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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 22% | −8 pts | +16 pts | 7¢ · 37¢ (30¢) | — | in 231d |
| SC Paderborn | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 231d |
| Bayern Munich | 98% | — | +1 pts | 96¢ · >99¢ (4¢) | — | in 231d |
| Borussia Dortmund | 85% | — | +2 pts | 82¢ · 88¢ (6¢) | — | in 231d |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 4% | −9 pts | −13 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 231d |
| Union Berlin | 5% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 8¢ (6¢) | — | in 231d |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 81% | +14 pts | +45 pts | 62¢ · 99¢ (37¢) | — | in 231d |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 16% | — | — | 12¢ · 19¢ (7¢) | — | in 231d |
| SV Elversberg | 49% | +26 pts | +45 pts | 1¢ · 98¢ (97¢) | — | in 231d |
| Schalke 04 | 24% | +2 pts | +10 pts | 2¢ · 45¢ (43¢) | $81.1 | in 231d |
| FC Augsburg | 25% | — | +12 pts | 1¢ · 48¢ (47¢) | — | in 231d |
| SC Freiburg | 56% | +16 pts | +31 pts | 19¢ · 94¢ (75¢) | $24.2 | in 231d |
| RB Leipzig | 51% | +11 pts | −12 pts | 37¢ · 64¢ (27¢) | $6.99 | in 231d |
| VfB Stuttgart | 34% | −13 pts | +9 pts | 11¢ · 56¢ (45¢) | — | in 231d |
| Mainz 05 | 48% | — | +27 pts | 1¢ · 94¢ (93¢) | — | in 231d |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3% | −20 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 231d |
| 1. FC Köln | 48% | 0 pts | +44 pts | 2¢ · 94¢ (92¢) | — | in 231d |
| Werder Bremen | 50% | −1 pts | +24 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 231d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | chongchongpanda | Hamburger SV | BuyNo95¢ → 78¢ | $1,536 | −$283 −18% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Bundesliga as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 22¢ for Hamburger SV means the market gives it about 22%.