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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 82% | — | +1 pts | 81¢ · 82¢ (1¢) | $582 | in 532d |
| Pedro Sánchez | 15% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 15¢ · 15¢ (<1¢) | $2.89K | in 532d |
| Santiago Abascal | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $307 | in 531d |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $294 | in 532d |
| Carlos Cuerpo | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 532d |
| Yolanda Díaz | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.14K | in 532d |
| María Jesús Montero | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $15K | in 532d |
| Ernest Urtasun | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Aitor Esteban | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Miguel Tellado | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Ester Muñoz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Pepa Millán | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Cuca Gamarra | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Borja Sémper | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Carles Puigdemont | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| Óscar Puente | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 532d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | laureman5 fills | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes79¢ → 82¢ | $8,896 | +$333 +3.7% | 18 |
| 4d | Htfujb | Yolanda Díaz | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,300 | −$2 −0.1% | 4 |
| 4d | Batundi | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes80¢ → 82¢ | $3,534 | +$66 +1.9% | 17 |
| 5d |  criptotemplo | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes80¢ → 82¢ | $1,052 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 5d |  knrad | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo98¢ | $5,973 | −$17 −0.3% | 5 |
| 6d | knrad | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,426 | +$8 +0.6% | 5 |
| 6d | donthackme | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,353 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | aneale014 | Santiago Abascal | BuyYes4¢ → 2¢ | $1,300 | −$733 −56% | 26 |
| 6d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,606 | −$1 −0.0% | 4 |
| 6d | donthackme | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo84¢ → 85¢ | $1,137 | +$16 +1.4% | 15 |
| 6d | donthackme4 fills | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,094 | −$16 −0.3% | 4 |
| 6d | Bigggggggg | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyNo20¢ → 19¢ | $1,354 | −$102 −7.5% | 26 |
| 6d | Bigggggggg4 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 85¢ | $13,767 | +$663 +4.8% | 17 |
| 7d | Batundi3 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo83¢ → 85¢ | $18,854 | +$471 +2.5% | 15 |
| 7d |  sciuboi | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo82¢ → 85¢ | $1,421 | +$44 +3.1% | 16 |
| 8d | 123987456 | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 85¢ | $1,377 | +$62 +4.5% | 16 |
| 8d | AlphaGooo | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellNo19¢ | $1,976 | +$52 +2.6% | — |
| 8d | e46m3 | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,184 | −$6 −0.5% | 5 |
| 8d | 123987456 | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,651 | −$8 −0.5% | 5 |
| 8d | 123987456 | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,651 | −$4 −0.3% | 4 |
| 8d | 123987456 | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,651 | −$6 −0.4% | 4 |
| 8d | e46m33 fills | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,593 | −$10 −0.3% | 4 |
| 8d |  gmgmgmgmg | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 8d | Remorseful-Pepperoni3 fills | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes78¢ → 82¢ | $79,500 | +$3,277 +4.1% | 18 |
| 8d | donthackme | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,212 | −$6 −0.5% | 5 |
| 8d | Bigggggggg3 fills | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $10,136 | −$104 −1.0% | 5 |
| 8d | alex20011 | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo80¢ → 85¢ | $1,076 | +$65 +6.0% | 17 |
| 9d | Sorrymissjackson | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes75¢ → 82¢ | $1,266 | −$110 −8.7% | — |
| 9d | zcedrick | Pedro Sánchez | SellYes22¢ → 15¢ | $1,018 | +$306 +30% | — |
| 9d | Alexsago | Pedro Sánchez | SellYes24¢ → 15¢ | $1,162 | +$426 +37% | — |
| 9d | Alexsago | Pedro Sánchez | BuyYes24¢ → 15¢ | $2,423 | −$921 −38% | 28 |
| 9d | turbolovex | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyNo27¢ → 19¢ | $5,216 | −$1,646 −32% | 31 |
| 9d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo79¢ → 85¢ | $3,576 | −$277 −7.8% | — |
| 9d |  a.weidel | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes79¢ → 82¢ | $3,885 | −$123 −3.2% | — |
| 9d |  Trading4Fridge | Pedro Sánchez | BuyYes20¢ → 15¢ | $1,765 | −$426 −24% | 27 |
| 9d |  vinii | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo81¢ → 85¢ | $2,652 | −$124 −4.7% | — |
| 10d | gesst | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 85¢ | $2,035 | +$89 +4.4% | 16 |
| 10d |  Barboncino | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo81¢ → 85¢ | $1,539 | −$74 −4.8% | — |
| 10d |  NERA | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 85¢ | $1,630 | +$69 +4.2% | 16 |
| 10d | DaveDelchev | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes82¢ | $3,203 | −$32 −1.0% | 16 |
| 11d | alex20011 | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 11d | alex20011 | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,088 | −$6 −0.6% | 5 |
| 11d |  ImBruceWayne | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes80¢ → 82¢ | $1,243 | +$23 +1.9% | 17 |
| 11d | Authorized-Gazelle | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo82¢ → 85¢ | $3,628 | −$135 −3.7% | — |
| 11d |  JustClickeverywhere | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | −$4 −0.4% | 4 |
| 11d | gmgmgmgmg | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,078 | −$10 −0.9% | 5 |
| 11d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo80¢ → 85¢ | $2,762 | +$175 +6.3% | 17 |
| 11d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes79¢ → 82¢ | $1,580 | +$50 +3.2% | 18 |
| 11d | Remorseful-Pepperoni | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo79¢ → 85¢ | $25,000 | +$1,866 +7.5% | 18 |
| 11d | Bigggggggg | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,992 | −$15 −0.3% | 4 |
| 11d | JustClickeverywhere2 fills | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $2,373 | −$17 −0.7% | 5 |
| 11d | Barboncino | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo75¢ → 85¢ | $3,913 | +$527 +13% | 21 |
| 11d | Authorized-Gazelle | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo75¢ → 85¢ | $3,313 | +$450 +14% | 21 |
| 11d | Sorrymissjackson | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes74¢ → 82¢ | $1,250 | +$126 +10% | 21 |
| 11d | pkz4 fills | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes75¢ → 82¢ | $18,955 | +$1,575 +8.3% | 21 |
| 11d | vinii2 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo76¢ → 85¢ | $3,383 | +$419 +12% | 20 |
| 11d | presspablo | Pedro Sánchez | BuyYes28¢ → 15¢ | $1,000 | −$467 −47% | 24 |
| 11d | zcedrick | Pedro Sánchez | BuyYes24¢ → 15¢ | $2,246 | −$823 −37% | 28 |
| 12d | pkz | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes80¢ → 82¢ | $1,795 | −$34 −1.9% | — |
| 14d | a.weidel2 fills | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes75¢ → 82¢ | $7,918 | +$734 +9.3% | 21 |
knrad7,795 shares
Seutervoinen7,590 sharesImBruceWayne6,300 sharesThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 82¢ for Alberto Núñez Feijóo means the market gives it about 82%.