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 282 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $184 | −$15 −7.5% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 600 | 39¢ → 31¢ | $183 | −$51 −22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 246 | 79¢ → 74¢ | $180 | −$13 −6.9% |
| Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Ends in 133d | Yes | 320 | 74¢ → 56¢ | $178 | −$59 −25% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 121d | No | 227 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $177 | +$8 +4.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 220 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $177 | −$4 −2.3% |
| Will William Nylander record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 194d | Yes | 244 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $173 | −$10 −5.6% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 280 | 77¢ → 62¢ | $172 | −$42 −20% |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?Ends in 92d | No | 230 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $171 | +$6 +3.5% |
| Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2026-27 season end?Ends in 225d | No | 220 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $169 | +$7 +4.1% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 202 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $168 | −$15 −7.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 220 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $167 | −$13 −7.3% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | Yes | 275 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $166 | −$26 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 229 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $166 | −$18 −9.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 239 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $166 | −$6 −3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 225 | 83¢ → 74¢ | $166 | −$21 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 180 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $163 | +$10 +6.5% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 590 | 53¢ → 28¢ | $162 | −$153 −49% |
| Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 275 | 72¢ → 59¢ | $161 | −$37 −19% |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 248 | 82¢ → 65¢ | $161 | −$43 −21% |
| Will Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 174 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $160 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $159 | +$7 +4.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 376 | 81¢ → 42¢ | $158 | −$147 −48% |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Ends ended | No | 600 | 23¢ → 26¢ | $157 | +$19 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 220 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $155 | −$5 −3.4% |
| Scorigami in Week 15 of the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 65d | No | 220 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $155 | −$8 −4.7% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 173 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $151 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 220 | 76¢ → 69¢ | $151 | −$17 −9.9% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Ends in 12d | No | 172 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $151 | −$8 −4.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 17d | No | 189 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $151 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $150 | +$12 +8.7% |
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends in 440d | No | 160 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $148 | +$4 +2.8% |
| Will Prodigy SEG Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | No | 239 | 84¢ → 61¢ | $146 | −$55 −27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 191 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $146 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will SC Freiburg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 318d | No | 210 | 78¢ → 69¢ | $144 | −$20 −12% |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 269 | 61¢ → 54¢ | $144 | −$20 −12% |
| Will Manuel Neuer retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 228 | 74¢ → 63¢ | $143 | −$26 −16% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 374 | 75¢ → 38¢ | $142 | −$137 −49% |
| Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 223 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $142 | −$22 −13% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 175 | 91¢ → 81¢ | $142 | −$17 −11% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 182 | 88¢ → 78¢ | $141 | −$19 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 219 | 88¢ → 64¢ | $140 | −$52 −27% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Ends in 29d | No | 173 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $140 | −$10 −6.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 70¢ | $139 | −$10 −7.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 440d | Yes | 600 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $138 | −$42 −23% |
| Will Miami FL have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | Yes | 482 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $137 | +$27 +24% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 189 | 79¢ → 73¢ | $137 | −$12 −8.2% |
| Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 580 | 13¢ → 24¢ | $137 | +$63 +86% |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $136 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 540 | 78¢ → 25¢ | $135 | −$286 −68% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 157 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $134 | −$5 −3.4% |
