| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20,000 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $18,970 | +$10 +0.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 12,307 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $7,692 | −$18 −0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 8,999 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $6,920 | −$577 −7.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8,000 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $6,760 | +$95 +1.4% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,135 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $3,987 | +$25 +0.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 5,366 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $3,890 | +$164 +4.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,100 | 62¢ → 88¢ | $3,587 | +$1,060 +42% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,014 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $3,472 | +$906 +35% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 3,391 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $3,103 | +$188 +6.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,893 | 66¢ → 75¢ | $2,922 | +$339 +13% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 3,357 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $2,836 | −$17 −0.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 6,000 | 47¢ → 46¢ | $2,775 | −$47 −1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,000 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $2,500 | +$205 +8.9% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,256 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $2,393 | +$104 +4.6% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,300 | 62¢ → 69¢ | $2,277 | +$224 +11% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3,207 | 58¢ → 69¢ | $2,197 | +$348 +19% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,385 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $2,163 | +$21 +1.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 9,000 | 12¢ → 24¢ | $2,115 | +$1,053 +99% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 2,579 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $1,922 | −$13 −0.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,529 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $1,909 | +$21 +1.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,906 | +$8 +0.4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 2,000 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $1,730 | −$73 −4.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,006 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $1,715 | +$268 +19% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 2,100 | 60¢ → 79¢ | $1,659 | +$397 +31% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,904 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $1,628 | +$254 +18% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 3,500 | 43¢ → 46¢ | $1,626 | +$125 +8.3% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 1,966 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $1,602 | +$112 +7.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,132 | 35¢ → 39¢ | $1,591 | +$149 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,316 | 57¢ → 66¢ | $1,517 | +$200 +15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 60¢ → 70¢ | $1,390 | +$187 +16% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 1,500 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $1,343 | +$48 +3.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,374 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $1,316 | +$299 +29% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 1,567 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $1,308 | +$86 +7.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,000 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $1,245 | +$48 +4.0% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,505 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $1,196 | −$23 −1.9% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 75d | No | 1,240 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $1,189 | +$119 +11% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | Yes | 1,159 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $1,158 | +$70 +6.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,500 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $1,133 | +$73 +6.8% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,473 | 86¢ → 75¢ | $1,105 | −$161 −13% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,171 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $1,100 | +$140 +15% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,600 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $1,072 | +$60 +5.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 47¢ → 51¢ | $1,010 | +$60 +6.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,000 | 36¢ → 33¢ | $975 | −$95 −8.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $951 | +$14 +1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,333 | 61¢ → 71¢ | $940 | +$130 +16% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 922 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $871 | +$14 +1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 895 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $866 | +$64 +8.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,000 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $855 | +$50 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 2,149 | 48¢ → 38¢ | $807 | −$222 −22% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 900 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $797 | +$149 +23% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $795 | +$106 +15% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 1,100 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $775 | +$8 +1.0% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,300 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $775 | −$91 −11% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 1,860 | 29¢ → 40¢ | $735 | +$188 +34% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $725 | +$36 +5.2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$65 +10.0% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 800 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $708 | +$8 +1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,500 | 65¢ → 46¢ | $682 | −$298 −30% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,800 | 46¢ → 37¢ | $666 | −$171 −20% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 672 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $657 | +$29 +4.7% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,684 | 33¢ → 39¢ | $648 | +$97 +18% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 54¢ → 65¢ | $645 | +$105 +19% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 826 | 63¢ → 76¢ | $628 | +$104 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,500 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $622 | +$38 +6.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 6,128 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $613 | −$345 −36% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 660 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $594 | +$20 +3.4% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 707 | 63¢ → 84¢ | $594 | +$146 +33% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 600 | 63¢ → 99¢ | $592 | +$212 +56% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 601 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $581 | +$32 +5.8% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 714 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $575 | +$59 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,531 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $574 | +$23 +4.2% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 1,200 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $570 | −$18 −3.1% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 600 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $567 | +$6 +1.1% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 650 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $559 | +$109 +24% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,100 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $557 | +$32 +6.1% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $555 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,654 | 17¢ → 34¢ | $554 | +$278 +101% |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Ends in 21d | No | 593 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $548 | +$7 +1.4% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 601 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $544 | +$27 +5.2% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 568 | 53¢ → 93¢ | $525 | +$226 +76% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 652 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $513 | +$88 +21% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 793 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $511 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 532 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $501 | +$23 +4.7% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 800 | 60¢ → 62¢ | $492 | +$16 +3.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $480 | +$25 +5.4% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 78¢ → 67¢ | $467 | −$76 −14% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 600 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $459 | +$59 +15% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $452 | +$7 +1.7% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 599 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $452 | −$45 −9.1% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 473 | 63¢ → 96¢ | $452 | +$154 +52% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 61¢ → 45¢ | $450 | −$159 −26% |
| Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $438 | −$8 −1.7% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 81¢ → 72¢ | $429 | −$57 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,500 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $427 | −$15 −3.5% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 558 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $427 | +$20 +5.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 445 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $425 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 434 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $423 | +$32 +8.1% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 500 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $416 | +$16 +3.9% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 48¢ → 69¢ | $414 | +$126 +44% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,300 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $413 | −$291 −41% |
