| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,605 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $4,512 | +$28 +0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 3,395 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $3,174 | +$364 +13% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 2,794 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $2,612 | +$126 +5.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,668 | 48¢ → 96¢ | $2,555 | +$1,264 +98% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,151 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $2,505 | +$344 +16% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 3,670 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $2,037 | −$105 −4.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 1,674 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $1,364 | +$43 +3.3% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 1,617 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $1,318 | +$111 +9.2% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,362 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $1,226 | +$84 +7.4% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,181 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,161 | +$42 +3.7% |
| Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,187 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $1,151 | +$266 +30% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,280 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $1,118 | +$85 +8.2% |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,111 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,092 | +$32 +3.0% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,369 | 67¢ → 80¢ | $1,088 | +$173 +19% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,265 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $1,038 | +$121 +13% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 984 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $979 | +$257 +36% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 1,469 | 72¢ → 62¢ | $911 | −$147 −14% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,191 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $893 | −$24 −2.6% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $50 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 885 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $880 | +$93 +12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 11d | No | 5,339 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $854 | −$213 −20% |
| Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 990 | 57¢ → 86¢ | $852 | +$291 +52% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | No | 1,033 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $847 | +$97 +13% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,546 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $841 | −$167 −17% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 832 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $819 | +$99 +14% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,763 | 50¢ → 28¢ | $788 | −$602 −43% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,174 | 50¢ → 35¢ | $750 | −$340 −31% |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 825 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $734 | +$66 +9.9% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 864 | 59¢ → 82¢ | $709 | +$197 +38% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 881 | 66¢ → 80¢ | $700 | +$115 +20% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 1,093 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $618 | −$19 −2.9% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 596 | 69¢ → 96¢ | $569 | +$156 +38% |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 534 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $528 | +$85 +19% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 558 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $524 | +$45 +9.3% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 560 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $484 | +$47 +11% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,195 | 28¢ → 8¢ | $480 | −$1,229 −72% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 512 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $455 | +$89 +24% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 686 | 74¢ → 66¢ | $449 | −$59 −12% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 490 | 55¢ → 85¢ | $414 | +$144 +53% |
| Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 430 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $380 | +$19 +5.3% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 486 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $369 | +$23 +6.7% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 6,670 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $367 | −$231 −39% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,378 | 58¢ → 26¢ | $351 | −$448 −56% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 1,312 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $348 | +$62 +22% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 359 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $333 | +$28 +9.2% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,096 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $332 | −$84 −20% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 430 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $316 | −$12 −3.7% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 345 | 27¢ → 92¢ | $316 | +$223 +239% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 312 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $291 | +$48 +20% |
| Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 301 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $287 | +$34 +13% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 424 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $281 | −$37 −12% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,144 | 38¢ → 13¢ | $268 | −$546 −67% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 222 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $213 | +$16 +7.9% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $70 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $208 | +$15 +8.0% |
| Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 390 | 35¢ → 52¢ | $201 | +$65 +48% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 360 | 65¢ → 55¢ | $196 | −$39 −17% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 750 | 11¢ → 25¢ | $191 | +$110 +136% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 192 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $187 | +$16 +9.4% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $177 | +$14 +8.4% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 177 | 64¢ → 90¢ | $158 | +$45 +39% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 219 | 32¢ → 71¢ | $156 | +$85 +122% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 267 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $120 | +$13 +12% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 42,348 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $106 | −$4,254 −98% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,933 | 28¢ → 5¢ | $105 | −$431 −80% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,145 | 34¢ → 9¢ | $103 | −$284 −73% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,838 | 52¢ → 6¢ | $101 | −$864 −90% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,727 | 37¢ → 6¢ | $98 | −$546 −85% |
| Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $70 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 94 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $91 | +$8 +9.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 529 | 36¢ → 17¢ | $87 | −$102 −54% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 692 | 49¢ → 13¢ | $86 | −$251 −74% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 87 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $86 | +$6 +7.3% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 75 | 44¢ → 96¢ | $72 | +$39 +117% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 630 | 26¢ → 11¢ | $66 | −$97 −59% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 72 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $53 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 1,566 | 46¢ → 3¢ | $50 | −$663 −93% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,326 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $47 | −$192 −80% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 709 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $46 | −$77 −62% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 901 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $42 | +$12 +38% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,190 | 60¢ → 3¢ | $37 | −$675 −95% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | No | 44 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $36 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 444 | 28¢ → 7¢ | $29 | −$94 −76% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 440d | Yes | 118 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $27 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 356 | 41¢ → 8¢ | $27 | −$119 −82% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 47 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $26 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,139 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $25 | −$509 −95% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 340 | 32¢ → 7¢ | $24 | −$84 −78% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 511 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $20 | −$13 −40% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 85 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $20 | −$3 −12% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 49 | 41¢ → 42¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 545 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $20 | −$38 −66% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 13d | Something | 413 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $19 | −$6 −25% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 71¢ | $14 | +$2 +19% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 487 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$47 −80% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 406 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$21 −66% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$4 +52% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 171 | 65¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$100 −90% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 320 | 26¢ → 3¢ | $10 | −$73 −88% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 133 | 18¢ → 7¢ | $9 | −$16 −65% |
| Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 154 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $8 | +$7 +461% |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 85 | 33¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$20 −72% |
| Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?Ends in 75d | Yes | 144 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$2 −25% |
