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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Niculescu | 94% | +4 pts | +29 pts | 94¢ · 95¢ (1¢) | $61.8K | in 74d |
| Alexandru Nazare | 1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $6.23K | in 441d |
| Leonardo Badea | 1% | +1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $7.9K | in 74d |
| Sorin Grindeanu | 1% | 0 pts | −13 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.8K | in 441d |
| Ilie Bolojan | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $993 | in 74d |
| Eugen Tomac | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $3.49K | in 441d |
| Alexandru Rogobete | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.53K | in 441d |
| George Simion | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.16K | in 441d |
| Dragoș Pîslaru | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.09K | in 441d |
| Traian Basescu | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 441d |
| Victor Ponta | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $846 | in 441d |
| Siegfried Mureșan | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $979 | in 441d |
| Lucian Croitoru | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Mugur Isărescu | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mircea Geoană | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Anca Dragu | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Lucian Isar | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Cătălin Predoiu | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $2K | in 441d |
| Marcel Ciolacu | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Alexandru Rafila | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Sebastian Burduja | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Ionuț Dumitru | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Elena Lasconi | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Cătălin Drulă | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Vasile Dîncu | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Dacian Cioloș | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Emil Boc | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Dominic Fritz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Raluca Turcan | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Delia Velculescu | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Nicolae Ciucă | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Hunor Kelemen | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Calin Georgescu | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Radu Burnete | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Șerban Matei | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Dan Motreanu | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Ciprian Ciucu | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| Adrian Veștea | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | NatoAlfista2 fills | Luca Niculescu | SellYes82¢ → 94¢ | $4,517 | −$682 −15% | — |
| 4h | Smart-bettor7 | Alexandru Nazare | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,967 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 11h | Licasamadaul | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes85¢ → 94¢ | $4,500 | +$510 +11% | 7 |
| 19h | mimi2025uk | Luca Niculescu | SellYes76¢ → 94¢ | $1,510 | −$378 −25% | — |
| 19h |  JanetMoulin | Luca Niculescu | BuyNo17¢ → 6¢ | $1,006 | −$682 −68% | 5 |
| 22h | Licasamadaul | Luca Niculescu | SellYes89¢ → 94¢ | $4,644 | −$290 −6.2% | — |
| 1d | Danieljuravle01 | Luca Niculescu | SellYes92¢ → 94¢ | $1,263 | −$32 −2.6% | — |
| 2d | Lexma | Eugen Tomac | SellNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,116 | +$4 +0.4% | — |
| 2d | Lexma3 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | SellNo85¢ → 99¢ | $5,025 | −$852 −17% | — |
| 2d | boloJEAN | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes91¢ → 94¢ | $1,265 | +$44 +3.5% | 4 |
| 2d | eradus | Luca Niculescu | SellYes91¢ → 94¢ | $5,001 | −$175 −3.5% | — |
| 2d |  Lolakis | Luca Niculescu | SellYes92¢ → 94¢ | $1,501 | −$39 −2.6% | — |
| 3d | Impolite-Gigantism4 fills | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes64¢ → 94¢ | $7,824 | +$3,766 +48% | 14 |
| 4d | umumumum | Luca Niculescu | SellYes59¢ → 94¢ | $1,044 | −$619 −59% | — |
| 4d | Impolite-Gigantism | Luca Niculescu | SellYes62¢ → 94¢ | $1,287 | −$660 −51% | — |
| 5d | JanetMoulin | Luca Niculescu | SellYes50¢ → 94¢ | $4,273 | −$3,748 −88% | — |
| 7d |  sciuboi | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes57¢ → 94¢ | $2,800 | +$1,812 +65% | 8 |
| 8d | eradus | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes64¢ → 94¢ | $1,852 | +$892 +48% | 6 |
