| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 17,319 | 51¢ → 94¢ | $16,194 | +$7,410 +84% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 17,683 | 51¢ → 88¢ | $15,472 | +$6,511 +73% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 11,261 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $10,811 | +$370 +3.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10,212 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $9,778 | +$251 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 10,107 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $9,490 | +$390 +4.3% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 11,337 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $9,478 | +$12 +0.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,625 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $8,900 | +$497 +5.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 18,524 | 48¢ → 37¢ | $6,891 | −$1,980 −22% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,434 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $6,368 | +$484 +8.2% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,616 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $5,439 | +$604 +12% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5,825 | 40¢ → 92¢ | $5,330 | +$3,020 +131% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 14,838 | 45¢ → 35¢ | $5,216 | −$1,518 −23% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,183 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $4,274 | −$494 −10% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 6,613 | 44¢ → 63¢ | $4,133 | +$1,212 +41% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 4,767 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $4,040 | +$213 +5.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 8,627 | 41¢ → 46¢ | $4,007 | +$471 +13% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,123 | 32¢ → 95¢ | $3,935 | +$2,595 +194% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,926 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $3,710 | +$412 +13% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,798 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $3,694 | +$135 +3.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 4,613 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $3,114 | +$220 +7.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 4,130 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $2,994 | +$415 +16% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 17,878 | 7¢ → 17¢ | $2,959 | +$1,783 +152% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 2,801 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $2,784 | +$574 +26% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,191 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $2,729 | +$510 +23% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 3,451 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $2,709 | −$54 −2.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,537 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $2,675 | +$547 +26% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,680 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $2,629 | +$356 +16% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,641 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $2,589 | +$356 +16% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10,518 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $2,472 | +$620 +33% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2,543 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $2,445 | +$297 +14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,673 | 53¢ → 66¢ | $2,406 | +$472 +24% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 20,000 | 82¢ → 12¢ | $2,300 | −$14,000 −86% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,553 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $2,285 | +$191 +9.1% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 3,351 | 55¢ → 67¢ | $2,247 | +$409 +22% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,514 | 21¢ → 80¢ | $2,000 | +$1,471 +278% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 3,096 | 51¢ → 63¢ | $1,950 | +$359 +23% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 20,000 | 87¢ → 10¢ | $1,900 | −$15,400 −89% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,029 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $1,897 | +$276 +17% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,213 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $1,892 | +$124 +7.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,186 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $1,891 | +$485 +35% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,962 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $1,824 | +$521 +40% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 6,805 | 17¢ → 27¢ | $1,803 | +$646 +56% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 20,000 | 88¢ → 9¢ | $1,800 | −$15,700 −90% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 3,026 | 48¢ → 57¢ | $1,740 | +$290 +20% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,864 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $1,732 | +$92 +5.6% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,799 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,717 | +$36 +2.2% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 20,000 | 85¢ → 8¢ | $1,600 | −$15,300 −91% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends in 10h | No | 20,000 | 85¢ → 8¢ | $1,570 | −$15,330 −91% |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,812 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $1,513 | +$100 +7.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11,967 | 35¢ → 13¢ | $1,496 | −$2,649 −64% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,511 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $1,436 | +$209 +17% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,747 | 4¢ → 77¢ | $1,343 | +$1,273 +1797% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 1,370 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1,309 | +$114 +9.5% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 1,908 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $1,288 | +$285 +28% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,669 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $1,260 | +$75 +6.3% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,377 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $1,253 | +$41 +3.4% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,619 | 81¢ → 73¢ | $1,185 | −$125 −9.5% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 1,357 | 65¢ → 85¢ | $1,159 | +$283 +32% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 13,256 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $1,127 | −$680 −38% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,149 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $1,101 | +$244 +28% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,517 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $1,099 | +$23 +2.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 13,479 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $1,072 | +$425 +66% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 4,352 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $1,066 | +$203 +23% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,616 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $1,042 | +$189 +22% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 7,510 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $1,014 | +$746 +278% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,038 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $1,006 | +$92 +10% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 1,060 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $970 | +$111 +13% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,042 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $969 | +$83 +9.4% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 975 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $949 | +$81 +9.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,296 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $921 | +$189 +26% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d | No | 1,308 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $883 | +$46 +5.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,126 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $882 | +$32 +3.8% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 1,389 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $864 | −$32 −3.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,052 | 53¢ → 82¢ | $863 | +$306 +55% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,587 | 20¢ → 33¢ | $860 | +$346 +67% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,205 | 53¢ → 17¢ | $859 | −$1,898 −69% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?Ends ended | Yes | 1,031 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $835 | +$64 +8.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,316 | 49¢ → 63¢ | $823 | +$178 +28% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,748 | 42¢ → 47¢ | $813 | +$77 +10% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,139 | 7¢ → 13¢ | $807 | +$387 +92% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,301 | 80¢ → 61¢ | $787 | −$259 −25% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 794 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $786 | +$22 +2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 75d | No | 795 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $770 | +$62 +8.8% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 1,073 | 54¢ → 72¢ | $767 | +$192 +33% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 782 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $766 | +$56 +7.8% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 823 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $765 | +$81 +12% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 6,628 | 1¢ → 12¢ | $762 | +$710 +1372% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 857 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $759 | +$81 +12% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 812 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $739 | +$105 +17% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,123 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $725 | +$640 +749% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 906 | 69¢ → 79¢ | $716 | +$91 +15% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d | Yes | 993 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$74 +11% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,205 | 38¢ → 59¢ | $705 | +$247 +54% |
| Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 703 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $695 | +$69 +11% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 751 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $687 | +$124 +22% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 734 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $683 | +$129 +23% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,033 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $672 | −$209 −24% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,353 | 9¢ → 27¢ | $644 | +$436 +210% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 898 | 47¢ → 72¢ | $642 | +$216 +51% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,132 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $641 | −$106 −14% |
