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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | whig | December 31 | SellNo97¢ | $2,038 | +$3 +0.2% | — |
| 16d |  elmcap22 fills | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,372 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 17d | Lisbon | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 23d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | December 31 | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,464 | +$12 +0.8% | — |
| 23d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,412 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 26d | plumbis | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,052 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 28d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $3,734 | +$82 +2.2% | 4 |
| 28d |  3648393489047 | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,254 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 28d | 3648393489047 | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,502 | −$47 −0.6% | — |
| 37d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,773 | +$240 +2.0% | 4 |
| 38d | 3648393489047 | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $3,298 | +$259 +7.8% | 4 |
| 40d | 3648393489047 | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,558 | +$275 +4.2% | 4 |
| 41d | plumbis | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$72 +6.9% | 4 |
| 42d | whig | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,811 | +$224 +12% | 4 |
PaddyAlpha1,108 shares
Dr.PNL499 shares3648393489047229 shares
Haradwaith977 shares
Talophex250 shares
Detbet131 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 3%.