| 8d |  Mbogd | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes55¢ → 94¢ | $1,824 | +$1,299 +71% | 6 |
| 9d | Athletic-Manager | Luca Niculescu | SellYes50¢ → 94¢ | $1,406 | −$1,246 −89% | — |
| 9d |  Rex416 | Sorin Grindeanu | SellNo88¢ → 99¢ | $1,760 | −$237 −13% | — |
| 10d | DecoAlex | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes59¢ → 94¢ | $1,511 | +$913 +60% | 6 |
| 11d | sciuboi3 fills | Luca Niculescu | SellYes33¢ → 94¢ | $7,672 | −$14,512 −189% | — |
| 11d |  Sylvester.the.Cat2 fills | Alexandru Nazare | SellNo77¢ → 99¢ | $6,495 | −$1,862 −29% | — |
| 11d | gesst | Ilie Bolojan | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,418 | −$16 −1.1% | — |
| 12d | Sylvester.the.Cat | Alexandru Nazare | BuyYes32¢ → 1¢ | $1,610 | −$1,553 −96% | 26 |
| 12d | Bigggggggg | Leonardo Badea | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,215 | +$14 +1.2% | 5 |
| 12d | Bigggggggg | Eugen Tomac | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,212 | +$20 +1.7% | 5 |
| 12d | Bigggggggg | Luca Niculescu | BuyNo88¢ → 6¢ | $1,094 | −$1,025 −94% | 5 |
| 12d | Bigggggggg | Cătălin Predoiu | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,231 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 12d | Bigggggggg | George Simion | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,236 | +$0 +0.0% | 4 |
| 12d | Bigggggggg | Dan Motreanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 15d |  SorosG | Siegfried Mureșan | SellNo100¢ | $3,486 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 15d | sciuboi2 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyYes28¢ → 1¢ | $3,866 | −$3,782 −98% | 30 |
| 16d | nicdan | Siegfried Mureșan | SellNo100¢ | $2,446 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 16d | Smart-bettor7 | Alexandru Nazare | BuyNo66¢ → 99¢ | $1,327 | +$650 +49% | 21 |
| 16d | sciuboi3 fills | Alexandru Nazare | SellYes39¢ → 1¢ | $11,199 | +$10,867 +97% | — |
| 16d | sciuboi2 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | SellYes33¢ → 1¢ | $7,664 | +$7,524 +98% | — |
| 16d | Sylvester.the.Cat | Siegfried Mureșan | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,955 | −$37 −0.8% | — |
| 17d | Razor77 | Siegfried Mureșan | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,113 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 17d | demerzel | Siegfried Mureșan | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,025 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 17d | Sylvester.the.Cat | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,980 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 17d | Sylvester.the.Cat3 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | SellNo69¢ → 99¢ | $4,585 | −$2,034 −44% | — |
| 19d | Razor77 | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo93¢ → >99¢ | $1,000 | +$77 +7.7% | 9 |
| 22d | Dontmatterdog | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo95¢ → >99¢ | $2,700 | +$130 +4.8% | 7 |
| 22d | Sylvester.the.Cat4 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo79¢ → 99¢ | $9,442 | +$2,507 +27% | 18 |
| 23d | nicdan | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo87¢ → >99¢ | $1,200 | +$184 +15% | 13 |
| 23d | Sylvester.the.Cat2 fills | Alexandru Nazare | BuyNo76¢ → 99¢ | $7,600 | +$2,285 +30% | 20 |
| 24d | sciuboi7 fills | Ilie Bolojan | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $12,975 | +$434 +3.3% | 7 |
| 24d | sciuboi | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo85¢ → >99¢ | $3,000 | +$539 +18% | 14 |
| 26d | sciuboi2 fills | Siegfried Mureșan | SellYes24¢ → <1¢ | $2,333 | +$2,318 +99% | — |
| 29d | Burgil3 fills | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyYes47¢ → <1¢ | $4,300 | −$4,286 −100% | 25 |
| 30d | yupiiiiiiiii | Alexandru Nazare | BuyNo55¢ → 99¢ | $1,099 | +$878 +80% | 18 |
| 37d | Licasamadaul | Alexandru Nazare | SellNo74¢ → 99¢ | $1,336 | −$443 −33% | — |
| 42d | sciuboi | Alexandru Nazare | BuyNo53¢ → 99¢ | $3,085 | +$2,639 +86% | 24 |
| 45d | sciuboi3 fills | Alexandru Nazare | BuyYes48¢ → 1¢ | $3,726 | −$3,638 −98% | 24 |
| 66d | yupiiiiiiiii3 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | SellNo84¢ → 99¢ | $6,377 | −$1,182 −19% | — |
| 75d | yupiiiiiiiii | Alexandru Nazare | SellNo63¢ → 99¢ | $2,153 | −$1,214 −56% | — |
| 80d | rip | Adrian Veștea | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,695 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 96d | Christinefghn | Șerban Matei | SellNo>99¢ | $1,039 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
sciuboi13,253 shares
bagsbunny6,270 sharesSylvester.the.Cat3,000 shares
Haradwaith2,337 shares
bluetit2,145 sharesThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 94¢ for Luca Niculescu means the market gives it about 94%.