| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $194 | −$3 −1.3% |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $194 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 199 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $193 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 225 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $188 | −$8 −4.1% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $171 | −$7 −3.9% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 172 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $161 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 155 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $131 | −$3 −2.3% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Ends in 647d | Yes | 100 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $85 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 84 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $74 | −$3 −3.5% |
| Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 42d | No | 80 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $72 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 98 | 77¢ → 72¢ | $70 | −$5 −6.2% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 72 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | No | 93 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $70 | −$3 −3.6% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 78 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $68 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 96d | Yes | 99 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $67 | −$3 −4.2% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 83 | 86¢ → 80¢ | $66 | −$5 −7.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $66 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 86¢ → 71¢ | $64 | −$13 −17% |
| Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 99 | 74¢ → 65¢ | $64 | −$9 −12% |
| Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 82 | 86¢ → 78¢ | $64 | −$7 −9.6% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 80 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $63 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 80 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $61 | −$6 −9.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%?Ends in 16d | No | 88 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $60 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 61 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $57 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $56 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Cornell President out by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $55 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Gus Bilirakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Ends in 824d | No | 66 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $54 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 60 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $52 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?Ends in 8d | No | 68 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $52 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Virginie Efira be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 100 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $51 | −$9 −15% |
| Will Tally Gotliv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Ends in 134d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $51 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 6d | No | 66 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $51 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 65 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $50 | −$3 −6.0% |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends in 440d | Yes | 54 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $50 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ends in 8d | Yes | 61 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $49 | −$4 −7.3% |
| Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $48 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?Ends in 256d | No | 56 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Ends in 42d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $47 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 59 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 17d | No | 69 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $47 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?Ends in 74d | Yes | 50 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $47 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | No | 64 | 84¢ → 73¢ | $47 | −$7 −14% |
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 49 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 29d | No | 57 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 50 | 97¢ → 92¢ | $46 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Ends in 100d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 66 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $46 | −$5 −10% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 53 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 48 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $45 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 18% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Washington Capitals be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 55 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 2d | Yes | 50 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 165d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 42d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Logitech G Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin <30%?Ends in 2d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 49 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | No | 51 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $44 | +$2 +4.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $44 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $43 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 46 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 50 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $43 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?Ends in 196d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 16d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 51 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $43 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will Kefas Ropshik win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will Emmanuel David Ombugadu win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $43 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Sara Lopez win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | No | 71 | 71¢ → 60¢ | $42 | −$8 −16% |
| Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 45 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $42 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Team Liquid Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Ends in 42d | No | 44 | 99¢ → 95¢ | $42 | −$2 −4.0% |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 50 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $42 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 72 | 60¢ → 57¢ | $42 | −$2 −4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $41 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will the CPN-UML candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Ends in 42d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $41 | −$3 −5.9% |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 161d | No | 50 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $41 | $0 0.0% |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 80 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $40 | −$8 −16% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 50 | 89¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$4 −9.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$4 −9.6% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 50 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $40 | −$5 −10% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $40 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will T1 Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?Ends in 58d | No | 41 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.7% |
