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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | trump228 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo97¢ | $1,077 | +$6 +0.5% | — |
| 25d | Zbinik5 fills | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $9,860 | +$700 +7.1% | 4 |
| 26d | marketminder | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,001 | +$17 +0.8% | 4 |
| 60d | LetMeBeYourValentine | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,001 | −$64 −6.4% | — |
| 67d | trump228 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,001 | +$70 +7.0% | 4 |
| 125d | KrackenSruster2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo81¢ → 97¢ | $14,245 | −$2,757 −19% | — |
| 131d | KrackenSruster3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo78¢ → 97¢ | $6,485 | +$1,578 +24% | 4 |
| 134d |  Trading4Fridge | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $2,745 | −$497 −18% | — |
| 152d | 33923189 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo84¢ → 97¢ | $5,661 | +$885 +16% | 4 |
| 155d | Derbob | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo82¢ → 97¢ | $6,063 | +$1,098 +18% | 4 |
| 155d | dwFqcd4Z4 fills | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo76¢ → 97¢ | $60,824 | +$17,179 +28% | 4 |
| 161d | NeH | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo84¢ → 97¢ | $3,470 | −$542 −16% | — |
| 175d | hlopack5 fills | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo78¢ → 97¢ | $15,251 | −$3,725 −24% | — |
| 175d | hlopack5 fills | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo79¢ → 97¢ | $15,535 | +$3,442 +22% | 4 |
| 208d | tdrhrhhd | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellYes20¢ → 3¢ | $1,083 | +$913 +84% | — |
| 222d | Minty-Vane | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellYes23¢ → 3¢ | $1,055 | +$911 +86% | — |
| 234d |  How.Dare.You | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo76¢ → 97¢ | $3,623 | +$994 +27% | 4 |
| 255d | Minty-Vane | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyYes27¢ → 3¢ | $2,133 | −$1,881 −88% | 4 |
| 267d | Watery-ScenarioNew account | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo78¢ → 97¢ | $4,601 | +$1,112 +24% | 13 |
| 267d | Go3ami2g | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo78¢ → 97¢ | $8,346 | +$2,017 +24% | 4 |
| 286d | NeH | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo75¢ → 97¢ | $3,100 | +$912 +29% | 4 |
| 288d | zerosmart | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo74¢ → 97¢ | $3,356 | +$1,036 +31% | 4 |
| 292d | neverwork | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyYes40¢ → 3¢ | $1,996 | −$1,839 −92% | 4 |
| 292d |  VegemiteLover | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo74¢ → 97¢ | $1,531 | +$475 +31% | 4 |
| 296d | vmcrypto111 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo75¢ → 97¢ | $3,205 | −$934 −29% | — |
| 298d | sutac | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo71¢ → 97¢ | $1,030 | −$374 −36% | — |
| 318d |  DumplingBMF | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo84¢ → 97¢ | $1,105 | +$170 +15% | 4 |
| 319d | fastviking | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $5,389 | +$886 +16% | 4 |
| 323d |  yuri7 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $5,490 | +$1,106 +20% | 4 |
| 324d |  scottilicious | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SellNo73¢ → 97¢ | $1,496 | −$475 −32% | — |
| 324d | scottilicious2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo73¢ → 97¢ | $2,394 | +$787 +33% | 4 |
| 324d | anciano | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BuyNo80¢ → 97¢ | $4,036 | +$869 +22% | 4 |
mombil5,436 sharesHow.Dare.You18,401 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.